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Mike Sixel

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Everything posted by Mike Sixel

  1. Mike Sixel
    The compelling reason to dump Duensing is to use the RP as a way to send players up and down to the minors, when they inevitably get tired (given the current SP rotation, that is likely). Plus, he's just not that good. At some point, you have to actually use your minor league system. It's time to stop relying on old guys that have no future with this team, and start using the minor league system.
  2. Mike Sixel
    No, but that wasn't your point at all. Your point was that the age curves are different, so therefore they don't mean much......that's not what the delta in the two lines is about at all. It is clearly about changes in training and physical make up. My point in the last part was that this is a data point you'd use. Maybe my signature should add "this post might include a discussion on the use of data. That does not imply it is the only piece of data to use".
  3. Mike Sixel
    The age curves are different due to drugs, training year round, and all the other stuff that is about how different peoples' bodies are (and training is) than it was in the old days. The delta in the lines isn't anything about what you are implying in that last bit at all. How else would you predict how well someone would age, other than looking at control charts? Just guess? That's not a good way to run a business.
  4. Mike Sixel
    And that's why the bullpen gets tired every year, they refuse to be "uncomfortable" with young players. It is maddening that a rebuilding team won't give RP roles to guys that are dominating AAA or even AA, and yet feel no issue giving CF to such a player.
  5. Mike Sixel
    The problem with keeping Duensing is options, and the willingness to send him to the minors......a team with numerous questions in the rotation needs to be able to send pitchers up and down to get them rest. There is no reason for a team this bad to pay a marginal RP $3MM. None at all. Plus, it would be nice if they actually used their minor league system, instead of talking about how great it is.....
  6. Mike Sixel
    Could be? sure, every player could be bad....if you never sign anyone because they could be bad, you never sign anyone, ever. I don't anticipate that is a recipe for long term success. Do you think he will be?
  7. Mike Sixel
    Really, at 31 or 32 you think he will be worthless?
  8. Mike Sixel
    Declining from all star, 3 to 4 WAR player.....he would still have value. It isn't like he drops off the planet, probably.
  9. Mike Sixel
    I am boggled at the conservatism in the replies here and Dozier.....you can't just stand still while everyone else moves, and expect to win. That said, no if you are the Twins, but only because they have Sano.
  10. Mike Sixel
    It won't be "little more" money then....he'll have multiple years of being in the top half of the league 2B......the money goes up every year. don't forget, you are no longer buying out that first year, so the AAV goes way up.
  11. Mike Sixel
    I agree with the front loading part for sure......if you could smooth out the numbers, he'll be a bargain at the end of the deal, even is he's league average.
  12. Mike Sixel
    Uh, players play into their 30s, and are "part of the future" then....
  13. Mike Sixel
    Fascinating extreme views!
  14. Mike Sixel
    That same offer isn't going to work next year, if he's this good next year. The money will have already gone up for everyone, and he'll now have two years of 2-4 WAR per season under his belt. You'd have to get the yearly average closer to 12-15MM per year if you wait a year, I'd guess.....
  15. Mike Sixel
    I'd sign him to that deal right now. The end of that deal will look cheap, imo, given how fast salaries are rising right now. I think I'd also take that deal if I was him, because it buys out some risk on his end, however, I could see him asking for about $2-3MM per year more, to average closer to $10MM per year.
  16. Mike Sixel
    Then you need to be willing to pay more than $100 MM in FA, or just hope your prospects work out.....or get unbelievably lucky in signing someone that does work out for less....what's the track record on the last two?
  17. Mike Sixel
    And trading Vargas, we are sure, is a bad idea? Agreed, it does. So does signing a FA, so does keeping a prospect.....
  18. Mike Sixel
    I do agree, they are sitting on money, and I'd rather they just sign a player or two......but I don't agree that precludes trades of prospects.
  19. Mike Sixel
    Well, it's a good thing they didn't deal Hicks the last two years......I just don't agree that prospects work out enough to never deal them....
  20. Mike Sixel
    That's not what you said, though, Brock.......if you want to argue they should not deal for pitching because they have 2 guys close, that's a very different argument than they shouldn't be trading prospects for proven MLB players. I'm not holding my breath on them adding a guy even as good as Gibson right now.
  21. Mike Sixel
    Which prospect for which pitcher? If you have "one of the best farm systems EVAR!", that is your surplus to deal from. Would you trade Kepler for a real MLB pitcher (not that I think that gets it done)? let's not forget, most prospects don't have good, long term, MLB careers. You are trading a possible MLB player for an actual MLB player.
  22. Mike Sixel
    It simply isn't "overpaying" if that is what the market is. If that's the price to play, that's the price to play. You can choose to sit out the market, and be a bad team until your farm delivers talent.....that's a choice. Not a choice I'd make, but others here (and I'd argue TR) are willing to make that choice.
  23. Mike Sixel
    Doesn't really matter anymore, that's the past. Let's see who the new coach is, and what they team does.....then judge the process. In this case, past is probably not prologue, since there is a new coach.
  24. Mike Sixel
    Ah, I rea the earlier comments wrong then. Thanks for the update.
  25. Mike Sixel
    Interesting hire, if true. Completely not their normal mo. I have no idea if he can coach or not. I do find out odd they have no on that has run a staff before. I would have expected them to hire a bullpen coach that had that to fill in the gaps. Maybe Glynn it's going to help with that.
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