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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. Well duh, he is in the Hall of Fame. That doesn't mean he would have been a plus defender at CF or an elite SS. I think he could have been an All-Star at 3B but we'll never know. Considering how good he was at drawing walks, to get to 3300 hits he'd still have to be an active player.
  2. Almost nobody has more than 3300 hits. There's 11 people in the 150 year history of MLB. Willie Mays didn't have 3300 hits and neither did Barry Bonds, Rickey Henderson or Cal Ripken Jr. You seem very certain about a very unlikely outcome.
  3. Joe Mauer isn't a Hall of Famer if he plays his whole career in LF. Hal McRae, for example, was a very good player but not a Hall of Famer.
  4. Source? $21.7M is not ace money. He's getting paid about the same amount as Yusei Kikuchi - a 34-year-old pitcher who has made one All-Star team. There will be at least 30 starting pitchers getting paid more than Lopez in 2025. Ace money is in the $30-40M per season range. Pablo is getting paid like a #2 pitcher.
  5. I think it will be a lot like Wallner. He'll come up and do well, the league will find a weakness and he'll need to go back down to AAA to make changes. Then he'll come up and do well again. This is typical for most players. Hopefully Rodriguez can stay healthy and all of that can all happen in 2025. I think he would have debuted in 2024 if he had avoided injury.
  6. The pre-draft comp I saw for Jenkins was Kyle Tucker of the Astros. Generating more power is going to be crucial if Jenkins is going to develop into that type of player. I don't think anyone is going to be impressed if he hits 20 doubles and 5-10 HR in the big leagues. It took Tucker until his 3rd pro season (age 20) to tap into his power potential in games. Let's hope Jenkins does this same in 2025.
  7. Do they have room for another injured pitcher on the roster? Maybe if they dump Canterino they can add Sandoval.
  8. He's 22 next season. They're going to start him in AAA and wait for an injury. If nothing else, they will want the extra year of team control to age 28.
  9. I think 2024 is a perfect year for Rodriguez to bounce between AAA and the major leagues whenever Buxton goes on the injured list.
  10. Rodriguez plays better defense than Julien so he might still provide value as he makes adjustments at the plate.
  11. He might have just enough arm for RF. A "corner" utility guy could be useful. He can probably play CF as poorly as Margot did last summer.
  12. 7 pitchers in the top 30 is awful but I also think this list has missed a couple pitchers that should have been listed in the top 30. They are a lot closer to the bottom of the list than the top. There is no evidence the Twins organization is better at developing pitchers than any other organization in MLB.
  13. They drafted Povich and then traded him after 1 year in the organization. If he was "90% MLB ready" then you need to give 80% of the credit to the University of Nebraska. Go ahead and count him. Like Festa and Mathews he's been below replacement value so far. Other organizations are just as successful at producing back-end starters. Go look at the top 30 prospects for other teams. Team and # of pitching prospects 40FV or greater per Fangraphs TBR 21, COL 20, LAD 17, BOS 17, TEX 17, ATL 15, TOR 15, CIN 15, NYY 14, PIT 14, KCR 13, MIL 12, MIA 12, SDP 11, OAK 11, DET 11, ARI 11, PHI 10, WSN 10, CLE 10, CHW 10, SEA 10, MIN 10, SFG 10, LAA 10 BAL 9, NYM 9, STL 9, HOU 8
  14. I counted Festa, though he's a long way from a finished product. I counted Mathews, Festa and Ober as the three. It might be too soon to count Festa and Mathews, but I was giving the benefit of the doubt. The track record says Falvey is mediocre at developing pitching. That's an improvement from Terry Ryan (who was one of the worst in the league) but it's nothing to get excited about. It isn't an organizational strength. They are still one of the worst orgs at producing international free-agent pitching. Their best international free-agent pitching prospect is Bohorquez and he doesn't make this list at all. The international scouts haven't produced anything since Brusdar Graterol in 2014 and that was when Terry Ryan was still in charge.
  15. He's a grade 55 runner in his scouting profile which is marginal for a major league CF. Those guys are usually 60-80 speed. Austin Martin is a grade 55 speed (with the worst first-step reaction to the ball in the big leagues). If Keaschall can read the ball off the bat he should be able to play an adequate CF, but he'll never be a plus defender in CF.
  16. The only starting pitcher they drafted and developed to the major leagues before that was Bailey Ober in 2021. Before that was Jose Berrios under Terry Ryan. That's 3 starting pitchers drafted and developed in 8 years, which is better than Terry Ryan's one SP every 6 years, but not enough to be called a "pitching pipeline". That is nothing special compared to other MLB teams. To fill the rotation with homegrown talent they need to produce a starting pitcher nearly every year. It's a good thing they have done well in trades for starting pitchers (Lopez, Gray, Ryan, Woods-Richardson).
  17. His draft profile at Baseball America lists him at 6'1". Maybe he's shrinking. If so, that Pedroia comparison would be apt in about 2030.
  18. Zebby exceeded rookie thresholds in 2024 (>45 days on the active roster). Eeles was listed at #22. Perhaps you missed the first article in the series.
  19. That's fine, as long as you give them credit for turning Willi Castro into an All-Star.
  20. If they actually had a great pitching pipeline there would be more than 7 pitchers in the TwinsDaily top 30 prospects.
  21. It's an argument that there should be very few relievers in the Hall of Fame. Pitcher is a position, not reliever. Pick the best pitchers. I don't see a reason to keep making a mistake just because we made that mistake several times already. A Hall of Fame with Johan Santana excluded and Billy Wagner inducted is just stupid. I agree that WAR is not a great metric for evaluating relievers for the Hall of Fame. It systematically overrates them.
  22. The trick will be finding a defensive position where he can contribute. He might have enough bat for 1B/LF which would be nice.
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