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Major League Ready

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Everything posted by Major League Ready

  1. Major League Ready
    I don't think any of us know with any real certainty what level of desire Rosario possesses. What we do know is that he has very poor plate discipline which some might be interpreting as lack of desire. He definitely is not what I would call a "professional hitter." What we can say for sure is that he is capable of great production in streak but he has never maintained a high level of play. In the last year ( deadline to deadline) he is 9th on the team in wRC+ and he has an fWAR of 1.3 for that period. This year he is also 9th in wRC+ (1 point above Buxton & Adrianza). I don't understand why so many people act as if he is irreplaceable or someone we should extend for that matter.
  2. Major League Ready
    Rosario is 10th among our position players in fWAR and 8th in OPS. He was also horrible the last half of 2018. I would not expect much in return. I seriously doubt they even consider moving Buxton but it would be great if one of the corner OF prospects thrive and afford them the option of moving Rosario.
  3. Major League Ready
    I think (hope) we will have some interesting new arms ... not so sure about bats. Where would you put them? Arreaz takes over 2B for Schoop. Every other position is set with perhaps the exception of back-up catcher. Someone will get playing time as the 4th outfielder but that's about it.
  4. Major League Ready
    You are making an assumption these teams would not have won without those additions. Maybe they made the difference and maybe they would have won it all without them. You are also neglecting to account for the dozen or so teams who traded many prospects and did not win the world series. Many of them did not even make the playoffs and all but 2 made it to the world series. The facts are crystal clear ... this strategy fails far more than it exceeds. This is not to say teams should not try to improve their chances. History or the facts if you prefer explain why GMs are no nearly as cavalier in their trading of prospects. They are accountable for more than just this year and while you may not care about anything but the present, their job is to balance the present and the future. You exhibit absolute disdain for the premise of certain prospects being off limits, yet the most successful franchises and most respect front offices take this stand frequently. You might want to rethink the position that you have a much better grip on strategy than all of these respected executives.
  5. Major League Ready
    Depends on if you are looking at bWAR or fWAR. Fangraphs has Gibson at 2.1 / Odorizzi at 2.2 and Berrios at 2.9 WAR. Regardless, Thorpe has not been nearly as dominant as Smeltzer in terms of MiLB performance. Why would you favor him over Smeltzer?
  6. Major League Ready
    The would not bet on more than 2 of the 4 being here 5 years from now. Cron is not at all likely to be here after next season. They are not going to pay him free agent dollars. Diaz is looking like a very good replacement at the moment. I think there is still a pretty good chance Royce Lewis ends up being a CF and Kirilloff is a good bet to replace Rosario. These transitions would make it more feasible to extend Berrios and extend our window of contention a competitive team.
  7. Major League Ready
    No, I don't think we have a pitching staff that will do well in the playoffs but the tone of previous posts failed to acknowledge the primary reason for recent losses has been very sloppy play. We have one dominant RP and Harper has actually been pretty good too. The rest are all just decent. Our SP also does not match-up with any of the top contenders and it's not all that close. We would need someone a step-up from Berrios. That's a tall order. The BP needs a lot of help too. Littell actually looks like the 2nd best RP to me at the moment.
  8. Major League Ready
    How does a trade fix dropping a routine fly ball or booting a ground like Schoop did yesterday?
  9. Major League Ready
    Only stat where may is better than Harper is K/9. May strikes out 1 more per 9 innings. May walks twice as many batters and his xFIP is 4.45 vs 3.83 for Harper. May's WHIP is 1.24 vs 1.01 for Harper. For what it's worth Fangraphs has Harper at .7 WAR and May at .4 WAR. bWAR is .8 and .5 respectively. Harper seems to be at least as valuable / reliable as May. Regardless of how you see it, I don't see the pointy of adding a RP that would not slot both of them.
  10. Major League Ready
    Is there a way too look up RBI with less than 2 outs and a runner on 3rd by individual player. I swear Sano has not has a sac fly all year but maybe it's my imagination.
  11. Major League Ready
    Go ahead and make it rain. Let's not forecast sunny skies if a storm is on the horizon. His numbers were good in AA but now they are incredible at AAA. His performance at lower levels did not indicate a high ceiling. I think we are all trying to figure out if he has figured something out that makes him capable of being a long-term asset at the ML level.
