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AlwaysinModeration

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Everything posted by AlwaysinModeration

  1. AlwaysinModeration
    Apologies. I also dislike the phrase and am sorry I used it. It's on par with "let's unpack this."
  2. AlwaysinModeration
    Big props on this trade. Trade an "established closer" with below average K rates for a quick-rising lefty with three good pitches? Well done. Now, is Watson.... Francisco Liriano or Wilson Ramos? As for the "secret sauce" it seems to me Falvey/Levine like big guys with above average secondary pitches and high spin rates. I'll bet if we can track it down we will find Watson has a big spin rate on his curve. As for the Twins "giving up", I don't think that is realistic at all. I have hated watching Terry Ryan sit pat at the deadline when he could have upgraded the farm system repeatedly by selling pending free agents. Kudos to the new regime for doing what Ryan should have.
  3. AlwaysinModeration
    Angels are apparently looking for the 2B. Could Dozier to the other LA team happen out of the blue?
  4. AlwaysinModeration
    Let's hope the Enns justify the means, at least a Littell.
  5. AlwaysinModeration
    Santana's allowing a batting average on balls in play this year of .229. That's a big part of the regression to come.
  6. AlwaysinModeration
    That Davis guy can come up with some clutch hits. His homerun off of Chapman in the World Series would go down as one of the biggest hits of all-time had Cleveland managed to win that game.
  7. AlwaysinModeration
    It should be an interesting two days. While Falvey and Levine were hesitant to pull the trigger on the Dozier trade over the winter, the one thing I have noticed this year is that they are very quick to make roster moves in general. Lots of roster churn in the first four months of their tenure. Now that they have decided to sell, will be fun to see if the same trend follows, and they do in fact sell several pieces. It would be a huge change from the dull trade deadlines of the past few years. Littell looks like a good target. Not too far away, great K/BB rates. And an 11th round high school pick, which after this year I have learned means he was likely someone targeted as a hard sign.
  8. AlwaysinModeration
    I can hear the "you lost" song from the Price is Right playing after that game. By the way, weren't the Twins above 500 when Buxton was playing?
  9. AlwaysinModeration
    Also smart to arrange for it immediately after the DP.
  10. AlwaysinModeration
    I have no idea. Nunez with the game winning groundout in the 10th. Did anyone notice there is a lot of foul territory in Oakland?
  11. AlwaysinModeration
    How about the game where you had to put the five digits in order to win the car? That seemed to do a good job of making "the price is right" game.
  12. AlwaysinModeration
    Nunez hit two homers for Boston tonight.
  13. AlwaysinModeration
    Geez, I hope opposing FOs are coming to TD for their trade strategy and wisdom. I found it (and just posted it on Seth's article about trade chips). Here it is again: Peavy pitched a 101 ERA+ at 33, then pitched two more years, 108 and 74 at age 34 and 35. Guthrie posted a 132 at age 33, then went 102-95-72, done at 36. Lohse posted 133 at age 33, then went 115-107-68, done at 36. Millwood posted 88 at 33, then 127-81-115-90, done at 37. Loiaza posted 108 at 33, then averaged 83 and was done at 36. Doug Davis (106ERA+ age 29-33) posted a 108 ERA+ at age 33, then bombed to 57 over the next two years, done at 35. Steve Traschel posted a 107, then posted 88 and 94 in his age 35 and 36 season, playing sporadically at age 34 and 37, done at 37. Miguel Batista posted a couple of 103/102 seasons as a starter after 33, and became a solid closer for some of those years, lasting until 40. Javier Vasquez posted 81 and 106 in his age 33 and 34 seasons and then retired. Brad Radke, who posted a 110 ERA+ from age 29-33 posted a 104 at age 33, and then was done. Finally, Ervin Santana pitched a 124 ERA at age 33, with a 101 ERA+ from age 29-33 (including years of 74 and 90 in that stretch.)
