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Richie the Rally Goat

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Everything posted by Richie the Rally Goat

  1. Richie the Rally Goat
    I think Santiago starts the season in the rotation, but there's a chance he goes to the bullpen or gets traded/or cut. I'm pretty sure Duffey goes to the bullpen to start the season. I'm 50/50 on Gibson going to the BP at some point this season and maybe a 25% chance he starts the season there.
  2. Richie the Rally Goat
    theres truth here. Not every (most) decision is made based on merit, however merit or injury is how Berrios gets starts over Santiago or Duffey. I think 2017 should be focused on developing pitchers at the highest level. I dont think it will, necessarily
  3. Richie the Rally Goat
    if May and Berrios can't win a spot in that rotation, they don't deserve it
  4. Richie the Rally Goat
    they already had Hughes for two more seasons, so it wasn't an immediate need to "replace him". Conversely Suzuki was not under contract. True, it's second guessing, but there was tons of second guessing that move when it happened that winter. The gamble would have been to not extend Hughes and be ok if he walks or is more expensive to extend later
  5. Richie the Rally Goat
    i also wonder what the realistic alternatives were. Unlike Hughes, Suzuki's first deal was one year. Sure, he sucked but it's not like there were in house alternatives. Now outside the org, pretty much every MLB contract for FA catchers in 2015 was a one year deal for a better catcher than Zukes.
  6. Richie the Rally Goat
    agreed the contract extension was a bit misguided. Disagree that Phil hughes' success doesn't move the needle. While I think the likelihood of success is slim a 2014 caliber performance definitely moves the needle and a 2015 caliber performance at least wiggles it a bit. This team needs pitching and it seems like free agency and trades isn't getting it done, so let's try science. We can (maybe) rebuild him. We have (sort of) the technology! Nananana
  7. Richie the Rally Goat
    At the touch em all pub crawl you recorded a podcast at the Barrio in lowertown, not sure if it was published Btw every event I have attended (4 or 5) has been great!
  8. Richie the Rally Goat
    Thanks Seth for sharing Tanner's account. Please pass on well wishes. I hope Tanner has a great 2017 season in either (I assume) Chattanooga or Rochester.
  9. Richie the Rally Goat
    I would take JDL plus a couple non-prospect low A/high A talent in exchange for Dozier if that's the best offer. Here's what I know 1) Twins need pitching 2) Free Agent market is terrible 3) 2017 will be the 7th consecutive terrible season in a row, with or without Dozier 4) With or without Dozier this team will hit home runs and score runs at league average or better. It only makes sense to trade him. I'm not mad at the FO for trying to drive up the market, just frustrated with the situation.
  10. Richie the Rally Goat
    having an $80 mil closer over the last 6 years would have resulting 2-3 more wins per season. Dodgers, Yankees, Royals and Indians have all been at least competitive if not favorites for World Series Champs and should take those expensive incremental steps. 2017 Twins on the other hand should be grooming a closer for 2018 and if they aren't convinced they have one in house, begin looking for one after the 2017.
  11. Richie the Rally Goat
    3. in the thread or just in general? irregardless!
  12. Richie the Rally Goat
    is Gibson the new Duensing?
  13. Richie the Rally Goat
    exactly why it's prospect packages for veterans.
  14. Richie the Rally Goat
    Great subject Jeremy. Puig seems to be on the outs, I wonder if some salary relief could be a part of the trade, possibly w/ a third team
  15. Richie the Rally Goat
    no such thing. This market behaves independently. Every player is unique in value and once a player is drafted, there is no longer an exchange.
  16. Richie the Rally Goat
    kind of. As RB stated it, we're predicting markets. One has to assume rational decision making, we just need to put parameters around the rationale. Money may not be the currency and the payout may not be a tidy nest egg directly. It's still a market, and we're still attempting to predict economy.
  17. Richie the Rally Goat
    the Twins haven't operated like this i the past, but seems like normal hot stove stuff to me.
  18. Richie the Rally Goat
    haha. I work in inventory liquidity (supply and demand management) for a multinational manufacturing company. In this case we're trading contracts like securities instead of cash for goods like some of these market making discussions tend to be centered around.
  19. Richie the Rally Goat
    You are missing credit and time value of currency part of the discussion. Buying Dozier with De Leon is like buying a 2 year bonx with a 6 year AR MBS. The closer to maturity the less valuable the 2 year security becomes because your investment has less chance to grow. Meanwhile the risk decreases on the 6 year high risk AR MBS as time advances you are less likely for the debtors to default. The more Mature De Leon gets the more clear what his value becomes and lower risk = more value. More mature Dozier gets the less value he has, because in two years you don't have to give up any assets to acquire him.
  20. Richie the Rally Goat
    sure it does. If the Dodgers are waiting out the Twins, announcing you are walking away puts the ball in the Dodgers court. Perfectly fair to say up your ante soon or I'm keeping Dozier.
  21. Richie the Rally Goat
    timeline for De Leon's peak is further out that Dozier's current contract. That's not to say it won't drop, just that we won't know for a while. Agreed Dodgers have a finite window of opportunity and a lot at risk. It's not every season or every decade that a team can be in LA's shoes where you are legit World Series contenders with only one hole and that one hole glares so badly and they have a tailor made fit for a trade like this. Im impressed w/ Friedman to not just throw prospects around like candy to get Dozier.
  22. Richie the Rally Goat
    I disagree. It seems LA is waiting out MN because they know Dozier's value drops once the season starts. Moving on is OK if you aren't getting the right return this was already part of the Dozier trade thread re: the LEN3 article.
  23. Richie the Rally Goat
    Agreed w/ Mike, spot on Nick. If Dozier isn't traded I'm not very optimistic for the rotation.
  24. Richie the Rally Goat
    the guy hadn't played his "natural position" in 3 years, lets see what he can do. I'm not saying gold glove, but maybe passable if you give him a chance. If you never give him a chance and can't see the writing is on the wall for Plouffe to get non-tendered, then Moli deserves to be stuck w/ a terrible fielding team. Back to the subject at hand, I do agree that the fielding was terrible and would grade the hitters slightly lower than Nick did because the fielding was so bad. Compared to Nick's 2.08, I would have been closer to 1.9. I think Mauer, Rosario, and yes Sano should have had slightly lower grades. Rosario and Sano I would have stuck with them in LF and 3B respectively. I would have given Mauer more time off and away from 1B to rotate in Vargas more.
  25. Richie the Rally Goat
    nope, I mean Vargas had to hit well enough to create a need to move Sano to 3rd. Agreed with Mike, Moli failed to prepare his team for the future, and that did impact players performance on the field.
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