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gunnarthor

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Everything posted by gunnarthor

  1. That's cherry picking stats though. At 26, Austin has managed 400 at-bats in his career. Cron had already met that threshold twice in a season. Austin had also played in much better ballparks for hitters but OPS+ shows that Cron was better - 111 v. 100. Cron had a down 2017 but bounced back pretty well. I don't think the Twins should have gone into the season relying on Austin to break out at 27. It might happen but that's probably not what you should plan for. I also don't see anything to suggest that Austin has 120+ OPS upside.
  2. I'm not sure why everyone thinks these two are redundant. Cron is simply the better player. It's not particularly close. Cron is a legitimate major league ball player. Austin has yet to establish that. And you also have the fact that the Twins have two holes - 1B and DH - and Austin could only fill one. This signing is probably squeezing Grossman out and the Twins will start the season with both Cron and Austin in the line-up.
  3. He's a significantly better bat than what we've seen from Austin or Garver though. We had a 1 WAR first baseman last year. The Twins need to get better at first base and DH. They have no one at those positions. The FO would be nuts to rely on Austin and Garver to handle DHing duties with no other plan. As for the price, who is a realistic better option on the market? https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2016/12/2018-19-mlb-free-agents.html
  4. That Steele Dossier is starting to look pretty accurate.
  5. Looks like the last two uncalled house seats are going to go to the Dems. Democrats picked up 40 house seats. Huge blue wave and if not for the blunting of gerrymandering and voter suppression it would've been a lot more. Hopefully the voters remain engaged in two years. https://www.cnn.com/2018/11/26/politics/democrat-california-house-race/index.html
  6. Not really relevant. Twins could try and move Cron at the trade deadline, for instance, or when they think Rooker is ready to come up. Probably depends on the timing. I'm not sure Lance Lynn is worth anything now but he was at the deadline. If Cron is hitting 120 OPS+ at the deadine and the Twins are out of it and a team needs RH power, maybe he's worth something. When teams are finagling their 40 man rosters and payroll heading into free agency signings, he's worth less.
  7. If Rooker pushes the team to promote him (like Morneau did when we had Dougie Baseball), the Twins can trade Cron. Or they can put him at first and move Austin. But right now, the Twins don't have a first baseman or a DH. Austin will probably get one of those opportunities but Cron can handle the other.
  8. I think this was a fine move. He can play 1b or DH, two holes we currently have. He's a big RH power bat and RH power plays up at TF. He's cheap. I don't think he's blocking anyone, yet. Rooker isn't ML ready and Larnich is even farther away. He's not going to move the needle enough by himself but you can certainly see the power potential he gives the line-up.
  9. Yep, 20 years from now people are going to be shocked at how evil we were. Kids seeking asylum met with tear gas and closed borders.
  10. They're owned by the Pohlads. At the end of the day, that's all that really matters. They should spend more, they won't.
  11. I saw Luke Hughes absolutely crush a home run in AA when they were playing at the Trenton Thunder. We lost the game but Hughes looked like a future MLer and a lot of the other guys didn't.
  12. Yeah, that's the main thing, it'll come back. SHOP was pretty high (160ish, I think) but I didn't sell and now it's plummeted. I'm more upset that I invested in the market a week too early.
  13. Payroll is at about 80m right now, assuming arb estimates. That gives the team probably about 40m to play with, assuming payroll will be a little smaller than last year. If the Twins were rebuilding, they'd be trading away Rosario and Gibson and Berrios (25 next year) would bring back a ransom. They aren't moving these guys b/c the FO thinks they can win and should try and compete for the central with them next year.
  14. We're not in year 8. The Twins were nearly in the playoffs in 2015 and were in the playoffs in 2017. The rebuild is over. The Twins should be thinking about the AL Central this offseason. Levine is correct when he says they aren't rebuilding. They need to add talent, figure out why some talent hasn't responded like we thought and keep Buxton healthy. Understanding that ownership isn't going to be part of the solution doesn't mean that the FO can't solve these problems. We should expect them to do so. But it does mean that the FO probably can't rely on large payrolls the way most competitive teams have. They'll probably have to follow the Terry Ryan model in the 2000s and the recent Cleveland Indians model - which is why they hired Falvey in the first place. I'm honestly not sure if Falvey and Levine can do it but I'm not ready to give up on them yet but this should be a big offseason for them. They did a good thing in getting rid of Molitor and Baldeli seems like a guy who might be able to relate to the talent we have. But who knows, maybe we get another total system failure.
  15. I don't know Arizona well but isn't Goldy huge down there? They can't just give him away and on a one year deal, he's probably not what the Twins front office wants.
  16. Do you think the Twins should have traded Kiriloff (who was ranked around where Sheff was ranked) to Seattle instead?
  17. OK, we know the Pohlad's are crap owners. We've always known that. And Falvey and Levine know it too. Last year, Levine made comments about not being a high-payroll team. Falvey came from Cleveland and saw how the teams were built up without using free agency. These two guys understand the issue and they've both accepted it. It's an open question as to whether they can create something like Terry Ryan managed but I'm not quite ready to give up on them. Yet. But I think we'll have to see some smart trades rather than hope for high priced talent coming in. I'm not going to dump on Levine for his comments about building. It is what it is.
  18. Pedro Floriman with less glove and power but a slightly better bat.
  19. I don't think so. He doesn't have power so I don't think teams want him.
  20. I ****ing love the ACLU. I got to watch Lee Gelernt at a CLE a few weeks ago and he's really amazing. He argued the asylum ban case and won it, stopping Trump's utterly evil asylum proclamations. https://www.cnn.com/2018/11/20/politics/judge-asylum-restrictions/index.html "Judge Jon S. Tigar of the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of California said that a policy announced November 9 barring asylum for immigrants who enter outside a legal check point '"irreconcilably conflicts" with immigration law and the "expressed intent of Congress." "Whatever the scope of the President's authority, he may not rewrite the immigration laws to impose a condition that Congress has expressly forbidden," Tigar wrote, adding that asylum seekers would be put at "increased risk of violence and other harms at the border" if the administration's rule is allowed to go into effect."
  21. Gordon and Wade made sense. The rest are fringe types anyways and it's not worth wasting a 40 man spot right now.
  22. I'd stay away. There's so much smoke with them right now that there is probably a better option. * I'm not an expert and have made very bad stock buys.
  23. I mean, if the OL could do one thing well - either run block or pass block - we'd have something but they can't run for anything so the defense just rushes the QB and we can't really slow them down. I know Cousins didn't have his best day but frankly, the way the line was letting defenders into the backfield, I don't really blame him.
  24. If you didn't like the Hu trade, then you can't ever complain if the Twins make win-now trades. They traded a future Kevin Jepsen (if he's lucky) for the current Kevin Jepsen. Jepsen was fantastic for us down the stretch in 2015, after we had suffered through 4 losing seasons and were trying to make the playoffs. Complaints about that trade are ridiculous.
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