Cody Christie

Image courtesy of © Sam Greene/The Enquirer / Imagn Images The Pirates sit at the bottom of the NL Central, and have already fired their manager this season. They are a long way from being back in contention. Meanwhile, Paul Skenes has become a must-watch pitcher for their club and helped to invigorate the fanbase, but the Pirates will be irrelevant during his tenure with the club. He is scheduled to reach free agency after the 2029 season, and each pitch he throws for the Pirates takes away some of his value. This is even more true when teams consider that even the most durable pitchers will inevitably have some impact on their careers due to injury. Pittsburgh doesn’t want to trade him away, but it might be the best thing for the club’s long-term growth. So, why would the Twins want to make this trade? Minnesota already has one of baseball’s best starting rotations, with depth built in the high minors. However, the Twins’ winning window may slowly be closing, with aging stars like Byron Buxton and Carlos Correa in the middle of the lineup. If the Twins want to go all-in, the next two or three seasons are the club’s best opportunity to make an extended playoff run. It would take quite the package of prospects, but the Twins have multiple ways of acquiring Skenes. Trade Package 1: Walker Jenkins, Kaelen Culpepper, Connor Prielipp, Billy Amick It seems likely for Jenkins, Minnesota’s top prospect, to be the starting point for any trade involving Skenes. He is considered one of baseball’s top prospects despite missing time during his first two professional seasons. The Twins hope he can return to the field in June, and that could give the Pirates time to evaluate the young outfielder as a potential cornerstone for their franchise. Culpepper is one of the fastest-rising prospects in the Twins organization. As last season’s first-round pick, he's posted a 160 wRC+ at High-A this season. The Athletic’s Keith Law recently updated his top-50 prospect list, and Culpepper slid in at No. 45. Prospects with rising stocks tend to be dealt with in July, and Culpepper fits this mold. On the pitching side, Prielipp has established himself as a top-100 prospect this season with his performance at Double-A. He’s one of the highest-upside arms in the Twins system, and could be a long-term rotational option for Pittsburgh. Like Culpepper, Amick is another player with rising stock, including a 167 wRC+ at High-A. Amick may never develop into a superstar, but he has the potential to be a regular big-leaguer, and that has significant value. Overall: Three top-100 prospects, including Jenkins, is the type of deal it will take for Skenes. Trade Package 2: Emmanuel Rodriguez, David Festa, Kyle DeBarge, Dasan Hill The first trade package offers significant long-term upside, while the second package includes both immediate value for the Pirates and long-term building blocks. Rodriguez is on the cusp of the big leagues with a 120 wRC+ at Triple-A, including a bat that has been heating up in recent weeks with a .969 OPS in May. His unique skill set, including a patient approach, powerful swing, and defensive versatility, could make him the headliner for the Pirates. He isn’t as highly rated as Jenkins, but he is still considered one of baseball’s top prospects. Festa could immediately be added to the Pirates rotation. He has one more year of team control than Skenes does, and has demonstrated plenty of upside during his time at the major-league level. It’s important to note that Festa dealt with some shoulder soreness earlier in the season, so the Pirates would want to clear his medicals before trading for him. DeBarge has been one of the most exciting Twins prospects this season. The 33rd overall pick in last summer’s draft has posted a 133 wRC+ at High-A. He’s also shown the ability to play multiple infield and outfield positions, which can help a player find a role at the big-league level. The Twins selected Hill in the fourth round of the 2024 MLB Draft out of high school in Texas. At Low-A, the 19-year-old has mowed through lineups with a 41.2 K% and held batters to a .121 BA. Hill is a long way from the majors but has some of the most significant upside in the system. Overall: Two near big-league-ready assets and two upside plays can make a deal work. Minnesota’s front office has taken a cautious approach at most trade deadlines, so it seems unlikely for the Twins to mortgage the entire farm system on one starting pitcher. There is also no indication that the Pirates are interested in trading their star player. He has made it clear that he wants to stay in Pittsburgh and help the organization get back into contention. Still, it’s fun to dream of what a blockbuster trade could look like for the Twins and Pirates. Which trade are the Pirates more likely to accept? Should the Twins go all-in at this trade deadline? Leave a comment and start the discussion. View full article

Image courtesy of © Bruce Kluckhohn-Imagn Images As the Minnesota Twins navigate the 2025 season, the potential sale of the franchise by the Pohlad family has become a focal point of discussion. The Pohlads, who have owned the team since 1984, are reportedly seeking a sale price of $1.7 billion. That's the same price the Baltimore Orioles sold for last year. However, this valuation, coupled with the team's financial challenges, has made the sale process complex and uncertain. One significant hurdle in the sale is the Twins' reported $425 million in debt, one of the highest totals in MLB, which has raised concerns among potential buyers. This financial burden, along with the high asking price, led some local investors to view the prospects of a sale as "dismal” after getting access to the Twins’ financial reports. The Pioneer Press reported that multiple interested parties have pulled out of the running because of cashflow concerns. Besides the team’s debt, other concerns include the potential for an MLB lockout after the 2026 season. A new owner will want to draw immediate revenue from their investment in the Twins, and a work stoppage could impact all 30 franchises for multiple seasons. Another concern is the team’s loss of revenue from the television contract. For clubs like the Twins, regional sports network contracts are a large part of their revenue—and now, the team is getting significantly less with Twins TV. Despite these challenges, the sale process has not come to a halt. The Star-Tribune reported that several potential buyers have visited Target Field over the last 2-3 weeks and met with the Pohlads and team executives, indicating ongoing interest in the franchise. Phil Miller reported that the sale was “closer to the end than to the beginning,” a positive sign for Twins fans. While no formal offers have been made public, these developments suggest that discussions are progressing, albeit slowly. Initially, there was hope the Twins' sale would be completed by Opening Day. However, the situation was further complicated when billionaire Justin Ishbia, initially a leading candidate to purchase the