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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    There were no pitchers as good as Sonny Gray who signed for as little as Sonny Gray has left on his contract. None. Rodon just got 2/$44 which is basically double Gray's contract. Hell, Jon Gray signed for 4/$56.
  2. DJL44
    I think they sold high on Petty. Imagine if they had traded Kohl Stewart the year after the draft.
  3. DJL44
    After that trade I'd be content to just acquire the rest of the Reds rotation at those prices. Sign me up for Mahle and Castillo.
  4. DJL44
    There is a non-zero chance Peguero has a better career than Petty.
  5. DJL44
    The draft lottery seems like a solution in search of a problem
  6. DJL44
    So is the split change his best pitch or his 3rd best pitch which he is afraid to throw?
  7. DJL44
    This is an obvious no. They're trying to win enough games to keep the fans buying tickets until the Vikings start training camp. Profit is maximized by finishing 5th-8th in the American League.
  8. DJL44
    Injury-risk players are going to slide right out of the first round. You can always go over slot but now you can only go down to 75% of slot. Better to grab those guys in the 5th round or lower. Also, doesn't this mean that there is less flexibility signing players for way below slot? Top 300 players is anyone selected in the top 8 rounds. Is the 'top 300' ranking before or after the draft happens?
  9. DJL44
    I like this trade. The Twins trade a 1/2 time player for a full time starter at shortstop, plus they get a live arm as a sweetener. The Twins get the younger player who is better at defense at a position that is a gaping black hole in the organization at the upper levels. Yes, they should be looking for a backup catcher for depth but a catch-and-throw guy is not hard to acquire. People may be disappointed that this means the Twins are 100% out on Trevor Story but honestly, you never believed that was going to happen, right?
  10. DJL44
    I'd love to see them buy out K-F arb years and lock him up to age 30. He's a great candidate for an extension coming off a relatively low base salary.
  11. DJL44
    I'm not sure the A's are going to do that anymore. They are going to receive revenue sharing money now after being excluded in the last CBA. That should provide them enough resources to keep their entire roster.
  12. DJL44
    I don't understand penalizing a team for being bad two years in a row. Most teams that are bad are bad two years in a row. It takes time to improve the roster of the worst team in the league. Some of the teams accused of "tanking" just suck. It wasn't intentional.
  13. DJL44
    That's because it's nearly impossible to draft and develop well enough to win if you never retain any of your talent when it gets expensive. Plus, none of your talent is going to want to sign as a free agent because they'll be doomed to losing for their whole contract. Not really a compelling way to attract fans. "Be patient and we might get lucky once every 30 years! We're going to suck in the meantime so you might want to buy an extra beer at concessions for the next decade." Right. Revenue sharing means you don't need fans anymore. That's kind of the root of the problem.
  14. DJL44
    But for those 20 years you couldn't describe the Royals as "trying to win". Sure, they'll take a shot if the stars align and they accidentally get lucky once every 20 years. In the meantime they'll go through the motions and cash checks. Free agency wins may cost $8M each on average, but every team is getting enough revenue sharing money to add 10-12 wins by that metric. If you save up two years worth of revenue sharing money you can buy 20 wins on the open market. Every team is within 20 wins of contention.
  15. DJL44
    I think the large market teams are quite happy with this arrangement. "We'll pay your team expenses as long as you don't try to win and ruin our playoff revenue." It sucks for the players when you don't have 30 teams trying to win. It sucks for free agents because their market is smaller. It sucks for the players drafted by those teams knowing they'll never win unless they manage to reach free agency and get signed by a team who is actually trying. The crazy part is some of those rich teams are so bad at knowing how to win (ex: Angels) that they can't do it even with a huge payroll advantage.
  16. DJL44
    That comment makes it easy. Carl Pohlad and his two kids. Nobody else could afford to put their faces on a mountain.
  17. DJL44
    Rickey hit nearly 300 HR.
  18. DJL44
    Isn't that what they've been doing since the last CBA?
  19. DJL44
    MLB teams are fantastic tax shelters and great ways to extort municipal governments for cheap land to develop. That's what the owners care about. The baseball team tied to all of those tax advantages is mostly a nuisance. A significant number of team owners no longer care if their team ever wins anything. They would love to break the union and bring in scabs from the independent leagues at $50,000 a piece. They are convinced none of the fans would be able to tell the difference. The fans they're targeting are the obnoxiously wealthy and compulsive gamblers. They'll make baseball as culturally irrelevant as boxing and horse racing.
  20. DJL44
    Both sides benefit from shorter games with more balls in play but they haven't seemed to figure that one out.
  21. DJL44
    Why would the average pay at DH be significantly higher than the average pay at any other position? They can play rookies at DH just like they do everywhere else.
  22. DJL44
    No, they'd walk out in September (assuming the continued negotiations were fruitless) so they got paid for the season but the owners wouldn't get the playoff dollars.
  23. DJL44
    If they open camps the players under contract would show up and the owners would have to pay them. Opening up spring training camps would be the owners caving, not the players. This is a lockout, not a strike.
  24. DJL44
    The situation that had me yelling at the TV was during the World Series. Ozzie Albies was up and hitting lefty. He only hits .237/.295/.454 from that side of the plate. They moved the fielders to the right of where shortstop normally covers; left side of the infield is open. He's a pretty fast baserunner. All he had to do was drop a bunt to the left side. Nope, grounded out to the second baseman. If you're a power hitter who normally posts 1000 OPS then do your normal thing. If you struggle to break a .750 OPS and they give you a base hit, take it.
  25. DJL44
    Power wins ballgames. The only way baseball will "tire" of the strategy is if HR are harder to come by. Until then they'll try to build a lineup of 9 guys who hit 30 HR.
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