Great posts by everyone, though some make more sense to me than others. It is very difficult to predict success . There are many variables. The organization that is successful in predicting success, in teaching the tools necessary for success, in fostering a will to win, and in maintaining a future, while winning consistently, will win more games...but even then will lose 4 out of every 10 games. It is a heavy yoke we fans of specific baseball teams have chosen to wear.