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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    Still hopeful that Rodriguez can get some big league games this September.
  2. DJL44
    Everyone should be promoted when they have a good game and demoted when they go 0 for 4.
  3. DJL44
    He really hasn't been bad all season. He was perfectly acceptable in a 6th-7th inning role when the manager had someone better to swap in if he ran into trouble. He gives up hits, but rarely home runs. He's not a closer, he doesn't strike out enough guys for that role. The Twins don't have anyone in the bullpen besides Cole Sands to strike out batters. Rocco used Sands in a critical spot but there isn't enough behind him.
  4. DJL44
    Outman came in for defensive purposes in the top of the 8th. He wasn't a pinch hitter. Outman doesn't do many things well, but he does play defense better than Matt Wallner.
  5. DJL44
    The first 10 seasons are just a warm-up, right?
  6. DJL44
    I imagine pitchers from that era smoked a lot more cigarettes than pitchers from this era. Someone should tell Bailey Ober that. His drop in performance this season is directly tied to a 2 MPH drop in velocity. MLB hitters will make you pay if you give them an extra millisecond to pick up spin. Speaking just about Festa, it might be a good idea to move him to the bullpen to limit his innings going forward. I think he can be effective as a reliever, and the Twins certainly need some good arms for the bullpen.
  7. DJL44
    The value for the ticket price just hasn't been there. I have more fun at a Saints game for less money.
  8. DJL44
    Rivas, Polanco and Harris. That's a lot of bad defense at 2B.
  9. DJL44
    Either the standards will change, or we'll stop electing Hall of Famers. The odds that a pitcher starting his career in 2025 accumulates even 200 career Wins is quite low. Jose Berrios is one of the top pitchers in wins for his age and younger and he's at 108 after 10 seasons. Sonny Gray is another leader in wins for his age and he's at 123 after 13 seasons. Today's rookie pitchers would need a 35-year career to accumulate 300 wins.
  10. DJL44
    Right. Morneau's career numbers are 19 for DRS, 23.5 for UZR, 21 for RField. That's an above-average fielding 1B. He's on this list because he played 1B for 13 seasons and also had 190 games at DH. A full-time DH will end up with a DEF around -15 for a whole season.
  11. DJL44
    They're not going from worst to best in one season, but they could go from worst to the middle of the pack. I agree with moving Festa and Prielipp to the bullpen. Festa is older and Prielipp is unlikely to ever provide 150 innings in a season. They should be able to find a couple low cost free agent relievers. It sure would be nice to have Ronny Henriquez.
  12. DJL44
    The ballparks are SO MUCH BETTER. The TV experience is also better. The radio announcers are worse.
  13. DJL44
    By standard deviations in talent. The spread in talent has narrowed. The top players are not as big of outliers as before. Players can't sustain All-Star level performance for as long as they used to. Careers are starting later and ending earlier. This is what happens when you measure the top 1000 people on the right-hand side of a bell curve and the population increases.
  14. DJL44
    I think the top talent from any time after integration would hold their own today. Jim Palmer would still be a good pitcher. Bob McAdoo could still play. Neither would be as good relative to their peers unless they also took advantage of the improvements in training. The bottom talent from the 1970s and 1980s might never get past AAA. There are more people competing for spots now, including all of Japan.
  15. DJL44
    Simple seems to be the only thing you can understand, The pitchers and hitters are BOTH better now, specifically the worst players have been gradually improving. ERA measures run environment, not talent. This seems to be too nuanced and complicated of a subject for you to grasp. And 12th in total bases. The Brewers have above-average power. They're also 5th in walks. They're not a contradiction to sabermetrics, they're a shining example of how OBP and SLG matter.
  16. DJL44
    You're not very good at "rationale". MPH obviously matters. Every batter will tell you it matters. There is a reason batting average leaguewide has dropped 20 points since the 90s. Strikeouts are WAY up. The only thing keeping us from a deadball era is batters are hitting for more power, maintaining the power spike of the juiced-up 90s. If players weren't hitting for power, we would see an offensive environment like the 1968 "year of the pitcher".
  17. DJL44
    I wouldn't say the game is better, just different. The pitching and hitting are both better now. The spread in performance between the best and worst players has shrunk. Based on available talent, we're overdue for expansion.
  18. DJL44
    Neither DEF nor dWAR directly measures defense, Both DEF and dWAR include the positional replacement value. which means they will always favor a bad fielding SS over a good fielding 1B. What you're mainly measuring in your article is which position people played. If you want actual defensive metrics, for Fangraphs you want OAA, FRV, DRS or UZR and for BBREF you want RField. For example - Ryan Doumit was a legitimately terrible fielder, but he's been rated here partly by the 97 games he played as a DH. He caught 102 games for the Twins (poorly) but that doesn't pull down his DEF or dWAR number as much as his games at DH. I would throw this article in the bin and try again.
  19. DJL44
    The worst players are definitely better now. The worst pitchers throw in the mid-90s with nasty breaking pitches, not 88 with a mediocre curveball. The White Sox hitters lit up Hatch yesterday and he would have been a bullpen regular in the 80s. The games are less interesting - batting averages are down, strikeouts are high, and defense is not as consistent (no turf, players selected for bat first).
  20. DJL44
    This is correct. If the player had to wait for the 3B coach to make all the decisions for him, he would miss many opportunities to advance by giving away valuable seconds. 3B coach is mainly there to help the runner decide whether or not to advance to home when the ball is behind him. On a tag play like that, with the ball in front of the baserunner, the decision is on the runner. The correct move is to take a few steps off 2B and watch the trajectory of the throw.
  21. DJL44
    Please fire him now. They don't need more mediocre players, they desperately need upside.
  22. DJL44
    I think it's mostly that you're a grownup now and it's really hard to "look up to" a 25-year-old when you're over 50. I'd say that Pablo Lopez and Byron Buxton are just as worthy of admiration as Jim Kaat and Tony Oliva. Joe Mauer hasn't done anything to tarnish his hometown hero reputation.
  23. DJL44
    They have 5 guys hitting below .200 on the roster, so I guess it could have been worse.
  24. DJL44
    They're trying really hard to be the worst team in the AL.
  25. DJL44
    The runner at first should tag up and follow the runner at 2B. If Martin stays at 2B, the runner at first stays as well.
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