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Rod Carews Birthday

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Everything posted by Rod Carews Birthday

  1. Rod Carews Birthday
    I agree that Lee did OK in the field last year, but if he loses any more speed, it seems likely that it would affect him quickly and greatly on the defensive side of the ball. I come back to him being 23 and slow. That's an unusual combination for someone who isn't a hulking slugger. In the immediate term, I'm more concerned about his bat. Last year was kind of a loss, so he's got to get it going this year or he becomes just another average guy. Not sure what happened with Castro on the basepaths. In 2023, he was excellent and a real sparkplug on the bases, but in 2024 he seemingly couldn't make it happen at all. I'm guessing that the truth lies somewhere in between, but that's pretty weird.
  2. Rod Carews Birthday
    The Wallner number is a little scary but let’s hope he can eliminate some strikeouts to not need such a gaudy ball batted in play number. The one that really scares me though is Brooks Lee in the 13th percentile for sprint speed. It is to be expected for catchers (Vasquez) or really old guys (Santana), but not for YOUNG infielders. And here’s my big concern. If that’s his speed now, what does it look like five years from now or when he’s 33 or 34? It seems unlikely that he gets faster as he ages. Is there anyone his age currently in the league that’s slower?
  3. Rod Carews Birthday
    This article gets me excited about he potential future of the team. I really hope ERod comes through and becomes the kind of excellent hitter he has been in the minors. Our track record lately has been a little spotty. If he's hot in spring training, I say keep him in the lineup somehow -- you can always move Larnach, et al to DH to make it work. If he isn't awesome in the spring, send him to AAA. I think the important part is that the team does what is best of HIS development so that he can become the star that we are all hoping he becomes. I don't want to stall his development by keeping at St. Paul, but I don't want to rush him to the majors before he's ready. The timetable is for him in the long term, not for a little instant gratification for the Twins and fans.
  4. Rod Carews Birthday
    EXACTLY
  5. Rod Carews Birthday
    You are absolutely correct. We can all control our own reading. My argument is with the tone of the article - establishing a sense of urgency under demonstrably false pretenses. It is also that Twins Daily maintains a solid group of writers -- some I like much more or much less than others (and that's OK and normal) -- and I expect quality writing from the collective group and not just clickbait. That's why I called it out in what was intended to be a humorous fashion. Clickbait is for trying to lure readers on the general internet or social media by making people say "OMG, I have to see this!" I would argue that it is not for a site such as this where an established base of readers wants high quality information. That's why I signed up and I'm sure many others did as well. I would call it constructive feedback.
  6. Rod Carews Birthday
    I hate to pile on, but. . . Stay tuned! Next we have an article that asks this question. . . . Is Kirby Pucket really one of the top 25 MN Twins in history? OR Was Rod Carew actually a good hitter?
  7. Rod Carews Birthday
    Actually I would. I think the odds of Yunior Severino being a serviceable slugging type first baseman are probably only about 20%. However, I think the odds of Kiriloff being a full-time productive player are less than that. MAYBE Kiriloff IF HEALTHY ENOUGH TO PERFORM has a chance of being better than that, but at this point I'm just playing what I believe the percentages to be. In reality I think first base will be covered by some combination of Julien and Miranda. The defense won't be amazing, but I think that they will both eventually hit and be healthy enough to perform. OR, I could be completely wrong! In reference to your edit. . . even without the edit, I think that there are better options out there for the 40 man than Kiriloff (maybe some that we haven't traded for yet). Having space certainly increases your flexibility for trades/rule 5 pickups/waiver claims/free agents (cheap ones), and I like that.
  8. Rod Carews Birthday
    I believe this is the key. To me, Kiriloff is the next guy to remove from the 40-man on the position player side of things. We have too many players that are very similar and to me, he is the one that looks to be least likely to succeed. It's not that he's not talented, but it's that he doesn't seem likely to be able to realize that talent at the major league level. I think he looks like a 5% chance of success vs. 50% chance of complete failure vs. 45% chance of slogging along at the same level, which is also probably failure, plus we lose the opportunity to figure out some of the other players on the roster, like Julien and Miranda et al.
  9. Rod Carews Birthday
    These three players certainly have the potential of being good major leaguers, but let's tap the brakes a little bit. Let them prove it at AAA a while before we get greedy. If all of those sure fire stars and MVP candidates would actually come though, I'm happy to admit I'm wrong. A little more time in St. Paul won't hurt any of them (in fact some of them haven't even played there yet). At this point, I'm still waiting for last year's can't miss impact prospects to have that aforementioned impact. It isn't popular to say this, but we really don't know yet what we have in Lee, Lewis, and Julian. They might put it together and still be excellent, or they might not, and trend lines and injury issues are mixed. I THINK Wallner seems to be coming of age, but I'm also still not sure what to think about Larnach and Miranda who trend up a little, then down a little.
  10. Rod Carews Birthday
    Carew wasn't an awesome defender. He wasn't a butcher, but there were no gold gloves to be had. He was definitely better at 1st than at 2nd. I'm in agreement on Julien. He needs "something". I just am not sure what it is. The talent is there but he seems to have forgotten how to do anything with it. Some sort of mental re-set seems to be in order.
  11. Rod Carews Birthday
    Not sure, but that's probably the kind of trade that could be done to work this out. Personally, I'm in the keep Ryan camp, but I could trade Lee.
  12. Rod Carews Birthday
    If the Twins can fix the rest of the offense, then carrying a guy that doesn't hit well at catcher is acceptable. He provides a lot defensively and probably does quite a bit to help those young pitchers. That is actually quite a lot. IF they had someone to replace him, then I'm all over trading him for salary relief. However, that guy doesn't exist in the organization yet. Perhaps another trade could fix that.
