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Richie the Rally Goat

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Everything posted by Richie the Rally Goat

  1. Richie the Rally Goat
    all the starters have to do, is do something even the best rotation in baseball doesn’t do. Cleveland averages 5.75 innnings per start and they haven’t worn down yet in the post season. Twins are second 5.68 ip/start and Houston is number 3 at 5.6 ip/start. Bullpens win championships. This is a better bp than before the deadline, and is OK, not good enough, but maybe they can find internal reinforcements. Rotation wise, Berrios, Pineda, and Odorizzi are it. Best to pray for health!
  2. Richie the Rally Goat
    Agreed, Pineda is critical and my number two starter of the rotation. For 2020 they must improve on that, but should still bring him back if they can. I take issue with the quality start stat. Relative to the MLB, Twins are second in Starter Innings pitches to Cleveland and fourth in earned run average. 5th in whip, 9th in K/9. While I prefer k rate and FIP over k/9 and ERA, and I’m too lazy to dig harder, it appears the Twins rotation is still well above average compared to the other 30. It’s the bullpen! Yeah I’d prefer a stronger number 2 starter than Pineda, and do not trust Gibson or Perez. I’m still real worried about that bullpen. In that hunt for October, the best bullpens make the most waves. Hopefully Graterol and Thorpe can be internal options to solidify a shakey pen
  3. Richie the Rally Goat
    Just right. Hopefully this joke doesn’t age well
  4. Richie the Rally Goat
    GO PACK!
  5. Richie the Rally Goat
    targeting a WHIP to match his ERA
  6. Richie the Rally Goat
    hey! This is a family friendly site!
  7. Richie the Rally Goat
    IKR! Health be damned, give Thorpe 2 or 3 starts, then if Thorpe takes hold of that spot, I’d be real tempted to give the hook to Gibson next for Graterol.
  8. Richie the Rally Goat
    At what point do you yank Perez regardless of health?
  9. Richie the Rally Goat
    Does Smeltzer’s data include last night? It doesn’t appear to. I think FIP and XFIP are relevant to the discussion to help isolate a bit to the pitchers performance relative to ERA. Unsure of the OP’s method, I used Fangraphs Splits, filtered to the10 most likely post season opponents, Cleveland, Houston, NYY, Oakland, Tampa, Atlanta, ChC, LaD, Milwaukee, St Louis. FIP / XFIP Berrios 4.20 / 4.92 Smelter 5.48 / 4.67 Pineda 4.03 / 4.47 Odorizzi 4.65 / 4.78 Gibson 4.76 / 4.61 Perez 4.88 / 4.59 WPA isn’t in the splits tool, but also seems relevant to the discussion. WPA 2019 / Career Berrios 1.85 / 1.95 Smelter .51 / .51 Pineda .27 / 1.17 Odorizzi 1.64 / 3.56 Gibson -.62 / -2.28 Perez -.49 / -3.08 The first three on my list are pretty easy Berrios Odorizzi Pineda I know Odo has a bad FIP/XFIP against the contenders, but really strong WPA. I just don’t trust anyone after those 3. Maybe Graterol will come up and light up the big leagues? Would you dare go into the post season with three starters? This was fun! Thanks!
  10. Richie the Rally Goat
    you deserve every bit of scorn you get, Randy
  11. Richie the Rally Goat
    It's great to not watch the worst team in baseball over the last decade anymore. I'm really happy about that. It's still OK to want more. It didn't take Nostradamus to predict last off season that the Twins could hit well, but pitching was going to be the issue, or that the trade deadline was going to be a difficult way to fill gaps. "I told you so" doesn't get us very far, but neither does a dose of perspective. The Twins were the only 100 game winner in 1965 (AL and NL). There's currently 5 teams in the AL alone that seem very likely to win 100 games. The Twins and Indians are in that list, both of which on pace for high 98 or 99 wins and soft schedules going forward. In the AL in 2019, you dominate or get dominated. 95 wins will probably miss the post season. It's a very different season than years past. The Twins still need to pull the pitching staff together. Hopefully they can strike gold quickly with minor leaguers. They need it.
  12. Richie the Rally Goat
    I have Pineda number 2
  13. Richie the Rally Goat
    a player DFA’d gets removed immediately from the 25 and 40 man roster, but contracts are fully guaranteed correct? Even after release the major league player gets their contract. So Bert is still getting his from the Twins. Whatever team picks him up pays a pro rated major league minimun If a player is on the 40 man but with a minor league assignment, they get a bump in pay up from standard minor league pay something like a hundred k, right? Those guys can be DFA’d off the 40 but still get optionally assigned to a minor league team and get a pay cut. How does that work?
  14. Richie the Rally Goat
    Alka-Smeltzer! Plop, plop-fizz, fizz!
  15. Richie the Rally Goat
    yeah, yeah, yeah.... he also has been benched like twice
  16. Richie the Rally Goat
    Arraez is clearly the starting second baseman.
  17. Richie the Rally Goat
    what about the three batter minimum? Did that get passed too and ruin my plan of an all reliever 40 man roster?
  18. Richie the Rally Goat
    What a shame. His family is in my thoughts
  19. Richie the Rally Goat
    is he becoming a ROOGY? I wonder if he can warm up quick and get you that one emergency out...
  20. Richie the Rally Goat
    the bullpen is absolutely improved, and agreed, The Twins got the two best relievers that moved. I was hoping for more, if it were Giles, Romo, Dyson, i’d be very, very happy. Just Romo and Dyson and you’re counting on one of the young guys to take big leap forward. That can absolutely happen, but tough to count on. Fingers crossed that one of May, Duffey, Littell steps up big.
  21. Richie the Rally Goat
    I’d prioritize the win over padding pitcher’s stats.
  22. Richie the Rally Goat
    would you have warmed Rogers after the first hit in the 9th? What if Poppen has wriggled out? Do you want to dry hump Rogers?
  23. Richie the Rally Goat
    yes
  24. Richie the Rally Goat
    Alright Rogers, lets close this out
  25. Richie the Rally Goat
    Puig to Cleveland?! What the heck?
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