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Richie the Rally Goat

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Everything posted by Richie the Rally Goat

  1. Richie the Rally Goat
    I'm in the "Buxton starts in AAA until he proves he can hit" camp. Kepler is then my tentative starting CF for '19. If Buxton somehow figures out the bat and hits like he did for that magical 2 months... Kepler is the 4th outfielder and Cave goes bye bye.
  2. Richie the Rally Goat
    thats a really good comp to Kepler! Not an upgrade, if that’s a free agent suggestion....
  3. Richie the Rally Goat
    this is a thread about “what if Kepler is what he has been?” Infield isn’t really relevant to the discussion. I think Kepler is what he has been, which is valuable, but in need of an upgrade in hit tool for RF but perfectly passable in CF, and excellent 4th OF
  4. Richie the Rally Goat
    http://twinsdaily.com/_/minnesota-twins-news/process-set-to-yield-results-for-kepler-r7105 And yet Kepler’s swing induces a ton of pop ups. That goofy loop in his swing where he kind of chops down and the pushes his hands back up... I wonder how much time has been spent trying to get him to flatten his swing out so the barrel stays in the zone longer?
  5. Richie the Rally Goat
    I was thinking Marwin Gonzalez or Andrew McCutchen for RF
  6. Richie the Rally Goat
    is that pitch selection or hitting mechanics? Parker Hageman’s gifs in the comments were especially helpful for me. http://twinsdaily.com/_/minnesota-twins-news/process-set-to-yield-results-for-kepler-r7105 The mechanical contrast between Kepler and Rosario were especially enlightening for me. I’ve been of the opinion that the Twins need to acquire a big hitting RF this offseason and let Kepler and Buxton compete for CF/4th OF. I wouldn’t wait to find out the answer to this question, i’d accumulate as much talent as I can and trade strength to improve weakness. If Kepler and Buxton both suddenly figure it out and you have two all-stars additionally, great! More is better. If Buxton needs more time to figure things out, Kepler is a very adequate CF with approximate league average bat. He’s certainly a valuable player you hold onto.
  7. Richie the Rally Goat
    seems like the "Scoop" definition could be a little narrow to answer the question asked. The quality of a first baseman's fielding play would be similar to that of a hockey goalie - how many thrown balls did the first baseman stop from getting past them? What was their "save percentage"? What is the WPA to the first baseman standing on their head? How many runs does save failures at first base cost you over a season? Frequently errors get attributed to the 3B/SS/2B, but what we want to know is how often does the first baseman stop things from getting out of hand. As Mike said, the data is out there, but the analysis is tricky. Scoops may be a solid leading indicator. Much like OPS is a leading indicator to contribution to runs created, Scoops might be a leading indicator to runs prevented. I wish I had time to dig in....
  8. Richie the Rally Goat
    following the Brewers lead, pair Mejia with Odorizzi as a tandem and change who starts/who relieves but pairing them in starts could get you 7-9 strong innings per turn through the rotation and mitigate platooning.
  9. Richie the Rally Goat
    Just to play devil's advocate, what if the gun shots reported were fired by somebody else, and spooked Sano, who drove off to avoid the gun fire, and accidentally drove over the officer? What if the officer was shaking him down for a bribe? Lots of unknowns - I'm not a fan of Sano, with the stuff that went on last offseason, but it's too early to say what happened here.
  10. Richie the Rally Goat
    I'm a fan of the FO so far and generally like the direction they've taken the Twins. That said, they tend to come off as cold. baseball is a business, and you gotta be a little cold sometimes... but, it's still a business of people, as all businesses are. Case in point: Buxton. I understand the individual decisions made, but the cumulative treatment was bad for him and bad for the organization.
  11. Richie the Rally Goat
    http://m.startribune.com/twins-seek-pitching-upgrades-and-an-update-on-jake-mauer/463409553/ Jake left, so not really internal
  12. Richie the Rally Goat
    TK retired then took the role inside the org?
  13. Richie the Rally Goat
    https://www.mlb.com/news/paul-molitor-out-as-twins-manager/c-296881192 Per Bollinger: “It's unclear how many coaches the Twins will retain next season.”
