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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    And the value of prospects on teams who are trying to win NOW is equal to their trade value. I wish I knew when the Twins were going to try to win. It would make an exercise like this make so much more sense. They can't seem to make up their mind about trying to win now or win later.
  2. DJL44
    Starting pitchers are the scarcest commodity in MLB. Objectively bad starting pitchers are getting $12-$15M a season in free agency. Mediocre bats with below average defense are freely available every offseason.
  3. DJL44
    This is false. Teams routinely sell off expensive veterans with little team control when they aren't trying to win in the near-term. Value to this team specifically is related to WHEN they are trying to build their championship caliber team.
  4. DJL44
    Except there aren't, because you can always use money to obtain players every offseason. It all boils down to dollar sign on the muscle. If you're looking at likelihood that a player helps the team win a championship this season as their "asset value" then I'd say their asset value to the Twins is much lower than their trade value. Nearly every other MLB team is trying harder to win a championship than the Twins are this season.
  5. DJL44
    How much value does Correa have each year? The value of the WAR he provided minus his salary. This is basically the same as his trade value. If a team lacks players at a particular position, then value to the team might be a little higher but not much. Same goes for a team that has a surplus at a particular position, they can devalue a player by not selling. If the Pohlads never sell the Twins they still have an asset value equal to what they could get if they sold them.
  6. DJL44
    It is nearly impossible to disentangle "asset values" from "trade values". A stock only has as much value as you can sell it for cash.
  7. DJL44
    That's a decent start for a list like this. I don't think Correa has that much positive value after two injured seasons. I don't think Julien has that much positive value after a season where he wasn't worth a roster spot.
  8. DJL44
    They absolutely should try to trade someone for Cartaya. They should probably aim higher and try to pick off some additional low-cost talent from the Dodgers organization.
  9. DJL44
    SWR would bring back more in trade than Miranda and Julien would together. He's clearly the most valuable asset in the 5 players mentioned in this article.
  10. DJL44
    I think Julien in the top 30 assets is a stretch.
  11. DJL44
    No. Everyone has qualified for the playoffs in the last 5 seasons except the Nationals, Rockies, Angels and Pirates. The Nationals won it all in 2019. The Angels and Rockies are trying but they're just really bad at it. Pittsburgh is the only team in baseball who never tries.
  12. DJL44
    Pittsburgh is 1/30 of the teams in MLB, not 1/3.
  13. DJL44
    This team's defense is at the bottom of the league. Offense is not their only problem. That said, there are other places to add defense that are more important than 1B.
  14. DJL44
    The Twins probably need a young catcher more than any other team in baseball. The Dodgers aren't done subtracting from their 40-man roster either. They still want to bring back Kershaw, for example. There are several players on the fringes of the Dodgers 40-man who are interesting (Andy Pages, James Outman, a half-dozen injured pitchers, a half-dozen AAA pitchers)
  15. DJL44
    Regression to the mean alert. Average MLB team records over their last 10 seasons if you want a fair comparison. The NFL consistently has less parity in a particular season with fewer interesting teams in any given year.
  16. DJL44
    The same NFL with 9 teams tanking for the first pick in the draft? The bad teams are worse in the NFL than they are in MLB.
  17. DJL44
    This actually suggests he has more downside than upside. If he wasn't chasing and was making consistent contact, then this past season probably was his upside.
  18. DJL44
    It is nearly TwinsFest so the front office should emerge from their annual winter hibernation soon.
  19. DJL44
    Our offseason signings would be Anthony DeSclafani and Enyel De Los Santos.
  20. DJL44
    Scherzer and Verlander are the top names for pitchers now, but Jack Flaherty might be the best bet for production. Pivetta should have taken the QO. Lots of pitchers left before teams start calling about Chris Paddack. Bregman, Santander and Alonso are the last QO position players available.
  21. DJL44
    That has potential to be the best bargain of the offseason. If he has a good season, Detroit still has the option of offering a qualifying offer.
  22. DJL44
    There's a good video interview of his parents in the stands watching him play. He's named after his dad, who was named after Mickey Mantle. They followed him all over the east coast last summer hoping to see their son get his first MLB hit but it never happened.
  23. DJL44
    Is this the move that foreshadows a Vazquez trade?
  24. DJL44
    So the solution to the below-replacement level bottom of our depth chart is to not try to make it better? There is room on this roster for two more offensive starters. They need an infielder and an outfielder. If they're going to cycle through rookies anyway then they need to sell veterans and go for a real rebuild.
  25. DJL44
    They're going to need to hit a ton because this defense looks bad.
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