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TJSweens

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Everything posted by TJSweens

  1. TJSweens
    I don’t want any “old friends” / retreads to come in and be place holders. I want long term solutions. Arraez is intriguing on some level with his bat. The problem is that he duplicates too many Twins players in that you have to hide his glove. There is a reason he has played for 5 teams by age 29. Graterol would be ok on a minor league deal.
  2. TJSweens
    I have to wonder what Ryan's trade value really is at this point. He is only guaranteed one year to whatever team acquires him and his extensive history of late season breakdowns is not attractive to contending teams.
  3. TJSweens
    Bringing back Ober would be a huge mistake even if they trade Ryan. He just blocks a better young pitcher. Prielipp, Abel, Matthews; which one do you drop from the rotation to make room for Ober?
  4. TJSweens
    No way would I tender Ober unless it was to trade him. It's absurd to think he could ever return to anything close to his 2024 form. His year over year drop in velo and strike outs make it a long shot that he could even repeat 2026. Ober would just be in the way of a more deserving young arm. Right now the mix is Lopez, Ryan & Bradley with Able, Prielipp and Matthews competing for 2 slots. Beyond that, the Twins still project Rojas as a starter. Even if he starts the year in the pen, he can easily out to start if there are injuries. Ober, likely over $7M guarantees that 3 of those pitchers start the year in AAA or the bullpen and that makes no sense.
  5. TJSweens
    It's reasonable to expect an uptick in command and consistency from his rookie campaign. Prielipp's body and arm were also pushed well beyond anything he had experienced before both in total innings and innings per start. He will be better prepared for the load next year. I think 170+ innings and an era in the low to mid 3's is a real possibility next year.
  6. TJSweens
    Ober can go. He is declining steadily. His loss of velocity has more than offset the advantage a 7 foot extension gives him. I'm on the fence with Kremer. I don't want a 31 year old back of the rotation starter interfering with guys like Prielipp, Matthews, Able and Rojas taking their next steps. At the same time, history has shown the Twins need rotation depth that runs about 7 pitchers.
  7. TJSweens
    I don't see any rational argument for Abel and Kremer in the rotation ahead of Prielipp and Matthews. Able has hardly pitched and Kremer at 31 really isn't worth keeping.
  8. TJSweens
    He needs to get through spring training with the job first (assuming there is one). The best laid season end projections have a knack for unraveling the following spring.
  9. TJSweens
    Even Twinsdaily writers have stopped trying to move Prielipp to the bullpen.
  10. TJSweens
    Jefferson has a 3+ war, yet the Twins have a winning record in the games he was on the shelf. WAR is just an amazingly overrated number.
  11. TJSweens
    On a 1 year contract that can be moved at deadline? It's an overpay, but not an absurd one and I doubt he accepts it. Boras will convince him there is more money to be made on a multi year deal now. 1 year $23.6M vs 3 years at about $39M or 4 years at about $52M.
  12. TJSweens
    I see a qualifying offer as the absolute highest probability. He won't accept it and the Twins will collect a top 50 draft choice. Even if he accepts, the Twins have him as a mainstay of the lineup for the season. If they contend, he helps them win. If they don't contend, they'll trade him at the deadline.
  13. TJSweens
    Can't sum it up any better. When is the last time the Twins could write in a name at SS and forget about it? If the worst case scenario comes to pass with Houston, I would be happy with them continuing to write Culpepper in at SS.
  14. TJSweens
    A couple of points 1. Culpepper has looked like belongs from day 1. There has never been a moment where he has looked over his head. The move up to the second spot in the order was well earned. That was a quality AB when he delivered the insurance run. 2. Keaschall is figuring it out in the OF. He is still adjusting to some nuances like playing carroms, but his athleticism is really playing well in the OF. He made some very nice plays in right last night.
  15. TJSweens
    Agreed. If they give him proper rest between starts, there is no reason Prielipp can't finish the season. He should be unlimited by next season.
  16. TJSweens
    Wow. I said he better at 3B than SS, but would probably be a better fit at 2B. What negativity.
  17. TJSweens
    Lee's play at 3B is good relative to his play at SS. I wouldn't call his play great at 3B great. I think he is a more natural 2B with his combined range, arm and IQ. If Houston ultimately claims SS, I like Culpepper with his reflexes and cannon arm at 3B.
  18. TJSweens
    He will probably have to cover half the ground playing a corner as he covers in CF. It also means less sustained acceleration. That's a huge saving on his legs over the course of a season. At 33, he will be more susceptible to and take longer to recover from the soft tissue injuries like the persistent labrum ones he is currently dealing with. There are no guarantees regarding, but reducing wear and tear on his body improves his odds of staying on the field.
  19. TJSweens
    Buxton needs to move out of CF right now. Full stop. It's not a matter of whether he can still field the position better than Jenkins. The Twins need to preserve his body, especially his legs. Buxton will need to cover half the ground in a corner spot. Leave Jenkins in CF. He is at least adequate there. Beyond that, Jenkins just needs to show he can run, field and hit.
  20. TJSweens
    No, he's on first. But seriously, I would put Lee there. He always seemed most like a second baseman to me.
  21. TJSweens
    Personally, I'd rather have the fast twitch athlete at 3B. The ball comes a lot faster down 3B way and reflexes and quickness are key. Not to mention Culpepper's big arm. Since 2B is right side, range is less critical. Second basemen can position deeper because of the short throw.
  22. TJSweens
    No he hasn't. Lee has been about league average defensively at 3B. His hitting has definitely profiled well at the position. I just always envisioned Lee's defensive home to ultimately be 2B.
  23. TJSweens
    I wouldn't classify Lee's defensive performance at 3B as very good. Maybe adequate, definitely better than he was at SS, but not very good. I could easily see Culpepper with his quickness, reflexes and big arm sliding to 3B if and when Houston reaches the majors.
  24. TJSweens
    The idea that the Twins were ever a viable playoff contender was always fool's gold. Way too many regressions to the mean were due. Being within a couple of games of a playoff spot at the deadline was the worst thing that could have happened. The Twins added at a time they should have been clearing the decks for Culpepper, Jenkins and more.
  25. TJSweens
    Last year the White Sox went all in on their youth movement and are loving the results. The Twins need to continue their own youth movement. Get Emma up here. We need to see what he can do against major league pitching and time is running out. Move Houston up to AAA. We need to see him next year (assuming there is a next year).
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