  14. Richie the Rally Goat
    So you say that Molitor is friends with the Pohlad family?
  15. Richie the Rally Goat
    It would be great to see Joe ride off into the sunset on a high note. Great article Seth
  16. Richie the Rally Goat
    im not either, I thought you were right
  17. Richie the Rally Goat
    is it really? How can one say it’s complicated in one sentence, then say that Hunter’s comments apply to Buxton too? Hunter works for the MN Twins. If the Hunter method applies, then why isn’t it working? Leadership isn’t talking a good talk. Leadership is actions and behaviors. Leadership is winning.
  18. Richie the Rally Goat
    couldn’t agree more, but when you are hiring an accountant, you don’t look at your pool of applicants and say “he’s entirely unqualified, but let’s hire him anyways: just look at the leadership” You hire the most qualified accountant and use leadership attributes as the tie breaker. I suppose there’s this pool of relievers in the x dollar range or catchers in the y dollar range and Levine recruits and signs the one that checks the most boxes and he can come to an agreement to price. It doesn’t sound like that, it sounds like the FO is seeking out leaders specifically, which we know the old adage about too many cooks spoiling the soup. I agree that leadership is important, but there’s a gap in my understanding of how it fits in the acquisition of talent and outcomes on the field. There was another poster that pointed out, and I agree, that leadership doesn’t directly impact individual players. If all Buxton needed to pull it all together to be a superstar, he’d have his mentor by now.
  19. Richie the Rally Goat
    Great interview Ted! If you get a chance, please pass along my thanks to Mr. Giminez for his insights. Generally for anyone to comment. At my place work, part of our development plans is identifying leadership activities and concepts to work on. This happens at every level of the organization, from the CEO to the Janitors. There’s been some chatter from the FO that they may have found the threshold to the “too many one year contracts” and its effects on a baseball franchise. Is it just that this years team is too mercenary? Kind of an odd solution to trade for a rental to gain leadership...
  20. Richie the Rally Goat
    Gleeman wrote about that 7 years ago. Still pretty applicable https://mlb.nbcsports.com/2011/03/14/why-arent-more-mlb-general-managers-former-mlb-players/ I’m not yet ready to be done with Falvine yet. It’s only been 2 years. I can’t blame you for your skepticism of them as leaders of baseball ops, but I can’t blame them on this move. It was Buxton and his injuries/ineffectiveness that created this situation. A repeat of last year, and he’d at least be up. How can 30 days at the end of a season be worthwhile at the expense of a year? Buxton needs to hit and stay healthy. The rest will sort itself out.
  21. Richie the Rally Goat
    why would Dougie Baseball or Dozier’s opinions matter?
  22. Richie the Rally Goat
    Grossman has negative defensive value, his one and only skill is getting on base. He can’t hit, he can’t field, so his “role” is as pinch hit DH when the bases are loaded in the bottom of the 9th so he can try to walk in a run but it’s ok to lose your DH. Meanwhile the rest of your bench consists of a one utility infielder, one 4th outfielder, and a backup catcher. In the age of 13 man pitching staffs, every bench player must have field and hit utility, especially in the AL. Is it Molitor’s fault that Grossman is there? No. It is Molitors fault Grossman was written into the lineup card 300+ times over the last 3 seasons
  23. Richie the Rally Goat
    Under
  24. Richie the Rally Goat
    Billy Hamilton OPS .664 in ‘16 when he went to Arb and got 2.6 mil. Buck OPS .383 in ‘18. In 3 years buck has 5 weeks of tantalizing hitting. I doubt he gets 2 mil in Arb. The gold glove will help, but how much? Maybe 1.5 mil? Peter Bourjos made 1.2 mil in his first year of arb in 14, in 13 his ops was .606. Bourjos only made around 8 mil through arb.
  25. Richie the Rally Goat
    1) Buxton hasn’t looked like an MLB hitter in any way. 3 weeks of triple A hitting isn’t going to change my opinion of that. He would probably start 19 in triple A too. 2) The FO needs to make sure they have team control of Buxton for the extra year. If he’s healthy, he needs ABs. Appy fall league sounds like the best way to get him some.
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