team, shifted his focus to increasing his stake in the Chicago White Sox. The Twins were forced to reset their sales conversations, and that slowed down the process significantly in recent months. The Athletic reported that multiple interested parties have joined the potential buyer pool since Ishbia dropped out of the running. “We sort of rebooted the process and a number of people came in that were sitting on the sidelines,” The Athletic’s source said. “We’re making good progress with multiple interested parties. Everyone we’re talking with now has the capability of transacting without finding a money source.” The Athletic also made it clear that there is no specific deadline being put in place by the Pohlads. They clearly want to get the best price for their most valuable asset, and sometimes it takes time for all the pieces to be put in place. From a business perspective, it makes sense to pit these potential ownership groups against one another to get the best price. Big-league teams are in limited supply and there have been few sales of clubs over the last few decades. For many ownership groups, this is a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity. As the Twins continue their season, the outcome of the sale remains uncertain. The Pohlads' commitment to their asking price, combined with the team's financial obligations, presents significant obstacles to a swift transaction. However, the ongoing interest from potential buyers suggests that a resolution (while not imminent) is still possible. For fans and stakeholders, the hope is that any future ownership will bring renewed investment and stability to the franchise. What’s your prediction for when the Twins will be sold? How much will the Pohlads be able to get for the team? Leave a comment and start the discussion. View full article

Image courtesy of Ed Bailey, Wichita Wind Surge Minnesota Twins fans have grown all too familiar with the phrase "if he can stay healthy." From Byron Buxton to Royce Lewis, the organization's top prospects often find their ascent to the majors hindered by injuries. Now, the latest to join this unfortunate list is Walker Jenkins, the Twins' top prospect and the No. 6 overall prospect in baseball, according to MLB Pipeline. Jenkins' 2025 season has been marred by a left high ankle sprain sustained early in the year. He suffered an ankle injury during spring training but was on track for the start of the season. After playing just two games for Double-A Wichita, he experienced renewed stiffness in the same ankle, leading to his placement on the injured list on April 9. Despite initial hopes for a swift recovery, the injury lingered, necessitating a cortisone injection in late April to alleviate persistent inflammation. Many Twins fans have been anxiously awaiting word on when Jenkins would return to the field. Since he isn’t on the big-league roster, updates on his injury status are hard to come by. The team is less likely to provide recovery details because Jenkins is recovering at the team’s facility in Fort Myers, and the decision-makers at Target Field don’t have daily visibility into his condition even with the internal reports being provided. Twins General Manager Jeremy Zoll provided an update on Jenkins' condition during an appearance on Sirius XM’s MLB Network "Front Office" radio show, stating: “I think we finally flushed out all the inflammation and all the soreness,” Zoll said. “He’s been ramping up his activity. … We’re optimistic that he’ll be on the field within the next few weeks.” Twins president Derek Falvey was on Inside Twins on Sunday and was also asked about Jenkins. “High ankles are tricky…I think that’s the tougher part,” he said. “Sometimes people think a broken ankle is better than a high ankle sprain in certain situations. Mostly because you don’t have a perfect sense of timeline and how a guy is feeling coming back.” Falvey went on to say, “He continues to track well and progress well. We don’t have a specific date for his return but ultimately we know he is going to be fine once he gets back here soon. We just need to make sure we get it all the way cleared out.” Given the nature of high ankle sprains, which can be particularly troublesome for athletes, the Twins are understandably cautious. Jenkins is not expected to return to minor league action until mid-June at the earliest. This approach aligns with the team's handling of his previous injuries. In his first professional season in 2024, Jenkins missed two months due to a hamstring injury but still managed to play 82 games across four levels, posting a .282/.394/.439 (.833) slash line with 32 extra-base hits and 17 stolen bases. To maximize his at-bats while minimizing physical strain, he often served as the designated hitter, with only 37 starts made in the outfield. Looking ahead, the Twins are likely to continue this cautious approach. If Jenkins returns to full health in the second half of the season, he could be a candidate for the Arizona Fall League, providing him with additional at-bats and development opportunities. However, this is putting the cart way before the horse, because his participation will heavily depend on his health status. The Twins' history with top prospects and injuries is well-documented. Royce Lewis has endured two ACL surgeries and multiple muscle strains, limiting him to just 152 games in his first three seasons. Byron Buxton, despite his immense talent, has played more than 100 games in a season only twice in his decade-long career, often sidelined by various injuries. Alex Kirilloff, once a promising hitter, retired at 26 after persistent wrist, shoulder, and back issues took a toll on his physical and mental well-being. The list could go on and on. This pattern underscores the challenges the Twins face in developing and maintaining the health of their top talents. For Jenkins, the hope is that with careful management and a bit of luck, he can break this cycle and fulfill his potential as a cornerstone player for the franchise. As the Twins continue to navigate the complexities of player development and health management, the organization and its fans remain hopeful that Jenkins' journey will be one of resilience and success rather than another chapter in the team's injury-laden history. How many games will Jenkins play this season? Leave a comment and start the discussion. View full article

