Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

Otto von Ballpark

Old-Timey Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    20,662

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    74

 Content Type 

Profiles

News

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospects Ranking

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

Minnesota Twins Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Pick Tracker

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by Otto von Ballpark

  1. Otto von Ballpark
    For those unaware, Danny Duffy is currently on the injured list and his return may not be imminent. Acquiring him (for a PTBNL, apparently) likely does not preclude the Dodgers from making additional moves.
  2. Otto von Ballpark
  3. Otto von Ballpark
  4. Otto von Ballpark
  5. Otto von Ballpark
    I don't doubt that teams are in Berrios and he would be an upgrade for them -- that could be said for just about any contender, every year! He's a good pitcher. I'm just not sure those NL West teams see him as enough of a "disrupter" in their present circumstances to pay a premium to keep Berrios away from their competitors. They may still pay a lot for him -- he would be the next best SP available after Scherzer -- but I'm not sure they'd pay more than other teams, or if the overall market will bear enough for the Twins to part with him.
  6. Otto von Ballpark
    Welcome to the site! No one thinks Buxton was a superstar in the first several years of his career -- he was downright terrible at times. But when he's been on the field (admittedly a big qualifier), he's played like one the past 3 years (8.0 bWAR, 6.6 fWAR in 540 PA). And a guy at his age, with that recent performance record -- even accompanied by injuries -- is not going to sign for 3/35 plus team options. It would be great for us if he did, but there's no evidence to suggest that is the market rate for such a player.
  7. Otto von Ballpark
    I'm not so sure. Both the Padres and the Dodgers are already virtual locks to make the postseason. And Berrios would be unlikely to appear in a wild card game for either. Heck, depending on health, Berrios may only be the #4 starter for the Dodgers in the DS round too -- they are obviously competitive and have a strong rivalry, but how much do the Padres care about preventing that specific Dodgers upgrade? Either the Dodgers or the Padres might prefer their rival to get Berrios instead of Scherzer. And realistically, 5.5 games back right now, the Padres might not mind the Dodgers overtaking the Giants if they think the Giants will be easier to catch/defeat in the wild card race.
  8. Otto von Ballpark
    Yes, there will still be a Rule 5 draft. There was even one in 1994, during the strike! The 2001 Rule 5 draft occurred without a CBA too -- it expired in early November that year (that was the "contraction" offseason). In general terms, "once a CBA expires, an employer has a statutorily imposed duty to maintain the status quo until its bargaining obligation is either satisfied by way of a new CBA or it is suspended while the bargaining parties are at a bargaining impasse." https://www.laboremploymentlawblog.com/2020/04/articles/national-labor-relations-act/expired-cba-mv-transportation-raytheon-network/ The Rule 5 draft fits well within the definition of "status quo." And with a Dec. 1st expiration, I doubt there would be any kind of "suspension of bargaining obligation" by the usual Rule 5 date (Dec. 12th-ish).
  9. Otto von Ballpark
    I was wondering if Rogers would welcome a trade to the NL West. He'd get to play some games in his home state of Colorado, and he could play against (or even be teammates with) his brother.
  10. Otto von Ballpark
    Dustin May... a highly regarded SP prospect who quickly acclimated to MLB -- even postseason -- and was starting to dominate when he got hurt. 142 ERA+ in 113 MLB IP so far. Yes, TJS means he's out until late 2022, but it also means his 2023-2025 arbitration salaries are going to be held down too. (Which could make him a good target for signing a reasonable extension at some point.) And it's probably too early after surgery to really worry that the Dodgers would be trying to sell a lemon. Would be fascinating if the Dodgers were actually willing to deal him!
  11. Otto von Ballpark
    Great article, but would this be better described as "trade Happ and cash to the Phillies for a PTBNL or cash"? Aren't transactions generally written with the assumption that the acquiring team assumes the full remaining salary, unless cash is sent along with the player? Your other trade descriptions seem to follow that convention. So if we're covering any of Happ's remaining salary, we should be sending cash (although that doesn't preclude Philly from eventually sending some cash back too).
  12. Otto von Ballpark
    A rare prize which hasn't been awarded to a MLB player since 1980, at least! https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/r/rookeji01.shtml
