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Andrew Bryz-Gornia

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Everything posted by Andrew Bryz-Gornia

  1. Andrew Bryz-Gornia
    Options have to be exercised early in the offseason. The Twins can't use Julien's offseason work to determine whether or not to send Polanco to free agency.
  2. Andrew Bryz-Gornia
    1) Julien is far more valuable if he plays 2B. He's still not great there but I'm sure the Twins want him to get more reps in the hopes that he can improve. 2) I'm sure he'd have been moved to 1B if the Twins thought it was a long-term (rest of season to multiple year) plan. If he's only going to be there until Kirilloff is back, then is it really worth taking away 2B reps? 3) I agree with some others that 180 innings in the minors must have been enough to tell the Twins that he can't handle 1B. Perhaps it's indeed his lack of soft hands. Like many other complaints about this year's Twins team, I think the organization's reasoning goes far beyond what we can see on the surface.
  3. Andrew Bryz-Gornia
    My wife and I were at Saturday's show with tickets in Section 316. We bought our tickets before the 50% off sale so yeah, that stung a little. A few concession stands were closed, including the cheap family-friendly stand, which was a little annoying because after shelling out ~$150 just to be there, we were hoping to save some money elsewhere. I felt all of the acts were good except Oliver Tree (filling in for AJR), of which I think I'm not part of his target audience (he did have a lot of fans though, and got a lot of people arm-waving and throwing up rocker horns during his set). As for the lineup... every single concert I've ever been to has included warm-up acts that skew more towards the anonymous. People just want to complain that it wasn't tailored specifically to themselves, I guess.
  4. Andrew Bryz-Gornia
    Only complaint is that he would have said "Falvine" rather than separating the names. Well done on getting "heads need to roll" in there, though.
  5. Andrew Bryz-Gornia
    As a person that is blocked by Reusse on Twitter for calling out one of his BS takes, why include his tweet? Lewis is allowed to have days off after two ACL surgeries. I get that it mentions the Twins' hitting philosophy, but it's also clearly intended to rile up the fanbase with no proof that it's actually true.
  6. Andrew Bryz-Gornia
    1) Mientkiewicz was awesome as a player, but we learn more and more after his retirement from playing that he's a stubborn redass. He was fired as a minor league manager by the Twins organization despite a successful season, after all. Therefore, I take anything he has to say with a grain of salt. 2) If you're going to say that leadoff hitters see fewer breaking balls and every other statement you said in that paragraph, there should either be a link to evidence that it's true or you should be citing the numbers that show it's true. Otherwise, it just sounds like old school baseball wisdom that has been debunked as more data was discovered. Sorry if this comes off as rude, it's meant to be constructive criticism.
  7. Andrew Bryz-Gornia
    The only thing that would have made this better was if they gave you an injury at the end of the interview, Stu.
  8. Andrew Bryz-Gornia
    Hard disagree, especially since Meg Rowley of FanGraphs has expressed her displeasure of MLB using her site's WAR calculation for arbitration like Brock already mentioned. This is a case where some of the "nerds" don't want to be involved.
  9. Andrew Bryz-Gornia
    fWAR uses FIP, not xFIP. Pitchers are rewarded if they don't allow home runs rather than being judged on their expected home runs allowed.
  10. Andrew Bryz-Gornia
    MLB can say that it's to draw in more fans, but I feel it's really just another stream of money going to the owners.
  11. Andrew Bryz-Gornia
    I can't explain it for you, but for me, they were underwhelming because it seemed like the strongest arms were throwing much harder than they really were. Knowing that Carlos Correa's top 5% of 2022 throws averaged 88.0 MPH just doesn't feel impressive, likely because we're used to pitchers hitting 95+ MPH with ease nowadays. Then again, the counterargument is that the strongest throwers often get converted into pitchers, leaving a weaker subset behind.
  12. Andrew Bryz-Gornia
    I can explain Arraez's arm strength. The 90.2 MPH is actually from 2021 when he was playing far more LF. Statcast pointed out that outfielders naturally have stronger arms than infielders because they have to make longer throws, so Arraez's arm strength is skewed. That's reaffirmed because his 2022 arm strength was 82.7 MPH where he exclusively played 1B and 2B. He didn't lose arm strength, he just played two positions where he didn't need to show it off as much. Regardless, this is the Cuddyer/Sano argument all over again. A strong arm isn't as helpful if you don't have the range for a more demanding position. Just because Arraez has a strong-ish arm doesn't mean it makes up for his other defensive deficiencies.