Image courtesy of © Jesse Johnson-Imagn Images The calendar is creeping toward June, which means one of baseball’s great traditions is about to return: All-Star voting. Phase 1 of the voting process will open soon, with fans once again choosing nine offensive players to represent each league. For the Twins, this year’s squad features a solid mix of emerging contributors and established stars. While some names are more familiar than others, multiple Twins players have made convincing cases to represent the American League this July. Here’s a breakdown of the top five Twins candidates for the 2025 MLB All-Star Game, ranked from unlikely long shot to likely lock. 5. Harrison Bader – Left Field On the surface, Harrison Bader may not scream "All-Star" to casual fans scrolling through the ballot. However, anyone watching Twins games closely knows how valuable he has been to this team. Tied with Byron Buxton for the highest rWAR on the roster, Bader has been a steadying force in the outfield. Much of his value has come on the defensive side, where he has played in left and center field and has arguably been the most consistent defensive player on the team. That said, the reality of All-Star voting is that offense still carries more weight, and that’s where Bader may fall short. He has posted a career-high 122 OPS+ with 11 extra-base hits in 46 games. With so many offensively gifted outfielders in the American League, however, Bader’s chance at an All-Star nod may come only if injury replacements or late roster shuffling occurs. 4. Jhoan Duran – Relief Pitcher Closers often feel like wild cards when it comes to All-Star selections. It’s no secret that Duran possesses one of baseball’s most electric arms, and that can force the issue when it comes to a one-game showcase. He's the kind of pitcher who could go viral with a single pitch. More importantly, he’s posting the kind of numbers that make him a legit All-Star candidate: a sub-1.50 ERA and 30 strikeouts in 25 1/3 innings. Unlike offensive players, pitchers aren’t selected by fan vote, with managers and players handling that job. That works in Duran’s favor. Although there may be more recognizable names in the closer pool, few have been as dominant or exciting. If he keeps this up through June, it’ll be tough to keep him off the AL roster. 3. Pablo López – Starting Pitcher There’s something to be said for reliability and track record, and Pablo López has both in spades. An All-Star in the past, López has quietly built one of his best seasons yet, with a career-best 2.31 ERA, 177 ERA+, and a 4.4% walk rate. Advanced metrics also support his performance, as he ranks in the 90th percentile or better in Pitching Run Value, Hard Hit%, and BB%. While the casual fan may overlook him in favor of flashier names, López has been a stabilizing force in Minnesota’s rotation. And with the AL All-Star staff needing multiple arms to ensure that no one is overworked during the exhibition game, López’s consistency and experience make him a prime candidate to return to the midsummer stage. 2. Joe Ryan – Starting Pitcher If we’re talking about current form, few pitchers in the American League have been as dominant as Joe Ryan in 2025. After an up-and-down 2024, Ryan came into this season with something to prove. His fastball is one of baseball’s most valuable pitches, and this has helped his other pitches play up. Ryan’s strikeout and walk rates are sparkling. He also has some of the surface-level numbers (2.57 ERA, 53 innings pitched in 11 games, even 5 wins) that coaches and players will consider when voting. Unfortunately, fans don’t get to vote on pitchers; that would make Ryan a frontrunner. If the All-Star Game were held today, it wouldn’t be out of the question for Ryan to be in consideration for the starting nod. He’s been that good. 1. Byron Buxton – Center Field At the top of the list is a name Twins fans know better than any. When healthy, Byron Buxton is not just an All-Star, he’s one of the most dynamic players in the entire game. After years of battling injuries, 2025 has been a renaissance for Buxton. He’s finally back in center field full-time, and the results speak for themselves. Among AL players, he has the highest WAR for center fielders, putting himself ahead of names like Cody Bellinger and Julio Rodriguez. The biggest question, as always, is health. If Buxton can stay on the field through June, it’s hard to imagine fans, coaches and players all leaving him off the team. He’s been the heartbeat of the 2025 Twins and might be the most entertaining player on any given night. It's also fun to consider Buxton making an All-Star appearance in Georgia, his home state. The Twins may not have the offensive star power of some coastal franchises, but this roster is quietly stacking up All-Star-caliber talent. With a mix of elite pitching and athletic outfield play, Minnesota should be well-represented when the Midsummer Classic rolls around. All-Star voting kicks off in early June, and if the early results hold, Twins fans might have multiple reasons to tune in to the festivities. Until then, it’s up to these five players (and maybe a surprise name or two) to keep building their resumes. Who’s your pick for the Twins’ most deserving All-Star? Let us know in the comments below. View full article

The Twins pitching development has worked some wonders in recent years so it will be fun to track Bowen and see if he can continue to have success.

Image courtesy of © Jesse Johnson-Imagn Images As the Minnesota Twins approach the summer months of the 2025 season, fans are experiencing a sense of déjà vu. The team's current trajectory mirrors the 2023 season, with a formidable pitching staff carrying the load while the offense struggles to find its rhythm. Pitching: The Backbone Remains Strong In 2023, the Twins' rotation was anchored by Pablo López and Sonny Gray, both of whom delivered impressive performances. López posted an 11-8 record with a 3.66 ERA over 194 innings, while Gray contributed a stellar 2.79 ERA across 32 starts. Gray finished runner-up to Gerrit Cole for the AL Cy Young Award, while López was electric during the team’s playoff run. His dominant start in Houston is a legendary moment for the current generation of Twins fans. Fast-forward to 2025, and López continues to be a cornerstone of the rotation. Through nine starts, he boasts a 2.31 ERA and 54 strikeouts over 50 2/3 innings. Joe Ryan has emerged as a top-of-the-rotation arm, with a 2.68 ERA and 67 strikeouts in 57 innings. Bailey Ober had a disastrous first start (8 ER in 2 2/3 IP) but has settled in nicely, with a 2.28 ERA and 43 strikeouts over his last 55 1/3 innings. Minnesota’s 2025 rotation might be stronger and deeper than the 2023 club's. The bullpen was projected to be among the league’s best this season. However, some early-season blowups put that projected performance into question. During the team’s recent winning stretch, the bullpen has seen improved performance. In May, the team’s top four bullpen arms (Jhoan Duran, Cole Sands, Griffin Jax, and Louis Varland) have all provided a 0.54 win probability added (WPA) or higher. Out of that group, Varland has the highest May ERA with a 1.74 mark, while Sands and Duran are below 0.80. It’s been an amazing stretch. Offensive Struggles: A Familiar Story The 2023 Twins faced offensive challenges, ranking in the bottom half of the league in several key categories. The 2025 lineup is experiencing similar issues. As of late May, the team ranks 21st in SLG and wOBA. There may be some signs of a turnaround, with the team ranking in the top 10 for Hard Hit%, but runs have been hard to come by even in their recent winning streak. Injuries have played a significant role. Byron Buxton (concussion) and