  14. AlwaysinModeration
    I pulled up an old comment I posted this offseason, looking at Santana comps: "Peavy pitched a 101 ERA+ at 33, then pitched two more years, 108 and 74 at age 34 and 35. Guthrie posted a 132 at age 33, then went 102-95-72, done at 36. Lohse posted 133 at age 33, then went 115-107-68, done at 36. Millwood posted 88 at 33, then 127-81-115-90, done at 37. Loiaza posted 108 at 33, then averaged 83 and was done at 36. Doug Davis (106ERA+ age 29-33) posted a 108 ERA+ at age 33, then bombed to 57 over the next two years, done at 35. Steve Traschel posted a 107, then posted 88 and 94 in his age 35 and 36 season, playing sporadically at age 34 and 37, done at 37. Miguel Batista posted a couple of 103/102 seasons as a starter after 33, and became a solid closer for some of those years, lasting until 40. Javier Vasquez posted 81 and 106 in his age 33 and 34 seasons and then retired. Brad Radke, who posted a 110 ERA+ from age 29-33 posted a 104 at age 33, and then was done. Finally, Ervin Santana pitched a 124 ERA at age 33, with a 101 ERA+ from age 29-33 (including years of 74 and 90 in that stretch.). He's headed toward his rapid decline phase, although he might post another 100+ year or maybe two if he is lucky. He also has a history with PEDs, which may have helped him more in the past than going forward. The Twins should trade him for whatever they can get." I stick by that assessment. He's been good this year. He won't be good for long. Trade him now.
  15. AlwaysinModeration
    I believe that the FO should and does consider Buxton, Sano, Berrios and Royce Lewis as untouchable in the Twins org right now. Not that they would really be trading away prospects at this juncture. Aren't we supposed to be speculating on trading away some of the veterans?
  16. AlwaysinModeration
    In the off-season I looked up a bunch of pitchers that were similar in age and performance as Santana. I don't have the list with me (I could probably find it in comments I made), but I do remember clearly that almost all of that declined rapidly, with most being either ineffective or out of baseball within two years. Santana has put up great numbers - elite, in fact - from last June to this June. He is going to decline soon. The Twins FO should absolutely be selling him and trying to get controllable starting pitching in return. If it is near MLB ready, great. But if it is 2-3 years away with high upside, I'd take that too.
  17. AlwaysinModeration
    Actually, I think it is fairly common to trade a guy who you recently traded for. There is no allegiance there. Plus, if Falvey gets a better prospect back than Ynoa...well done!
  18. AlwaysinModeration
    I think you are doing this right, at least in terms of responding with just the right amount of tongue in cheek to the tongue in cheek.
  19. AlwaysinModeration
    5.5 games back of the division and 4 games back in the wild card. I think this series sweep clarifies things in a hurry. Both Cleveland and KC are smoking hot. I suggest the Twins trade Dozier,Santana and Kintzler.
  20. AlwaysinModeration
    Can I humbly put forward bach's double violin concerto for consideration? Or Mozart's requiem? Edit: I see Craig already did (requiem)
  21. AlwaysinModeration
    Congrats Brian on you 27th anniversary. I'm not sure we needed to know you intended to give her a Jaime for your anniversary though. I have an MLBtv complaint. This is going to sound odd, I frequently watch the games after they start or even after they are over. I hate that you can see how long the game is on the bottom scroll. It would be much better if MLB ran the feed for a flat 5 hours every game, and you had no idea as you were match whether there are five minutes left for the Twins to rally in the bottom of the 9th, or 35 minutes. Needless to say, the Twins didn't rally in the bottom of the 9th. And Breslow didn't help things by giving Detroit an insurance run. CBU.
  22. AlwaysinModeration
    Yes! It's Jason Vargas, who along with Stuart Turner will assuredly get the deal done.
  23. AlwaysinModeration
  24. AlwaysinModeration
    Kerby Camacho is an excellent baseball name. Why couldn't Turley do more of that when he pitched for the big club?
  25. AlwaysinModeration
    Rooker is slashing 000/000/000 in High A with a 25% K rate. As for the premise of the article, I vote "aggressive" and I approve.
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