  12. Major League Ready
    Thanks Steve. I was kind of hoping it was pitch recognition. There are guys who can get by with lacl of pitch recognition at the MiLB level and then don't do so well at the MLB level. I hope he is one they refuse to let go unless its for pitching with control beyond 2019.
  13. Major League Ready
    He sure caught my attention this season, especially after bumping up to AAA. What changed? He has never shown this kind of offensive production prior to this year. We need another RH OFer. Is this an opportunity to sell high or his he a guy that should be a priority to keep. I would love to know if there is something specific that clicked and what the Twin's brass believes is his future.
  14. Major League Ready
    Sorry, I was not only in left field, I was looking up at the scoreboard when the ball was hit.
  15. Major League Ready
    I am guessing Seth is referring to the $1.2M signing bonus the A's paid Chalmers.
  16. Major League Ready
    I should have provided context. The conversation had been around Stroman and/or RPs so I responded in that context. I don't see the much value in adding a modest upgrade like Stroman. We still would not match up with other playoff teams and certainly would not match up with the Dodgers if they somehow got through to the WS. So, you bet if you can get a controlled SP without totally giving up the farm, great.
  17. Major League Ready
    IMO the portion of the article above provides the starting point of the ideal blueprint. In other words, the best case scenario is to find a team that is willing to give up an asset or assets that fit for numbers of good prospects as opposed to an elite prospect. Yes, easier said than done but this is the starting point. We can't afford to give up any SP prospects that have a top of the rotation high ceiling because I think we only have two. Obviously, opinion will differ on this point. We can afford to give up any OF prospects outside of Kirilloff and we have a number of middle infielders. Although, I guess the last couple months make you wonder about Rooker's ceiling. Anyway ... A team that wan'ts Gordon or thinks Stewart / Gonsalves Cave have value would be a good place to start as well. Arraez is our 2020 2B unless the league adjusts and he looks less promising.
  18. Major League Ready
    I am starting wish they had taken Gore.
  19. Major League Ready
    We did not have a 1B or 2B and we needed more SP so we went and got them elsewhere. Odorizzi / Pineda / Cron / Schoop. Is that not what we all want the front office to do. The replacement for Schoop is here and we added a great utility player in Astudillo. It's true we have not added much pitching from within but to complain at this point is pretty silly. Was the expectation that Falvey and Levine would wave a magic wand and undo the poor drafting for pitching that was done before they got here?
  20. Major League Ready
    Has Poppen added a pitch or gained velocity? In other words, is there something that has changed that would suggest this high level of performance is sustainable or makes him a better MLB prospect?
  21. Major League Ready
    Mejia was the #15 prospect but he only has a 50FV. Maybe his FV has dropped since the trade. It does not make sense the #15 prospect would have had a 50FV. Regardless, Kirilloff is a 60FV and the Indians were getting an extra year vs the Twins renting him. Plus, The Indians did not add any other prospects unless the report I read was wrong and the Indians got another RP in the trade. I don't think any rental RPs are bringing a FV60 prospect + others.
  22. Major League Ready
    But does he (Duffey) look significantly better to you in recent appearances? It looks to me like they tweaked something because his FB has a little more velocity / movement and he has had better command. This could be a relatively big deal. To find another quality reliever and literally no cost would be the best case scenario. Trade for one more and this team looks good now and going forward.
  23. Major League Ready
    What about Duffey? Am I being too Optimistic when I say he looks quite different to me of late. Better command and more life on his FB? I still agree completely we need add another reliable late inning guy regardless of Duffey's improvement but could he be part of the answer?
  24. Major League Ready
    Yes, there is no validity to that statement. I was listening to the front office on XM radio and Jim Bowden and Jim Duquette (former GMs). A caller called in with the same why doesn't team X just sign player so and so. They both piled on pretty heavily that players know where they want to go and the process facilitates them getting the money they want on the team they want to go to. They were quite clear and insistent that fans are not realistic in their expectations. It's without question a reality we must face and to characterize this situation is an excuse is a fanatical response IMO.
  25. Major League Ready
    True. It's also true that historically SPs receiving those contracts have performed much better the 1st 3 years than the last three years. The Verlanders of the world are in the minority. Sherzer's contract is also heavily back end weighted. There is no way the Twins are taking on this year and two more at an AAV of $42M, especially given he is already 34 y/o.
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