Matt Wallner (hamstring) are expected to return during the current road trip, potentially providing a much-needed boost. However, recent returnees like Royce Lewis and Willi Castro have yet to regain their form. Lewis is hitting .148/.212/.230, while being worth -0.2 WAR. Castro, after returning from an oblique strain, has posted an 84 OPS+, which is 18 points lower than he had in 2024. Lewis and Castro don’t need to carry the lineup, but they need to provide competitive at-bats. Youth Movement: A Potential Spark In 2023, the infusion of young talent ignited the offense in the second half, featuring players such as Royce Lewis, Matt Wallner, and Edouard Julien. This trio propelled the Twins to their first playoff series win since the early 2000s. The 2025 squad may find similar rejuvenation from emerging players. Luke Keaschall made an immediate impact, before a fractured right forearm sidelined him. He's expected to return in late June, offering hope for a second-half surge. Emmanuel Rodriguez, one of the organization's top prospects, has been honing his skills at Triple-A St. Paul. Despite past injury concerns, his recent performance suggests he's nearing MLB readiness. After a slow start, Rodriguez has posted a 1.028 OPS during May, indicating his potential to contribute at the major-league level. Brooks Lee, while no longer a rookie, continues to develop into a key offensive piece. His 2025 metrics show a Hard Hit% of 38% and an expected slugging percentage (.xSLG) of .406, 50 points higher than his actual slugging percentage, suggesting positive regression is on the horizon. Minnesota has already trusted Lee with batting in the middle of the lineup, so look to him as a player to provide more offense as he settles into being a big-league regular. The Twins' recent turnaround has put them back in the thick of the playoff race, but the team still has flaws. The team's success hinges on the offense's ability to complement the stellar pitching staff. The upcoming returns of Buxton and Wallner, coupled with the potential impact of Keaschall, Rodriguez, and Lee, could provide the necessary spark. As the season progresses, the Twins must address their offensive woes to capitalize on their pitching prowess. If history is any indication, a midseason youth infusion could once again be the catalyst for a playoff push. Which player will provide the biggest offensive spark? Can the 2025 Twins follow the exact blueprint as the 2023 Twins? Leave a comment and start the discussion. View full article

MINNEAPOLIS — In a shocking turn of events that defies decades of trauma, the Minnesota Twins’ starting rotation has once again shown signs of being competent, maybe even good. Naturally, this has led a certain segment of the fanbase to descend into full denial, clutching their Bert Blyleven bobbleheads like emotional support animals and waiting for the inevitable collapse. Despite a team ERA that ranks among the top in the American League and peripherals that make even hardened sabermetricians blush, the average Twins fan remains unconvinced. “I don’t care if Pablo López strikes out 15 batters in seven innings while simultaneously curing plantar fasciitis,” said longtime Twins enthusiast Dale Knudsen of Bloomington. “Until I see a Twins starter go three seasons without giving up a home run to a light-hitting backup catcher, I’m not buying it.” Knudsen, who proudly wears a fading “Santana 57” jersey to every game, went on to explain that his baseball instincts were irreparably damaged in the early 2010s. “You think I can just unsee Jason Marquis grooving a 79-mph meatball to a guy who’d never hit a homer outside of batting practice?” he said, shaking his head while scrolling through Liriano highlights on an iPod. “No sir. Not in this lifetime.” While the 2023 Twins led the league in strikeouts and had one of the deepest rotations in franchise history, many fans dismissed it as a statistical fluke akin to seeing Nick Blackburn pitch a clean inning. “2023 was a fever dream,” said Twitter user @FireRoccoPlz43. “They were probably using trick baseballs. Or maybe every other team had food poisoning. There’s no way that was real. This is the same franchise that once convinced us Kevin Correia was an ‘innings eater.’” When asked about the Twins' hot start to 2025 including several dominant outings from Joe Ryan, Bailey Ober, and new folk hero Chris Paddack, many fans remained unconvinced. “Look, I want to believe,” said fan Jenna Melrose of Coon Rapids, holding a laminated newspaper clipping of Johan Santana’s 17-strikeout game. “But every time I see a strong outing, I hear the ghost of Vance Worley whispering, ‘Regression is coming.’” The bar for Twins starting pitching remains tragically high, thanks largely to the fact that no one in the rotation currently possesses a Cy Young award, a devastating changeup, or a faint whiff of Venezuelan wizardry. “Unless one of these guys wins back-to-back ERA titles and throws a no-hitter with a blindfold on, I’m reserving judgment,” said retired teacher Tom Thorson. “Johan didn’t just pitch, he healed. I’m pretty sure my arthritis went into remission during his 2006 stretch.” Even younger fans who never saw Santana or peak Liriano in their prime are deeply skeptical. “My dad told me stories about a time when Twins pitchers made people miss,” said 19-year-old college student Caleb Olsen. “I thought it was a bedtime myth, like unicorns or competent bullpen management.” Hope on the Horizon (Maybe) Still, not everyone is clinging to their pitching PTSD. A quiet but growing number of fans are starting to entertain the possibility that maybe, just maybe, the Twins can sustain their current level of performance. “I mean, sure, I’ve been hurt before,” said moderately optimistic fan Sandra Wallen. “But if the bullpen doesn’t implode and the starters keep going six-plus, I might allow myself to feel something... cautiously.” She paused, then added: “Unless they re-sign Kyle Gibson. Then I’m out.” Whether or not the Twins’ pitching renaissance is real or just another cruel mirage remains to be seen. But one thing is clear: after years of watching errant sinkers and fly balls land in the seats, some scars just don’t heal. So if you see a Twins fan watching a 1-0 game with a twitch in their eye and a ‘Free Anthony Swarzak’ shirt, just be gentle. They’ve been through things. Very, very specific things. View full article

