gbg
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Everything posted by gbg
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Reading recent (and not so recent) discussions about Matt Wallner, it got me thinking and researching a hunch. I think the diverging views around Wallner stem from the fact that there's really three Matt Wallners, and they each show up at different times. Let me explain. Looking at his career (2022 - 2026) slash line splits by month, you get this: April - June: .168/.314/.401 - .715 OPS July - August: .242/.355/.566 - .911 OPS Sept - October: .236/.347/.421 - .768 OPS Interestingly, his strikeout percentage doesn't change all that much month to month, hovering between 30 and 35%. Even with suspect defense, I think we'd all be happy with Midsummer Wallner patrolling RF. He'd probably be an All Star - only Judge and Soto had higher numbers among outfielders last year. But Spring Wallner is awful, and Fall Wallner is pretty much an average COF. So far this year, we're not even getting Spring Wallner, but if you look at just his March/April career splits (.185/.307/.352), he's about one double away from almost exactly matching that (terrible) career stat line for that period. He's exactly what we'd expect him to be at this point in April. History says he'll heat up when the weather does, but in the meantime, it's going to be painful. And then he'll likely fade as the weather cools off again. This is why there's so polarizing of views. If you love the hometown boy, you point to the MidSummer version and hope that he can turn it on year-round. On the other hand, if you went to kindergarten with him and he stole your lunch money, you point to the other months and are totally justified wanting him off the team. Is he worth keeping for those two months of tater-mashing brilliance each year?
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Both can be true. As I see it, the Twins had two bullpens: The really good one with Duran, Jax, Varland, Coloumbe and Stewart. Then you had the other one. The one with Funderburk, Wentz, Alcala, Davis, and Jonah Bride. The first pen was solid, and a definite strength. Then there was the other one, which weighed us down on nights when the first pen wasn't available or we needed some innings to get to it. That hurts the overall metrics. Of course, we traded away that first one, so heavens help us if we don't score 10 runs a game.
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FWIW - the article links to the wrong Bubba Thompson Should be this one.
- 14 replies
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- austin davis
- bubba thompson
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Twins 6, Guardians 3: Matt Wallner Conquers Apple TV+
gbg replied to Matt Braun's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I'd hate to see how angry this board would be if we'd been swept instead of doing the sweeping...- 93 replies
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- matt wallner
- louis varland
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I clearly need to read your posts before making my own, because twice now you've gotten there sooner than me with more detail! :-)
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- jaylen nowlin
- nate baez
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Deep breath, please. I'm not bending anything to my will, and I alluded to his spark during that week. However, when you make a statement like "he's been raking for a couple months now", you can't just exclude 50% of that period and then turn around and accuse others of "cherry picking".
- 32 replies
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- jaylen nowlin
- nate baez
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That's because of his June tear. His numbers for the month of May were .198/.306/.436, most of that coming between May 2 and 9. I hope his current form continues!
- 32 replies
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- jaylen nowlin
- nate baez
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Gaurdians just grabbed Giolito and Lopez! Reds got Bader. Olney is reporting that "all available players" have been claimed.
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From his splits - his Hard Hit percentage stayed the same. His FB% actually increased. BB% down a bit, K rate up slightly but K/9 down a touch. Ah - here it is. First half BABIP: .280. Second half BABIP: .056 Wow. I guess that answers the question. There is no Paganaissance that is anything but a rabbit's foot.
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Heading West to Target Field. Buxton on paternity list. Willie Joe Garry Jr will probably never make the bigs, but that is a might fine baseball name!
- 18 replies
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- randy dobnak
- maddux houghton
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I'm an OHS grad, but that was (checks calendar...uses slide rule...) 37 years ago, so my intel may not be up to date.
- 17 replies
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- kenta maeda
- john klein
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Twins Minor League Report (5/21): Winkel Wins it for Wichita
gbg replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Around the time he was drafted, he was described as a "glove-first" catcher. Haven't seen much since, but that seems to bode well.- 8 replies
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- pat winkel
- alejandro hidalgo
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Minnesota Twins Sign Joey Gallo
gbg replied to Theodore Tollefson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I was upset about this until I looked into his stats in more detail. Then I was furious... -
Gut Punch! Carlos Correa Signs with the Giants
gbg replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Correa signed the 2nd largest free agent contract ever, per MLB Trade Rumors. Because we didn't exceed that, we "weren't serious"?? -
Why Haven’t the Twins Called Up Matt Wallner?
gbg replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Starting lineup today. Batting 7th. -
Winder's option to AAA is a timing thing. He pitched 6 innings in his return from the DL on Tuesday, so Saturday would have been the first time he could have pitched again. As we saw, the bullpen is already overextended, so why keep a guy who can't pitch? I believe that since he was named as the 27th man for the double header, that he's allowed to be brought back up within ten days. If I'm right on that, I'm guessing he already has a plane ticket to Chicago for the series there.
- 11 replies
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- jharel cotton
- tyler thornburg
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The Twins Trade Manifesto: 49 Possible Deadline Targets
gbg replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
While Baltimore is here this weekend, just switch the directional signs on the bullpen until Lopez wanders into ours. Switch the signs back and offer the O's a choice of prospects to say "sorry".- 19 replies
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- frankie montas
- tyler mahle
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José Berríos Traded to Blue Jays
gbg replied to Matthew Taylor's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Let's try and talk about this without jumping down each others' throats, shall we? Starting to get a little unconstructive the last couple comment pages, imo. Seeing big names leave the team hurts, absolutely. For those eternal optimists like me, we have to finally admit that we really aren't going to win the World Series this year. I like the return on this trade. As Passan said "a massive haul for a year and a half of Berriors" Will be interesting to see what's hit Woods-Richardson the past six weeks. He was having a nice season and then late June everything fell apart. Maybe the Olympics prep messed him up a bit?- 304 replies
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- 2021 trade deadline
- jose berrios
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Pigs In A Blanket: St. Paul Saints Start Season On April 6
gbg replied to Parker Hageman's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Got my season tickets! The question is how comfortable I'm going to be sitting in the stands pre-vaccine. Oh well. Happy to have the opportunity in my adopted home town! -
How Many Roster Spots are Locked in for 2021?
gbg replied to Cooper Carlson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
But who is playing where? I don't get the sense that he's saying they won't be on the team, but if there was a pool right now to pick who is starting at shortstop opening day, there'd be some favorites but no "locks" at this point. -
"The Sox are... 18-2 against the Royals and Tigers, 12-14 against all other opponents." That is an amazing split. Let's hope it's even more pronounced after this week!
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- ryan jeffers
- byron buxton
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