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Otto von Ballpark

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Everything posted by Otto von Ballpark

  1. Otto von Ballpark
    Canceled because of prom? Think of it like a Axe Body Spray rainout.
  2. Otto von Ballpark
    Wasn't there a recent scouting tweet that Turley had significantly improved his velocity this year?
  3. Otto von Ballpark
    You could have said the same thing about Nick Tepesch a couple days ago. Or, frankly, Michael "Walking DFA" Tonkin. We've got an 8 man bullpen, and not a particularly strong one, there are plenty of opportunities to evaluate new players like Turley if they warrant it. I'd probably get Turley in AAA immediately, and if his success carries over, get him up to MLB. He's not the kind of player you make repeat his success for X number of months at a level before his next challenge.
  4. Otto von Ballpark
    Unfortunately, I don't think there are any advanced defensive game logs. More accurately, it would probably have to be a play log, but I agree that such a thing would be interesting!
  5. Otto von Ballpark
    How about this one? http://mlbfarm.com/player.php?player_id=408045&position=1B#spray
  6. Otto von Ballpark
    A silver lining for O'Rourke is because he got injured in spring training before being optioned, he is getting MLB salary, benefits, and service time for all of 2017. I am sure he would rather be pitching, of course.
  7. Otto von Ballpark
    This is incorrect. Polanco spent only 11 days in MLB combined from 2014-2015.
  8. Otto von Ballpark
    Hellickson accepted the qualifying offer last winter. The previous winter, Gallardo turned down a QO and only got 2/22. Marco Estrada re-signed for 2/26 to avoid a QO situation. A couple years older, and no QO attached, but Jason Hammel signed for 2/20 with the Cubs a few years back, and then 2/16 with the Royals this winter. It's hard to predict, but given that Hector Santiago, coming off perhaps the best month of his career last July, was only "worth" Nolasco and Meyer in trade, I suspect he is going to fall into the lower tier of FA starters.
  9. Otto von Ballpark
    Under the new CBA, this wouldn't screw him that much. Clubs will no longer have to forfeit their top pick to sign free agents with a QO attached. His old club doesn't automatically get a comp pick after the first round either. I think Santiago would accept a QO in a heartbeat, that would be a bad idea. You could probably sign him for 2 years for not much more than that.
  10. Otto von Ballpark
    It's actually a really nice redesign at Baseball Reference, if you give it a chance! You should see the Splits links in roughly their old location, under the Summary section near the top. On desktop, you will see the "Splits" drop down link right there, and on mobile, you have to tap "More Polanco Pages" to show it (and the game logs, minors, HR log, etc.). On desktop, you should see a banner under the summar
  11. Otto von Ballpark
    It's mostly defense (which makes sense, given how little he has reached base). His UZR/150 right now is an insane 48.1. Buxton is a fantastic defender, but that's likely some small sample size noise -- for comparison, Billy Hamilton is also well-regarded and has a comparably outstanding 42 UZR/150 right now -- but in 3 previous season, he's never finished with even half of that. Even as an elite defender, Buxton will probably finish about 10-20 runs, or 1-2 wins, lower than his current defensive pace, which is a gap he's going to have to make up at the plate soon if he wants to maintain his replacement level status (much less improve to average).
  12. Otto von Ballpark
    FWIW, Buxton's performance at the plate is still worse than these other guys: http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=0&type=8&season=2017&month=0&season1=2017&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=14161,18314,15172,13185,13593,12564,14162&sort=17,d
  13. Otto von Ballpark
    If you visit the source of those cross-sections: http://www.andrewclem.com/Baseball/Stadium_profiles.html You can compare Target Field. Doesn't look like it compares too favorably with the examples from the article. Fortunately, migrating down from the upper deck is eminently feasible these days.
  14. Otto von Ballpark
    Gibson was only optioned in one season of his pro career so far (2013), so he indeed has two option years left. A great reference for this is the transaction section of MILB.com player pages (desktop version, not mobile): http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?player_id=502043#/career/R/pitching/2017/ALL Note he wasn't added to the 40-man until November 2012, so seasons prior to that didn't require an option. And he has been on the MLB roster or DL from opening day 2014 until today, so no options in that time either. Just 2013. When he hits 5 years service time, he will be able to refuse an optional assignment, but that can't happen until later in the 2018 season (he is around 3.5 years service time right now).