Image courtesy of Ed Bailey (Schobel), Rob Thompson (Adams), Ashley Monjaras (Bowen) Welcome to a new twist on a familiar weekly article here at Twins Daily. Previously, the Minor League Week in Review allowed prospect fans to gain insight into the ebbs and flows of the team’s affiliates. However, it didn’t offer a space to focus on specific prospects and what they may be doing to help their prospect stock. With the Twins Prospect Hot Sheet, we will take a weekly view of multiple prospects rising on prospect lists due to their recent performance. These could be some of the organization’s top-ranked prospects, but it could also be some under-the-radar names who are putting themselves on the prospect map. Let’s dive in and see who makes this week’s Hot Sheet. RHP Darren Bowen, Wichita Wind Surge Bowen might not be a familiar name for Twins fans, because he has yet to be considered among the team’s top 20 prospects. He came to the organization as part of the Jorge Polanco trade, along with Gabriel Gonzalez, Anthony DeSclafani, and Justin Topa. That trade is starting to look like a win for both teams based on Polanco’s hot start to 2025 and Bowen and Gonzalez starting to establish themselves. Hitting the Hot Button Bowen is in his age-24 season and getting his first taste of Double-A baseball. On Friday, he threw five innings of no-hit baseball with an earned run, three walks, and four strikeouts. He's made eight starts, and has yet to allow more than two earned runs in any appearance. Batters are hitting .147/.250/.319 against him and have only gone 4-for-49 (.082) in his last four starts. There are areas for him to improve, but he’s putting himself in the discussion to make the team’s top 20 prospects when lists are updated later this season. Tanner Schobel, Wichita Wind Surge Schobel has been on the prospect map for the Twins since they selected him with their second-round pick in 2022. He has spent parts of the last three seasons at Double A, but he is about average age for that level this season. In 2024, he played 122 games and slashed .211/.301/.338 with 20 doubles and 10 home runs. Schobel showed some defensive versatility by playing four defensive positions last season, starting at second base, third base, shortstop, and left field. That utility could help him crack the big leagues. Hitting the Hot Button During May, Schobel has been on a tear at the plate. After posting a .752 OPS in April, he's slashed .326/.367/.528 with nine doubles and three home runs in his last 20 games. Through Sunday’s action, he has a 13-game hit streak wherein he has gone 19-for-54 (.352 BA) with more walks (6) than strikeouts (5). Even more impressive is that he has been facing older [itchers in nearly 70% of his plate appearances. He is solidifying himself as one of the team’s top 20 prospects, and should be promoted to St. Paul soon if he continues to hit this well. Travis Adams, St. Paul Saints Adams may be a less familiar name to some fans, but some will remember him because the Twins surprisingly added him to the team’s 40-man roster this winter to protect him from the Rule 5 Draft. Minnesota selected him in the sixth round of the 2021 MLB Draft, and he had a breakout season in 2024 at Double-A Wichita. In 22 appearances (108 IP), he posted a 3.67 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP, with a 24.5 K% and a 6.3 BB%. The Twins thought highly enough of him to protect him, but the Saints' starting staff has been stacked this year, forcing him to serve in a unique role. Hitting the Hot Button For most of the season, Adams has been used as a piggyback for one of the team’s more highly ranked starters. He has averaged 3 1/3 innings per appearance, even picking up some multi-inning saves in the middle of April. On Friday, David Festa was on a pitch limit as he has been dealing with a minor arm issue, so Adams was ready to follow him. He allowed one hit in 4 1/3 shutout innings, while striking out six and walking two. His Hard Hit% has dropped 1.5% this season compared to last year at Triple A. Adams might not have the same pedigree as some of the team’s other pitching options, but the Twins may need him since he is on the 40-man roster. Schobel has been ranked among the Twins top prospects and sits in 17th on Twins Daily’s most recently updated list. Adams and Bowen might not crack the team's top 20 just yet, but their performances are worth watching, especially since they are both in the upper minors. Every player on the list has a chance to impact the Twins roster over the next two years. Which prospect has helped their stock the most in recent weeks? Leave a comment and start the discussion. View full article

Image courtesy of © Bruce Kluckhohn-Imagn Images Chris Paddack's 2025 season has been a tale of two narratives. After a disastrous first start of the season against the White Sox wherein he surrendered nine earned runs over just 3 1/3 innings, Paddack has (seemingly) rebounded impressively. Over his other nine starts, he posted a commendable 2.59 ERA, suggesting a return to form for a pitcher who was only expected to be a back-of-the-rotation option. However, a deeper dive into his underlying metrics raises questions about the sustainability of this performance. Surface Success vs. Underlying Metric While Paddack's recent ERA is impressive, his Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) during this stretch stands at 3.77, over a run higher than his ERA. This discrepancy often indicates that a pitcher has benefited from factors outside their control, such as defensive support or favorable sequencing. Moreover, Paddack's strikeout-to-walk ratio during this period is 33-to-15, over 48 2/3 innings. These totals translate to a strikeout rate (K%) of 16.1% and a walk rate (BB%) of 8.8%, both of which are career worsts for him. For context, the league average strikeout rate hovers around 22%, making Paddack's decline in strikeouts particularly concerning. If a pitcher doesn’t have a strikeout pitch, it can lead to longer at-bats, higher pitch counts, and quicker hooks. Hard Contact and Batted-Ball Concerns Paddack's batted-ball profile also augurs potential issues. His Hard Hit%, the percentage of opponents' batted balls hit with an exit velocity of 95 mph or higher, is at 45.1%. This total is significantly above the MLB average of 36.7%. His Hard Hit% ranks in the 23rd percentile, suggesting that hitters will start having more pitches fall in against him because of the regular solid contact they are making. His fastball has been concerning. Batters' expected slugging percentage (xSLG) is .460 versus his four-seamer, compared to an actual slugging percentage (SLG) of .299. This 161-point gap indicates that, based on the quality of contact, hitters should be slugging much higher against him. His velocity is slightly up on the pitch this season, so it’s more of a concern with his location than stuff. Such disparities often regress over time, potentially leading to more extra-base hits allowed. Another red flag is the increase in pulled air balls against Paddack. His Pull AIR%, the percentage of balls hit in the air to the pull side, is at a career-high 19.1%, compared to the league average of 16.6%. Pulled fly balls are more likely to result in home runs, suggesting a heightened risk of long balls in the future. He’s given up seven home runs this season, but three came in his disastrous first outing. Batters will get luckier against him, and more fly balls will leave the yard. A closer look at Paddack's pitch arsenal reveals diminished effectiveness. In 2024, all four of his primary pitches achieved at least a 19% whiff rate. This season, only two pitches (the changeup and slider) have maintained that