  13. Andrew Bryz-Gornia
    I agree, Cave's constant hustle was admirable as the season fell apart. I have one complaint though, speed score does not equal a player's running speed. Baseball Savant's sprint speed says he was at 28.0 ft/sec, 8th on the Twins with at least one recorded sprint. Speed score (if you're using FanGraphs' speed score) uses a player's stolen base percentage, frequency of stolen bases, percentage of triples, and runs scored percentage, and FG admits it's an outdated statistic. There's no way it's a reliable way to say Cave was the third-fastest Twin this year. https://library.fangraphs.com/offense/spd/
  14. Andrew Bryz-Gornia
    This is such a cool article and something I didn't know about behind-the-scenes work. Great work, Melissa!
  15. Andrew Bryz-Gornia
    This is a really good article. I do have to complain about the tweet that got me to read this article ("Is velocity overrated?") because no, I don't believe it is overrated. However, it is highly valued and it does seem like Falvey/Levine would rather take advantage of other organizations' desire for it and save their money for lesser but also cheaper pitchers. Besides, pitchers (especially bullpens) are highly volatile, so committing only to flamethrowers may not be the best strategy anyway.
  16. Andrew Bryz-Gornia
    The Twins had the 14th-lowest K% last season at 23.1%. He really only fits in with Miguel Sano.
  17. Andrew Bryz-Gornia
    It's not, the sweeper is more like a slow slider or hard curveball with a ton of horizontal break. The cutter is a hard slider with just a little break.
  18. Andrew Bryz-Gornia
    I don't think it should be a concern for free agent starting pitchers. This model sounds like a variation of the opener or planned bullpen games, but those still use prototypical starters in the other rotation spots. Someone like Pineda will be relatively cheap and can go 5-6 innings consistently (when healthy). Bring him back (or sign someone similar), splash on a higher-end starting pitcher, and then the other rotation spots can be the 3-inning guys.
  19. Andrew Bryz-Gornia
    I constantly look over stats as part of my MLB The Show home project, and every organization has multiple minor league relievers that end up with quite a few more innings than appearances. I think it comes out of necessity of having frequent roster turnover, so you need a few guys to eat up innings. I'm not saying the idea is wrong, I just think the Twins aren't telegraphing anything here as much as it may seem.
  20. Andrew Bryz-Gornia
    That's so interesting that Jax rated so highly. I wasn't impressed with his pitching this year, but perhaps he just needs a tweak or something that will help him improve.
  21. Andrew Bryz-Gornia
    I have no idea, either. I just pulled up his FanGraphs page and now he's at .203/.297/.401 which is a 93 wRC+. I have doubts the 114 wRC+ number was correct.
  22. Andrew Bryz-Gornia
    I think we're suffering from some recency bias here, and also dismissing some of the circumstances that have amplified the departures of these players. Baddoo was a Rule 5 gamble due to his injury history and the fact he had never played above High-A. The Twins most likely were never going to call him up to the majors this year unless he put together some dominant numbers on the farm, and even then, he was buried on the depth chart. Wade was the 5th or 6th outfielder on the 40-man roster, and his lefthanded bat was superfluous with Kepler, Cave, Larnach, and Kirilloff ahead of him or likely to pass him on the depth chart. His absence is being amplified because of injuries to the entire starting outfield this season. (Okay, maybe Buxton's was "predictable," but Kepler's and Cave's were less expected.) He'd absolutely be nice to have now, but he was easily an extraneous outfield piece when the trade first occurred. For what it's worth, I think it was Thad Levine that did admit after Anderson's rookie season that the Twins improperly evaluated him. I find that frustrating because he was so dominant in the minor leagues, yet they didn't give him a chance in the majors. Through Falvey's and Levine's tenure in the front office, I feel they've mainly jettisoned intriguing minor league relief pitchers (Burdi, Reed, Anderson, etc.) with varying results. I would say this is my biggest concern with their talent evaluation.
  23. Andrew Bryz-Gornia
    I feel the groin strain *caused* the 62-MPH curveball, considering he usually throws it in the high-60s/low-70s. I'm just impressed he threw it in the strike zone.
  24. Andrew Bryz-Gornia
    It's subtle but there is a difference. The first one is a bit more uncoordinated, whereas the Twins one is more controlled. Parker also passed on explaining the difference in hand placement and that he's a little more upright in the Twins batting stance. Also, this "no one likes a leg kick" comment is just flat-out wrong. If anything, leg kicks have become more popular over the past few years.
  25. Andrew Bryz-Gornia
    A big reason is their starting pitching depth. With Carlos Martinez, Luke Weaver, Miles Mikolas, Michael Wacha, and Adam Wainwright (and Alex Reyes on the mend), there isn't room for Lynn, plus he's probably the worst out of all those pitchers. They also traded away Mike Leake late in the season, so re-signing Lynn would be strictly for gaining some expensive depth.
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