  15. Otto von Ballpark
    Even for his career, though, Gibson has an 86 ERA+, 89 since his rookie season, and hasn't racked up a great deal of innings either. He seems more like a home-grown Correia or Pelfrey in terms of overall effectiveness. The fact that he's still not stepping up from the level of performance at age 29 is concerning, even if his peripherals haven't fallen off. I have no issue with saying Buxton is more more concerning, of course, and probably Hughes too.
  16. Otto von Ballpark
    Sounds like Tepesch, with O'Rourke to the 60-day DL, has been confirmed by the Strib's Phil Miller, via Reusse: http://m.startribune.com/boshers-arrives-gets-7-quick-outs-and-he-s-headed-back-to-rochester/420190053/
  17. Otto von Ballpark
    Why in the world would they use off days to get MORE starts from Gibson and Hughes right now?
  18. Otto von Ballpark
    Tepesch would be a little underwhelming. The best drop candidates on the 40-man are also on the 25-man, no? Murphy, I guess.
  19. Otto von Ballpark
    Berrios had 74 service time days last year. They would have to keep him down until pretty much July to prevent him from getting a full service year before the end of the season (172 days).
  20. Otto von Ballpark
    FWIW, I think Alex Wood was rumored to be a possible extra piece available in that deal. He would look pretty good on our staff right now, even if DeLeon hasn't done anything.
  21. Otto von Ballpark
    More of the same from Meyer. Mostly cruised through 2 innings then got in trouble with 2 walks and a wild pitch in the third, leading to 2 runs, and 2 more walks in the fourth. But luckily a reliever stranded the bases loaded! 3.2 IP, 2 H, 2 R, 5 BB, 3 K I'd guess he is headed back to AAA after this spot start.
  22. Otto von Ballpark
    Cody Allen pitched the 9th with a 4 run lead vs. the Twins just yesterday.
  23. Otto von Ballpark
    I guess Goose Eggs is not really a step forward enough that I care about. How much are announcers fixated on saves? I mean, they mention them when the closer comes in and when the game ends, they are a basic accounting in box scores next to wins and losses. I don't really mind them in that context, they help tell the story of the game. But it's not like announcers are quoting save stats for setup men and we're all left scratching our heads. They use different stats for them, like ERA, K/9, opponent average, platoon stats. For that matter, I'd guess announcers today regularly use those stats to describe closers too, especially when relevant (if a guy has notably high or low K rate, or platoon splits on a particular matchup, etc.) Even though the save stat is still around, I don't get the impression that a lot of people are abusing it that much anymore. We're already seeing a shift away from it mattering too much on the field (Buck Showalter's playoff game notwithstanding!). Trying to shift the mention of saves to Goose Eggs seems like a lot of work for little benefit.
  24. Otto von Ballpark
    Back to this post -- what is the announcer's specific objective here, in your example? Is he/she trying to communicate that the player has been reasonably effective? We have stats to do that, all kinds of them, without resorting to Goose Eggs and Broken Eggs. ERA, RA9, K/9 if we want to get into peripherals. Opponent's average or OPS, especially for relievers and platoon matchups. For a reliever coming in with men on base, I'd like to hear something specific about inherited runners scored percentage, compared to league average. Is he/she trying to communicate that the player has been put in a trusted role? We have leverage index specifically, and I think most fans would understand even a generalized statement like "the Twins have brought him into the highest leverage situations, on average" or "they have brought him in to increasingly higher leverage situations this season". Goose Eggs would still need some context to have any meaning here -- 21 Goose Eggs in a full season is a lot different than 21 in a half season. I just don't know what introducing Goose Eggs and Broken Eggs really accomplishes.
  25. Otto von Ballpark
    Wouldn't the SSS warning likewise apply to his BB/9 being down? Again, it's not so much this year's sample. Last year, over the full season, he had a rather pedestrian 3.70 ERA / 3.74 FIP, and his career-high K/9 rate (8.0) was still below league reliever average (8.7). I guess I am concerned that we've seen nothing so far in 2017 to suggest last season was an aberration or a stepping stone to better performance. We obviously don't have to cut him or demote him today, but I think these are valid parts of an ongoing conversation about our team and its players.
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