threshold, with whiff rates of 25.9% and 27.5%, respectively. His fastball, which he throws over 50% of the time, has a whiff rate of just 17.9% and is being hit hard, with a Hard Hit% of 51.8%. The decline in swing-and-miss capability across his arsenal suggests that hitters are seeing his pitches better, leading to more contact and, potentially, more damage. While Paddack's recent stretch has provided a boost to the Twins' rotation, the underlying metrics paint a more cautionary tale. His reduced strikeout rate, increased walk rate, elevated hard contact rate, and declining isolated pitch effectiveness all point toward potential regression. Unless adjustments are made (such as refining pitch locations, altering pitch usage, or enhancing pitch movement), Paddack's current success may prove unsustainable. Monitoring and addressing these underlying issues will be crucial for the Twins to maintain their competitive edge in the coming weeks. What’s the most concerning part of Paddack’s underlying numbers? What can he do to avoid a future blowup? Leave a comment and start the discussion. View full article

Image courtesy of © Kim Klement (Berrios), Mark J. Rebilas (Gibson, Meyer)- Imagn Images Regarding pitching, the Twins’ farm has delivered a remarkable array of arms over the past 25 years, including flamethrowers, craft artists, and power relievers alike. For the All-Century Prospect Team at Twins Daily, there have been some remarkable hitting prospects, while the pitching prospects have left something to be desired. Below are profiles of five starters and two relievers who carried sky-high expectations during their time in the Twins system. SP: Francisco Liriano The Twins acquired Liriano in one of the most famous trades in team history, sending A.J. Pierzynski to the Giants for Liriano, Joe Nathan, and Boof Bonser. Liriano’s 96–97 mph heater and wipe-out slider quickly made him one of baseball’s top prospects. In 2005, his 2.63 ERA in Minnesota’s upper minors vaulted him to Baseball America’s No. 6 overall prospect. He was electric with a 2.16 ERA en route to an All-Star selection. In a rotation with Johan Santana, he was the team’s best starter. Injury woes curtailed his prime, but Liriano still ranks among the greatest prospect-to-breakout conversions in club history. SP: José Berríos Taken with the 32nd overall pick in the 2012 MLB Draft, Berríos was a consensus top-50 prospect entering the 2015 season and peaked in the top 20 on multiple top-100 lists. The 2014 season was his breakout season as he rocketed through High- to Triple-A, posting a 2.76 ERA and 9.0 K/9 over 140 innings while only being 20 years old. By 2016, he became a regular in Minnesota’s rotation and was one of the league’s most consistent pitchers during his Twins tenure. Though he never quite reached ace territory before being traded in 2019, Berríos was a two-time All-Star and helped carry the team’s pitching staff through some tough years. SP: Kyle Gibson A first-round pick in 2009, Gibson’s college pedigree allowed him to move through the system quickly. In 2010, he made his professional debut and dominated three different levels with a 2.96 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP while vaulting himself into national top-100 prospect lists. Gibson became a reliable starter for the Twins from 2013–19, becoming prized for his durability even if he was never considered an ace. His career arc peaked with a 3.5 WAR in 2018 and rewarded the organization with 147+ innings six times, an underrated luxury in the modern era. SP: Joe Ryan Ryan was considered a borderline top-100 prospect when the Twins acquired him in the Nelson Cruz trade from Tampa Bay. His prospect profile was unique because he could dominate in the high minors by relying almost exclusively on his fastball. In the Twins system, he has further developed his secondary pitches to establish himself as a borderline All-Star over the last two seasons. Since 2023, he ranks 12th in the AL in fWAR and third in K/9 behind Cole Ragans and Tarik Skubal. Ryan’s high-ceiling arsenal suggests he’s the first of this group still climbing. SP: Alex Meyer Meyer was drafted 23rd overall by the Washington Nationals in 2011 and came to the Twins in a one-for-one trade for Denard Span. He was a top-100 prospect from 2013-15. Yet Meyer struggled with command in the upper minors, walking 4.0 batters per nine in his time at Triple-A. He only made four appearances for the Twins and allowed 10 earned runs over 6 1/3 innings. Minnesota traded him to the Angels in 2016 as part of the Ricky Nolasco deal. A shoulder injury led to surgery and, ultimately, retirement. Meyer’s story remains a cautionary tale: elite tools don’t always translate without consistent control and health. RP: Jhoan Durán The Arizona Diamondbacks signed Durán in 2015, and he was traded to the Twins three years later as part of the Eduardo Escobar swap. He quickly started turning heads in the Twins organization as he consistently hit triple-digits as a starter. As he moved through the upper minors, there began to be some injury concerns, and he was moved to the bullpen. His MLB introduction in 2022 was electric: 8 saves, a sub-2.00 ERA, and gas up to 103 mph. Durán’s devastating splinker adds an exclamation point, and when healthy, he’s arguably the best reliever prospect in franchise annals. RP: Brusdar Graterol The Twins signed Graterol in August 2014, but he was limited to four starts from 2014-16 after undergoing Tommy John surgery. All three national top-100 lists had Graterol ranked as high as No. 32 entering the 2020 season. Before that season, Minnesota traded Graterol to the Dodgers as part of the Kenta Maeda trade, so he was never fully able to be used as a reliever with the Twins. Still, he has become a vital part of the Dodgers bullpen as they have won multiple World Series titles since he was acquired. Over the last quarter century, the Twins have had a mixed bag of pitcher prospects. For multiple years, Berríos was the biggest success story, while Gibson carved out a long, durable career. Ryan looks to be the next star in the making, his early results boding well for sustained success. On the flip side, Meyer is a reminder that there is no such thing as a pitching prospect, as he tried to compensate for nagging control issues and injuries. As prospect lists turn over, the Twins have attempted to redefine their pitching pipeline, and there have been positive results so far. However, these seven arms represent some dark years in Minnesota as the organization underwent franchise-altering changes on the pitching and development front. Whether culmination or cautionary tale, each profile offers a window into what it takes to transform raw talent into Major League production, and why, in Minnesota, prospect fever never really subsides. Would you add other pitchers to the list? What stands out about this group? Leave a comment and start the discussion. View full article

I was trying to select prospects from a few different eras and there were some dark prospect lists in the 2010s.