  13. Otto von Ballpark
    Who are these pitchers to which you are referring? I tend to doubt that the Twins are taking on more TJS pitchers than other clubs. It's just a reality that a lot of pitchers have TJS these days -- you can't really avoid them. And I'm not sure that TJS pitchers should be avoided as a general rule in modern MLB either -- plenty of them have had the surgery and come back just fine (i.e. deGrom 10 years ago). FWIW, Strotman's TJS was over 3 years ago now -- it's likely only an "issue" right now because the 2020 minor league season was cancelled. Ryan, likely the better prospect of the two, hasn't had the surgery.
  14. Otto von Ballpark
    I appreciate the creativity, and that would be a good deal for the Twins, but I'm not sure it would have been a good fit for the Rays. Their overall frugality means they don't have a pressing need to unload any contracts right now -- notice that they are taking on Cruz's remaining salary, and just swapped Rich Hill for a comparable contract too. Kiermaier is still producing (defensively) for them, so they'd probably rather keep him and hang on to their better prospects.
  15. Otto von Ballpark
    Faucher has had a pretty disastrous AA season so far. 19 games, 30.2 IP, 29 runs, 24 walks. 42 K's, but Faucher is a good example of why K/9 can be a poor metric, compared to K%. His K/9 looks like it is inflated by about 14% due to extra hits/walks and failing to record outs.
  16. Otto von Ballpark
    Tampa likely would have kept one of the prospects then.
  17. Otto von Ballpark
    As mentioned, Fangraphs gives these two pitchers 45 FV grades. On their respective midseason lists, the Rays had 18 such prospects, so they've got the depth to make this kind of deal. (The Twins only had 8, although we just had a few graduations and the Rays haven't quite yet.)
  18. Otto von Ballpark
    For tonight's lineup, Donaldson moves into the DH spot and Astudillo will start at 3B. Twins Daily staff is staking out the Omaha airport to see which Saint(s) will be coming to Minnesota for tomorrow's game.
  19. Otto von Ballpark
    Fangraphs gives both new pitchers a 45 FV (Future Value) score. That would put them ahead of every Twins minor league pitcher right now except Balazovic, Duran, and Canterino. Edit: actually Winder has a 45 FV too in their midseason update: https://www.fangraphs.com/prospects/the-board/2021-in-season-prospect-list/summary?sort=-1,1&team=min&type=0
  20. Otto von Ballpark
    Probably too late to activate anyone for tonight (the Saints are about to play in Omaha). Cave is on the 10th day of his rehab assignment though, so he'd be my guess to take Cruz's spot in Minnesota tomorrow over Rooker. (Position player rehab assignments can last for up to 20 days, but I haven't heard anything to suggest Cave will need the full 20 days, he seems to be hitting pretty well and playing CF.) They could activate Cave and demote Celestino, of course, separate from Rooker replacing Cruz.
  21. Otto von Ballpark
    Over in the forums, @Musk21 shared an interesting Sports Illustrated article on Joe Ryan from late May 2021: https://www.si.com/mlb/2021/05/24/pitching-prospects-college-joe-ryan-the-opener
  22. Otto von Ballpark
    Baseball Trade Values pegs this as an overpay for the Rays, although in the comments the site owner mentions that their value estimate for Joe Ryan was a little too high for some reason: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/trades/trade-53895/
  23. Otto von Ballpark
    Drew Strotman is on the 40-man already, in his first option year. His run prevention has been solid at AAA but his K/BB rates aren't great -- looks like he's mainly been preventing HR. Joe Ryan could probably slot into the Twins rotation right now based on his AAA stats -- very strong K/BB rates. He's not on the 40-man but he is Rule 5 eligible this winter so he should get added shortly.
  24. Otto von Ballpark
    I think Garlick's season might be done. Last I heard, they were still contemplating surgery. Refsynder is closer to returning. Still, they are 30 or almost 30 year old RH outfielders, which limits their potential value pretty severely. (Refsynder has pretty much stopped playing infield -- only 1 game, 7 innings at any level since 2017.) By comparison, Max Muncy was a 27 year old LHB still active at 2B/3B when the Dodgers started playing him every day in MLB. (And Muncy is still only 30, about 7 months older than Refsynder.)
  25. Otto von Ballpark
    Winder has 7.2 IP at AAA so far, Barnes might not even get protected from Rule 5 this winter, and Balazovic just completed 6 innings for the first time at AA. There is still plenty of season left for anyone deserving to get looks. Like I said upthread, I'm guessing we're not going to make any big 40-man moves until after we make our trade deadline deals.
×
×
  • Create New...