Richie the Rally Goat
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Everything posted by Richie the Rally Goat
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thanks for sharing. I didnt really get it, but appreciate your expertise -
you can be great at things that might not be good for you.
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if you put Berrios in the bullpen, even as the long man, he will become in very short order "no longer stretched out". It takes pretty much all of spring training to stretch him out. When the long man makes a spot start, it's usually 3-4 innings and taxes the bullpen heavily. It takes 3 or so starts from there to get him back up to 6-7 innings, so your bullpen is shot for the better part of a month. I agree that he should be working with Allen as a starter. It's best for him and the long term health of the club. In the short term, there isn't enough depth behind him and May and I think Levine will protect his depth. Only one of May or Berrios will make the opening day rotation, the other I predict will go to AAA rotation. Since May has had more success than Berrios, I think he'll win. I think both Berrios and May will be in the big league rotation fairly quickly in the season due to injury or ineffectiveness.
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agreed, but I think the limit here is depth. However, Tom brought up the concept of fire sale around the all star break, which should help.
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not in April with all of the off days, however I see it as an eventuality. Chief and I have a wager on a frosty beverage of choice if the majority of games played before September roster expansions will have a 13 man staff. I have the over.
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because you need Berrios stretched out. Hughes is coming off surgery, May had back issues last year, Gibson lost some significant time last year as well. Santana was healthy last year, but getting advanced in his career. At best you only need one starter on the Rochester shuttle, but will at points need two. If Berrios and Duffey are in the Pen and the rotation is Santana, Gibson, Santiago, May, Hughes. All you got left on the 40 man is Mejia. Are you going to put R. Rosario and Romero on the active roster? I'm not. Meanwhile May, Gibson, Santiago and Hughes are all making short starts. Duffey and Berrios are not exactly workhorses (yet) either. Hughes circa 2014 was, but coming off injury he probably won't be logging 180 innings this year. How do you keep from destroying the bullpen? I like the idea of a long man for this Twins team. I like the idea of two long men on this team, and would rather Hughes be in the pen with Haley and both of them pitch multiple innings w/ Berrios in the rotation, but that necessitates a 13 man pitching staff to start the season.
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At this point, you still can't really count on Hughes. I think that's what got Santiago his Arb $. They just couldn't go into 2017 with only Mejia as the fallback, and don't see Duffey as a starter. With Hughes in the mix, the rotation is crowded with mediocrity (hes had one excellent season c'mon) and without Hughes there's more upside with May and Berrios but it's really shallow depth. My guess is if Hughes is "healthy" Berrios starts in AAA this year until injury brings him up.
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- hector santiago
- kyle gibson
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and an infield of Dozier, Polanco, and Sano sets Gibson up for success how? He's in for a rough year, even if Adrianza or Escobar supplant Polanco at short, but especially if they don't.
- 22 replies
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- hector santiago
- kyle gibson
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thanks for sharing. It's slightly more encouraging that Kirilloff spent his offseason getting treatments beyond R&R. I wish Alex well and a speedy recovery.
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yeah, ultimately it all falls on Ryan, he was the General Manager and got fired, just like it all falls on Falvey now. That's just simplistic. I still feel like Molitor needs to lead the major league organization and reach deeper into the upper levels of the minors for intel and influence of his sphere. He needs to be the driver of culture change for Falvey to the MLB operation and the inspiration for the minors. Being a baseball savant isn't enough. He needs to be an organizational savant too. For his career's sake, he needs to be a tactical conduit of change in the strategy outlined by Falvey and Levine. Passivity will not get it done.
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the legacy lives on, for now
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this is a very good point. Implied in my argument is that Molitor should not be mystified by any development plans made with players who are on the 40 man roster. Polanco's development was ultimately on TR but Molitor should at least understand the plan and the rationale for doing so. Ultimately that was on TR as well, but Molitor has more power than given credit for. This should not be a witch hunt on Molitor, but successful managers do more than just fill out lineup cards and call to the bullpen.
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The manager should have a firm grasp of the 40 man roster and be influential to the management of it, including influencing additions to it. If the manager and the GM are not in sync the talent available to the manager will not fit the tactics and decisions the manager wants to make. It seems very clear to me with all of the strange bullpen decisions and odd defensive alignments and batting lineups, what Molitor wanted and what Molitor got, were very different. So yes, I think the manager should reach beyond his borders to ensure he has the talent that he thinks he needs.
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no one ever said when these things would occur, and the analogy was succession planning for personnel moves to roster spots. This isn't contract management it's people management. Agreed, people are an asset, but they need a different kind of manager than my 401k. That's why PM doesn't negotiate the contract, Levine does. Same in DQ, the store manager doesn't negotiate the hourly wage either. It's prescribed to them by the corporate office.
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organizational health is not just Levine's job or Falvey's job, or at the time, Ryan's. It is up to Molitor to help drive the ship. When Joe at the DQ down the street gets the feeling that his assistant store manager is getting the itch to go to Subway for the extra 25 cents per hour, it's up to Joe to ask the other DQ store managers around if they have any candidates with potential and to see if the other store manager would start feeding said high potential candidate the CEO prescribed intermediate duties to setup that candidate for future success. That's not to say if isn't Ryan's fault. It's his primarily. Just to say that some of the onus falls on Molitor too/
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middle managers are a part of the succession process, not just the CEO
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very good points, my recollection was that he came up in 14 and 15 for a couple weeks each and played very sparingly while not playing SS in the minors. But memories fail us all
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TR exercised Polancos options in 2014,15,&16. Molitor let Polanco ride the pine rather than develop and play games in the bigs during 15. There's some onus there on PM but not near as much as Ryan and the minor league development and coaching staff.
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Why do MLB teams participate in spring training if players can just come in cold and be perfect from the get go? Is there not loss of skill from disuse?
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i hope you are right.
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in the near term I'm more confident of Polanco's bat than his glove. Today Adrianza is competing for backup super utility but if/when Polanco is a butcher between a second baseman with a bigger bat and not great range and a third baseman with an even bigger bat with even less range, Levine seems like he'll turn polar opposite to the all glove no stick guy.
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by predicting an outcome, are you not comparing those 4 against a sample to determine who you believe are the best candidates?
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i agree that Adrianza ends up the every day SS by the end of the season. Not sure about the rest. I think Polanco rides the pine until Dozier gets traded and then takes over second. I think Sano stays at third for a few years.
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According to the team it was cash
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and share it with us with context