  13. Rod Carews Birthday
    Hard to say. I'm not convinced yet, but he has certainly earned another chance to show us more. He definitely gets the award for best use of eye-black, hands down.
  14. Rod Carews Birthday
    Was his fielding OK when he had a 130 OPS+? At that OPS+, he's not likely to be a net negative. Nobody's defense is that bad. Well, at least it wasn't this bad. . . . That guy was terrible. . . .
  15. Rod Carews Birthday
    Every single player should be for sale every year. . . but only for the right price. I'm not sure if dealing Miranda is a good or bad idea in a vacuum, because in a vacuum we don't know what the return will be. I would deal him (in a package probably) in a second for a front line starting pitcher with some control, or for a big powerhitter that plays great defense. However, dealing him for an A ball flyer or a mediocre relief pitcher is a non-starter for me. I don't think there is anyone who is truly untouchable after the season the Twins had collectively, but I also think it is foolish to have a fire sale for no reason at all. That's how you become the White Sox. It's easy to say, "Maybe we should" or "Maybe we shouldn't". What I would like to see is an article with some specific comps around the league that have a similar value, along with some actual proposals for said deals. I know we don't know who is willing to deal, but it's really no more speculative than an article like this.
  16. Rod Carews Birthday
    So, if I interpret you correctly, the player that was playing much improved (over last year) defense for the first couple of months this season, who is also the player that had an OPS+ of 130 last year, isn't worth developing at all? That seems unusually harsh. Not every player development is linear. It's pretty common to have a dip after a solid debut (the so-called sophomore slump). I would agree with @JD-TWINS in that the problem seems to be at least as much mental as physical for Julien and that he may be outstanding if he can figure that out. He may not work out, as may many players not work out, but I think he is certainly worth giving another chance or two to unlock what he can do. By the way, you know who else wasn't a good second baseman, particularly when he was young? Rod Carew. No, I'm not comparing the two of them as complete players, but defensively they are more similar than alike. The solution ultimately was to move Carew over to first base, where he graded out better. Maybe that's in Julien's future as well.
  17. Rod Carews Birthday
    So other than that, Mrs. Lincoln, how did you like the play?
  18. Rod Carews Birthday
    I hate the idea of trading either of these two guys, but it would likely be the best way to get a pretty serious return in trade. Whether that makes the team better depends on how well those young starters can take over the rotation spots. The fact that Lopez, Ober, and Ryan all become free agents at the same time is probably reason enough to do something about it, but I feel like we've tried for so long to have a decent rotation that trading one away would be very disappointing.
  19. Rod Carews Birthday
    Everyone is always available for the right price. However, I can't see that trading Lopez would bring back so much return that I would be willing to make the trade. It would severely weaken our pitching staff and set the team back dramatically. Don't do this!
  20. Rod Carews Birthday
    Oops, forgot to add this. If you want to go see some really cheap baseball, just buy White Sox tickets on the secondary market. Several times this season (even early in the season), I got box seats in the first few rows for under $20 apiece. If you wanted to go to the bleachers, you could get them for $2. The Sox are pretty terrible, but they do still play other major league teams, so it's still worthwhile. They have an extreme attendance problem. At the moment, they couldn't sell out if they gave the tickets away.
  21. Rod Carews Birthday
    What are the White Sox (FANS) up to? Crying. . . . or perhaps in Biblical terms, weeping and gnashing of teeth.
  22. Rod Carews Birthday
    First of all, Santana had a better year last year at 38 than Goldschmidt had at 36. What next year holds for either of them is almost anyone's guess. They could both be better or both fall off a cliff in production. My money at this point is probably on Santana to have a better year based on the most recent track record. I also think that both of them probably would benefit from being 120 game players than 150 game players. Second of all, I hate headlines like this "Future Hall of Famer" stuff. That is false hope if I've ever heard it. Aside from the fact that he is a borderline HOF candidate (I'd call him a poor man's Fred McGriff, but he could get in), it portrays a player at his peak, not at the bottom of his production. And quotes about his production over a 30 game period are what Twins fans have hung their hats on about Kepler for years, and we know how that usually turned out. Someone will likely overpay for Goldschmidt's production next year. I don't want it to be the Twins.
  23. Rod Carews Birthday
    I think how Duran recovers (or doesn't) makes a pretty huge difference in how the rest of the bullpen plays out. With him at his most effective, it moves guys like Jax, Sands, Stewart, et al down the pecking order making the whole pen better. The injury situation is huge. I would be pleased if ONE of Topa or Stewart can get back to healthy and stay that way. Again, their presence pushes down the roles that others plays. Varland moving the pen full-time should be a winner, although that isn't guaranteed. He still needs to finish batters off and get them out. I think there should be a minor league push to move some arms to the bullpen at AAA. Much like Varland, I don't think guys like Prielipp are going to make it as starters (in competition with Matthews, etc.) so having a way to keep very good arms in play is critical to their long term depth and long term success.
  24. Rod Carews Birthday
    I think that the number one thing that makes this team either attractive or unattractive to a buyer is the one thing that we absolutely don't know for certain -- what does the ledger sheet look like. These positive things listed are fantastic, some more important than others, but it all pales in the face of what the real current financial situation is. There is certainly potential for growth, but it is difficult to project what it could become without knowing exactly where it is now.
  25. Rod Carews Birthday
    An article like this gives me a little bit of PTSD. Something has to be the worst of the season, but these were pretty bad -- and from some of our better pitchers.
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