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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    I am concerned that Duran is going to run out of options before he can show success as a starter. That will probably make him a reliever.
  2. DJL44
    I expected to see Royce Lewis and Austin Martin on this list.
  3. DJL44
    I think an automated strike zone would end his career. He can't cover the rule book strike zone.
  4. DJL44
    The hardest part for the Twins is the 40 man roster is full of prospects who aren't ready yet. None of Balazovic, Duran, Enlow, Sands, Strotman, Vallimont and Winder are expected to help early in the season. That's 1/3 of the pitchers on the roster. Maeda is out for the season. That means they're choosing a pitching staff of 13 from the remaining 14 pitchers. Out of those 14 pitchers Ober, Ryan, Moran and Garza have very limited MLB innings. Bundy, Dobnak, Jax, Stashak and Thorpe were a combination of injured and terrible last season. Right now 4 of those 5 pitchers are locks and the 5th one is the first call-up from AAA. This is why the moves to add Bundy and Cotton are so bizarre. Why keep adding question marks to a pitching staff that is almost all question marks?
  5. DJL44
    That's probably because pitching prospects actually develop into pitchers other teams want to trade for about 25% of the time. Success and Failure Rates of Top MLB Prospects - Royals Review
  6. DJL44
    Absolutely don't trade him for veteran pitching. The Twins should be acquiring high-upside pitching with lots of team control, not expensive veterans.
  7. DJL44
    Grammar nitpick - I always thought it was relief corps - like the press corps or Marine corps.
  8. DJL44
    25-30% - if you assume the Twins are about as good as anyone else at developing pitching. Pitching prospects flame out all the time.
  9. DJL44
    Donaldson has negative trade value and Maeda is hurt and untradeable.
  10. DJL44
    Someone already mentioned Arraez as a great trade candidate, mainly because he would be worth more to another team as an everyday player than he is worth as a bench player on this team. It also opens a spot for Jose Miranda. Arraez is young and cheap but also an established big league player. The Twins should try to move Mitch Garver this offseason. He turns 31 in January. A contender would give up quite a bit for a productive hitting catcher like Garver who is on a $3M contract. Garver should get a chance to play his last couple productive seasons for a contender. The Giants, Braves and Rangers should all be interested and there are probably more teams since every team needs two catchers and his contract fits every team's budget. The Twins should also be looking to trade Tyler Duffey, Taylor Rogers and Caleb Thielbar but those moves will probably happen closer to the trade deadline. Rogers is going to bring back a better return if he shows he's healthy. Duffey might look better if a contender only has to pay his salary for half the season.
  11. DJL44
    He's certainly ready. He was ready for a September callup and didn't get it.
  12. DJL44
    They're either lying or they're too incompetent to realize this isn't a contender. I don't really like either option. As you said the pitching staff is all question marks, shortstop is a giant hole and they're relying on rookies in left field.
  13. DJL44
    When have the Twins created an entire rotation out of prospects in one season? I can't think of that happening before in this organization. This team has been lucky to get a decent starter once every 5 seasons (Berrios, Gibson, Liriano). Out of the pitchers you listed above only one is on the MLB top 100 list - Balazovic - and he can't stay healthy enough to pitch a full season. This organization believes it's own press releases.
  14. DJL44
    Vallimont looks like bullpen or bust. He's going to need to be able to put the ball over the plate more consistently. 6 walks per 9 innings is way too high.
  15. DJL44
    I have advocated for a different idea - go back to the 4 man rotation. When baseball changed to the 5 man rotation starting pitchers were throwing 250 innings a season over 40 starts. Now they're lucky if a starter pitches 160 innings over 33 starts. Workloads have dropped from 130 pitches per start to 90 pitches. Starting pitchers are your best pitchers. You want to get more innings from them. We have seen the rise of the bullpen because generic relievers can do better their 1st time through a lineup than your 3rd starter can the 3rd time through that same lineup. To get more innings from your starting pitchers you either need to let them face the lineup a 3rd time more often or have them start more often. I would opt for the latter. Limit the starter to 2x through the lineup but pitch them every 4 games. This should give a team 180-200 quality innings from their starter. With the reduced workload they should be able to recover in time for the game 3 days later. It will require modifying their between-games training regimen but that should be manageable.
  16. DJL44
    Minor league signings don't mean much but right now in addition to Larnach and Celestino they have Cave, Fisher and Garlick for AAA.
  17. DJL44
    I was excited to see Christian Encarnacion-Strand destroy Fort Myers. He's about 6 months younger than Sabato but did much better at that level. It will be interesting to see how the Twins get both of them playing time.
  18. DJL44
    Pretty much, yeah. I put Sano at DH and if he's terrible by June I cut him. There's only one year left on the deal. If Sano can't DH this will be his last season in the big leagues.
  19. DJL44
    If he wants to play in the field he needs to start doing it well enough to help the team. He's the worst fielding first baseman on the roster.
  20. DJL44
    They might be about even now but a year from now Donaldson is likely to be worse. Also, 1B is going to be less wear and tear for Donaldson.
  21. DJL44
    In 2022 Sano would be my full time DH and Josh Donaldson would be my full time 1B. Kirilloff can play LF with Miranda at 3B.
  22. DJL44
    I wouldn't worry as much about prospects. Most of them don't pan out.
  23. DJL44
    This is what the players are fighting for in the new CBA. They've seen their % of revenue go down over the last CBA. They're trying to fight to make sure 50% of that new money goes in their pocket. You want a system that encourages investment. You don't want low revenue teams that are content to run a minimum payroll and make a ton of money losing. You want to encourage large revenue teams to compete for the top free agents. You want to encourage MLB expansion to increase overall revenues, not just divide the current pie 32 ways instead of 30. I think changing from 10 to 12 playoff teams makes a lot of sense - when the league expands to 32 teams. That's 8 division winners and 4 wild cards. I think best of 3 playoff series are pretty stupid after a 162 game season. The NBA doesn't even run best of 3 playoffs and it has much more confidence the best team wins the game.
  24. DJL44
    You probably would but playoff media revenue (the real money) is shared league wide. The Pirates make as much off the national TV contract as the Yankees. Socialism for the rich again.
  25. DJL44
    Maybe they can change the rules of baseball from tagging a person out to tackling them to get them out! People would love that! The NBA and NHL regular seasons are mostly pointless and so are the first playoff rounds. Baseball teams that barely make it to .500 should not be in the playoffs, especially if they keep this stupid idea that the first round of playoffs is only a 3 game series. ANY team in baseball can win in a 3 game series. Did you ever think that baseball loves adding playoff games because the players are not fairly compensated for playoff games? The players get half of the gate receipts for playoff games and NONE of the TV, radio or internet streaming money. The owners would love if players' only revenue during the regular season was half of the gate.
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