Jenkins was included because he is already considered one of baseball's top prospects. It was more about how he is viewed from a national level as he's a top-10 global prospect. He is already seen as a better prospect than Kepler was ever considered.

Image courtesy of © Bruce Kluckhohn (Buxton), Jordan Johnson (Lewis, Mauer)- Imagn Images Throughout the franchise’s history, the Twins have prided themselves on drafting and developing talent into big-league impact. Today, we look at the nine hitters who have left a lasting legacy on the organization, examining what made them can’t-miss stars, how they fared once they arrived in the Show, and why one bright young phenom is still waiting in the wings. C: Joe Mauer Selected first overall in the 2001 draft, Mauer was the rare catcher whose bat overshadowed even his gold-glove glove. Scouts drooled over his advanced plate discipline (he walked more than he struck out in High-A) and natural hitter’s hands. He debuted as a 21-year-old and went on to win three batting titles and an MVP (2009). While chronic concussions eventually forced him off the position to first base, Mauer vastly exceeded expectations, becoming the face of the franchise and retiring as perhaps the greatest pure-hitting catcher in MLB history. He was a first-ballot Hall of Famer and quite possibly the best prospect in Twins history. 1B: Justin Morneau Taken in the third round in 1999, Morneau was a hulking slugger with jaw-dropping raw power and surprising on-base chops for someone who hit so many homers. His swing’s blend of torque and balance made him an easy fit for the Metrodome’s friendly right-center dimensions. He debuted in 2003, but 2006 was his breakout: .321/.375/.559 (.934), and the start of a five-year run that included an MVP (2006), two All-Star nods, and a Silver Slugger. While injuries, especially back and concussion issues, chipped away at his production later on, Morneau met, and at times surpassed, the lofty prospect billing. 2B: Brian Dozier Dozier wasn’t a household name when the Twins drafted him in the eighth round of 2009, and he was never a consensus top-100 prospect. However, he put himself on the map after hitting .320/.399/.491 (.890) between High-A and Double-A. Over seven Twins seasons, he clubbed 167 homers, peaking at 42 in 2016, and earned an All-Star nod in 2015. Some could argue that Jorge Polanco could’ve held this second base spot because he was a top-100 prospect but spent the first several years of his career at shortstop. Dozier’s blend of defense and power ultimately gave him the nod, and he might be the prospect that most greatly exceeded expectations. SS: Royce Lewis Lewis entered the 2019 season as a global top-10 prospect after a standout debut at Cedar Rapids, where he posted a .803 OPS with 14 homers and 29 doubles. Lewis possessed five-tool upside with power and the agility to handle shortstop. Unfortunately, he tore his ACL twice on his way to becoming a big-league regular. When healthy, Lewis looks every bit the centerpiece he was projected to be in the minors. He hasn’t yet had the sustained opportunity to prove he can deliver on that top-100 billing, but the pedigree remains impeccable. 3B: Miguel Sanó Signed as part of the heralded 2009 international class, Sanó carried a slugger’s reputation on par with any in baseball. At just 18, he blasted 20 homers in 66 rookie ball games, showcasing uncanny raw power. Scouts worried about his swing-and-miss tendencies and defensive footwork, but few doubted he’d hit. When Sanó finally debuted in 2015, he mashed 18 homers in 80 games, confirming the prodigious power and finishing third in the AL Rookie of the Year voting. Yet inconsistency at the plate (.233 career average) and defensive limitations frustrated fans. Sanó delivered on part of his prospect promise (115 OPS+) but fell short of becoming a complete star. OF: Byron Buxton Buxton might be the most hyped prospect in Twins' history. Everyone remembers turning on a Twins game circa 2016 to see him beat out an infield hit or uncork a laser throw from center. That was Buxton in a nutshell: the dynamic athleticism that made him the consensus No. 1 Twins prospect for multiple seasons (2014-15). He paired 80-grade speed with a 70-grade arm and sneaky pop. Yet injuries have been the overarching story of his big-league career. He’s been an All-Star and won a Gold Glove but has only played over 100 games twice. Health remains the significant variable. When he’s on the field, he’s closer to his prospect projection than almost anyone, but consistency has been elusive. OF: Walker Jenkins In 2023, the Twins selected Jenkins with the 5th overall pick, instantly vaulting him to the top of their farm system. His combination of plus raw power, 60-grade hit tool, and high-end athleticism drew immediate comparisons to Buxton. Yet Jenkins remains a prospect in the truest sense: his time in the minors has been severely impacted by injuries, so it has been tough to gauge his long-term skills. Will he stick in center or shift to a corner spot? Can he refine his swing-and-miss rate? He remains one of the game’s top prospects, but he must find a way to be successful in the upper minors. OF: Aaron Hicks The 14th overall pick in 2008, Hicks broke into pro ball as a five-tool threat. He was a top-100 prospect leading into four different seasons. He posted a .829 OPS in low A, turning heads with gap power and plus defense in center. Yet Hicks didn’t debut until 2013, and it took until 2018 with the Yankees for him to deliver a full 500-PA season (127 OPS+). With the Twins from 2013–15, Hicks provided streaky hitting but never quite blossomed into the atop-the-chart prospect many had pegged. His career line of .231/.330/.383 (.713) suggests a solid fourth-outfielder profile rather than the five-tool star once envisioned. DH: Jason Kubel Kubel, a 12th-rounder in 2000, emerged as one of the game’s best prospects, with Baseball America ranking him 17th entering the 2005 season. He earned prospect props for his mature approach and power potential as he hit 17 homers in Low-A at age 20, then slashed .352/.414/.590 (1.004) in Double-A. His polished bat hinted at a middle-of-the-order future, but a devastating knee injury slowed his trajectory. From 