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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    Not sure, but more likely than not and if they're better it probably won't be that much better.
  2. DJL44
    And the catchers pile up at the bottom of that list. Out of catchers with 50 or more plate appearances he's 55th of 59 in fWAR because he's 9th in defense. That's not good but 60 catchers are guaranteed MLB roster spots. If you cut Vazquez you are more likely than not to end up with a player worse than Vazquez.
  3. DJL44
    Castro has a lot more experience at 2B and will play it better than Royce. Lewis is much a better fielder at 3B than Miranda. Playing Lewis at 3B and Castro at 2B gives you your best defensive alignment.
  4. DJL44
    Kirilloff reminds me of Randy Bush. Teams carried a larger bench and smaller bullpen in the 1980s than they do now. It is a lot harder for a Randy Bush type player to carve out a career now. The Twins are going to tender him a contract this winter because they're going to let Kepler walk.
  5. DJL44
    Farmer does have a role as a late inning defensive replacement with Castro moving to the OF.
  6. DJL44
    Larnach should be the starting LF. Castro is the everyday 2B.
  7. DJL44
    Keeping Kyle Farmer is basically acknowledging that Brooks Lee still needs to develop in the minors for at least a couple of months. The other infielders in AAA (Castillo, Helman, Prato, Severino) are pretty bad, not players you want to promote to the big leagues if there is another infield injury.
  8. DJL44
    He can come in and catch an inning if they pinch hit for Vazquez. That's not a compelling reason but it's something.
  9. DJL44
    Wallner had a hot week but the Saints had little trouble scoring against Rochester (48 runs in 7 games). That's bad pitching. In the past month Wallner is only hitting .180 against AAA pitching. He needs to take his production this week and extend it for a whole month before I would think about bringing him back.
  10. DJL44
    I don't think Julien will be in AAA long but I'm also not sure he can work on what he needs to improve in AAA. I don't know if the AAA pitchers will use the same strategy to try to get him out because I'm not sure how many of them actually have the command to be successful using that strategy. I do hope Julien plays against every LHP in AAA to try to improve that weakness.
  11. DJL44
    Yes, even if they continue the every other day starting catcher rotation they could pinch hit Jeffers for Vazquez late in the games.
  12. DJL44
    When Lewis comes back I am hoping to see less of Jeffers at DH for this reason.
  13. DJL44
    Camargo just came off the injured list. The other AAA catchers are hitting .193 and .194 and they're both worse defenders than Vazquez. You have to go down to A-ball to find a Twins minor league catcher who is hitting well.
  14. DJL44
    Vazquez should never be the DH. The only reason to put him in the lineup is for defense.
  15. DJL44
    Even if you exclude Austin Martin's 7 walk game he's walking twice as often as he's been striking out.
  16. DJL44
    The "let's bring up Festa" article is aging like fresh fish.
  17. DJL44
    https://thedecisionlab.com/biases/loss-aversion Even if the Twins had evenly lost and gained players it would "feel" like they had lost more. You have to gain at a 2-1 ratio to make it "feel" even.
  18. DJL44
    It says you haven't signed many bad free agents. Teams make free agent signings worse than Vazquez all the time.
  19. DJL44
  20. DJL44
    Ricardo Olivar in May: .330/.419/.582 and just 15K in 105PA. Plus, he plays catcher.
  21. DJL44
    This is a defensible position. He has little left to learn in AAA but he's not doing enough to keep his MLB roster spot.
  22. DJL44
    Castro is both which gives you flexibility to cut either.
  23. DJL44
    I hope someone else believes this. Margot's best hitting season is a 104 OPS+ and his career line is a 90 OPS+. He's always been known as a glove-first outfielder but he's slower now and not covering as much range. He might catch fire and be adequate but that's the upside. The downside we've already seen for the first 6 weeks of the season.
  24. DJL44
    If I had to create a current depth chart for the Twins current outfield talent it would go Kepler Buxton Castro Larnach Kirilloff Martin Margot Keirsey Rodriguez (and he's going to move past most of those guys soon) Wallner
  25. DJL44
    Olivar is hitting nearly as well as Keaschall did at the same level. Will he be ready when the Vazquez contract is over?
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