2004–10, Kubel delivered six seasons above 20 homers, including a .300 average in 2009, and slotted into the middle of the order behind Mauer and Morneau. Chronic back issues and a shoulder injury later sapped his pop. Still, Kubel never blossomed into an MVP candidate after his injury in the minors, but he carved out a decent big-league career. Across a quarter century of scouting, the Twins have uncovered hitters whose tools promised stardom: Mauer’s sweet swing, Morneau’s thunder, Lewis’s five-tool ceiling, and Jenkins’s potential emergence. Some like Mauer, Morneau, or Dozier met or exceeded those lofty marks, embedding themselves in franchise lore. Others like Sanó, Hicks, and Kubel delivered parts of the package, leaving fans to wonder what might have been. Lewis and Jenkins remind us that the story isn’t finished, with both attempting to overcome injury adversity. As the Twins look toward their next quarter century, these nine hitters stand as proof that top prospects can define eras, shape franchises, and captivate fans, no matter whether they crush it in a Twins uniform or simply crush homers in our memories. Should someone else have made the list? Leave a comment and start the discussion. View full article

Image courtesy of © Chris Tilley-Imagn Images Marco Raya’s ascent through the Twins’ system has been meteoric, but his 2025 performance has been equally dramatic in the opposite direction. After years of tightly controlled workloads, his 2025 performance has been disastrous. At this juncture, the Twins must acknowledge that Raya’s future isn’t in the rotation, and a shift to the bullpen is logical and overdue. Rapid Promotions Mask Uncertainty Since being drafted in 2020, Raya’s six-pitch arsenal has made him one of the Twins’ top pitching prospects. However, his smaller frame (6-foot-1, 170 lb.) made the Twins systematically capped his outings. Most starts from 2022–2023 were five innings or fewer, followed by a cautious bump to five innings in select late-2024 outings. This conservative approach stemmed from Raya’s 2021 shoulder strain, during which Twins development staff prioritized long-term health over short-term success. The result was no significant setbacks but also no true test of his stamina against lineups multiple times. Paradoxically, while Raya’s pitch counts were restrained, his ascent through the minors was swift. After dominating High-A Cedar Rapids, he graduated to Double-A Wichita mid-2023, and later in 2024 made a brief Triple-A cameo before his contract was added to the 40-man roster in November. This rapid promotion was a clear signal of the Twins’ belief in his high ceiling. Yet that rapid climb never fully answered whether his repertoire could maintain bite deeper into games or if his body could adapt to extended starts. 2024: The Harbinger of Confidence Despite workload caps, Raya’s 2024 numbers hinted at genuine promise. Across 97 2/3 innings between Double-A and Triple-A, he posted a 4.05 ERA, a 24.6% strikeout rate, and a 10.5% walk rate. Those metrics underscored his swing-and-miss stuff, particularly his plus mid-80s slider. His four-seam fastball regularly registered in the mid-90s, touching 97 mph, and both ride and sink variants averaged over 94 mph, offering a solid base for continued growth. Encouraged by that profile, the Twins gradually loosened the leash late in 2024, allowing Raya to eclipse five innings in five of his last seven starts. This shift represented a turning point: the organization was signaling readiness to test him as a bona fide starter, armed with data suggesting his arsenal could play beyond limited stints. It was a positive end to the season for a player who was only 21-years old. 2025: A Statistical Implosion In his first seven outings of 2025, Raya has been charged with 21 earned runs in 15 2/3 innings, translating to a 12.06 ERA which is an unsustainable level for any rotation hopeful. His walk tally stands at 18, more free passes than strikeouts (17), driving his walk-rate to 19.4% compared to 10.5% last year. Meanwhile, his K-rate has cratered by 6.3 percentage points, an alarming sign that his once-electric slider and fastball aren’t missing bats like they used to. Beyond the walks and missed bats, opponents are punishing Raya’s mistakes. Through seven games, batters are hitting .431/.533/.556 with a 1.088 OPS that ranks among the worst marks for any starter at any level this season. When a pitcher is yielding more walks than strikeouts and allowing hits at a near-45% clip. There may be some small sample size caveats, but he’s shown few positive signs in any outing. Why Relief Is the Only Viable Path 1. Simplifying the Arsenal Raya’s six-pitch mix has allowed him to be successful in the past, but his command inconsistencies in 2025 suggest he’s better suited to focusing on a two- or three-pitch repertoire out of the bullpen. In shorter outings, he can lean on his four-seam fastball (already touching the upper 90s) and his plus slider, the latter being the pitch that has been his best in the past. Concentrating on his best offerings could unlock more downhill arm speed and sharpen the break of his secondary pitches. 2. The Bulldozer Role In relief, Raya’s heater could tick upward, potentially hitting the upper 90s, a velocity boost that would add an extra dimension to his profile. The slider, which graded as a plus pitch in 2024, would morph into a true weapon if thrown with the fire and conviction only shorter stints can provide. Given his current struggles to navigate batting order turns, a “bulldozer” relief role (one inning of max-effort, swing-and-miss stuff) feels tailor-made. Raya’s journey has been marked by tantalizing highs and cautious development, but the 2025 results leave little doubt: his path to MLB impact must diverge from the rotation. The Twins owe it to one of their top prospects to realign expectations and harness his best qualities in the bullpen. By embracing a relief role, Raya can rebuild confidence, increase velocity, and reestablish his slider as an elite offering. For a pitcher whose future has long been in question, this change is a strategic pivot toward realizing his undeniable upside. Is it time to move Raya to the bullpen? Leave a comment and start the discussion. View full article