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AlwaysinModeration

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Everything posted by AlwaysinModeration

  1. AlwaysinModeration
    You must have missed it in the Athletic profile by Dan Hayes, the very Willians version of “best shape of his life”: “He lost a little weight this winter.”
  2. AlwaysinModeration
    Actually, I think that is part of the underlying logic of both of these deals. From both Polanco and Kepler’s perspective, as good but maybe not great players, they can clearly see guys who can potentially push them off the field looming behind them (Lewis, Javier; Kiriloff, Larnach). It makes sense, then, to get a team commitment to having them stick around as a long-term piece. Berrios and Buxton don’t have to look over their shoulders, so that might make them less inclined to opt for a deal selling any free agent years. Sano doesn’t either, per se, but we also don’t know how long he will stick at third.
  3. AlwaysinModeration
    Good ending. Did not see that coming.
  4. AlwaysinModeration
    Put up a good season along with Alex, and they could be #1 and #2 prospects in baseball next year?
  5. AlwaysinModeration
    Ok, I’ll bite. Why do you insist on the “h” in Kiriloff?
  6. AlwaysinModeration
    And to bring the conversation back to Kiriloff, as this is in the Kiriloff forum, let me point out the glaringly obvious fact that Kiriloff went from last year being unranked nationally but “he’s a great pure hitter” to this year, after an amazing statistical season, ranked in the top 20 nationally. To me, it looks like it was his stats over the past year that made up 95% of those ranking changes. (94.8%, to be exact.)
  7. AlwaysinModeration
    It seems like there is a big difference between saying stats are “just a piece of the puzzle” and “rankings typically have very little to do with the stats.” I think your latter statement was just hyperbole and we shouldn’t hold you to it, especially in the broader context of all of the great work you do tracking down and writing up all of the Twins prospects that we all like to follow during the dog days of winter (buy the prospect handbook!). All that said, I am still a bit perplexed how you feel like you aren’t considering stats that much when you go from ranking Gonsalves #1 in the system after an amazing statistical season in A+/AA, to #2 in the system after an exceedingly good statistical season in AA/AAA, to #11 after a similarly excellent statistical season in AAA with a 24 bad inning promotion to MLB. To me it looks like stats were a pretty big driver for those rankings.
  8. AlwaysinModeration
    Here is what you said, Seth, in the Jhoan Duran forum, when looking at Gonsalves vs Duran: “Prospect rankings, however, typically have very little to do with the stats, though they do obviously factor in. And, I would hope people have not given up on Gonsalves at all. But Duran's upside is top of the rotation starter. That's why I rank him higher. That's'why I have Graterol ranked higher.”
  9. AlwaysinModeration
    Always!
  10. AlwaysinModeration
    Well that does it, get Granite to the Lasic guy stat!
  11. AlwaysinModeration
    I somehow read that as “as a late inning pinch runner”, and did a double take.
  12. AlwaysinModeration
    I like your crowbar metaphor “manny” times more than the fingers metaphor.
  13. AlwaysinModeration
    If you are very excited to follow him this year, does that mean you have wanderlust?
  14. AlwaysinModeration
    If the Twins have actually offered 3/45 for Kimbrel, that is great news. It would be the highest price paid for a reliever on the market this offseason. Maybe it would take a few more million to get him to sign, but hopefully the Twins’ patience on the market and payroll flexibility will pay off. Aside from shoring up the back of the bullpen, he would be a fine trade piece. The Yankees traded Aroldis and Andrew Miller and got Gleyber Torres, Clint Frazier, and Justus Sheffield (who has turned into James Paxton).
  15. AlwaysinModeration
    It was a little heartless, I have to admit, but I couldn’t resist. I certainly don’t want to have to account for my past assertions! (I seem to recall a strong Tulowitzki post or five). Thanks for taking it in the right spirit. Gonsalves might have a lower upside than people thought a year or two ago, but, I think people are reading too much into 24IP.
  16. AlwaysinModeration
    Danchat, I went back to the 2018 write-up of Gonsalves (he was ranked #4 in the system by TD at the time) and I found an interesting comment in the comment section: “I'm hoping to see Gonsalves by July in the majors. From what I've read, it seems he'll slot in as a #3-4 starting pitcher. Having the young core of Berrios (#2), Gonsalves (#3), and Mejia (#4) and seeing them perform up to their talent levels would be huge for this team. Now if they only had a true ace... “I am concerned about the recent trend of rookie starters for the Twins. This includes Kyle Gibson (10 starts, 6.53 ERA), Trevor May (9 starts, 7.88 ERA), Jose Berrios (14 starts, 8.02 ERA). Mejia's first 10 starts were OK (4.93 ERA). The only good recent rookie starter I could find was Tyler Duffey (10 starts, 3.10 ERA) and it's been all downhill from here. “The Twins will have to be patient with Gonsalves... sophomore years have been much better for our starters.” ........ That comment, of course, was by you. I agree with you. Patience!
  17. AlwaysinModeration
    Great to see one of trade returns ranked this high, and seems like Duran has great pure stuff that is extremely projectable, which is the basis for a lot of proscpet lists. But let me repost what I posted on the forum when Tom put up spotlight article on Duran, now that we see TD has Gonsalves ranked #11 and Duran at #7: “I looked up Gonsalves’ minor league numbers: 108 games started, 599IP, 2.42ERA, 1.10WHIP, 9.5/3.6 K/BB. Duran’s numbers: 54GS, 259IP, 4.02ERA, 1.32WHIP, 8.0/3.2K/BB. Gonsalves had 4 mediocre starts in the big leagues and people have written him off. Not to throw shade on Duran, like I said I hope he turns into a great prospect for the Twins and sustains the improvement. I would have Gonsalves ahead of Duran on prospect lists, though. He could turn into a mainstay in the rotation for years to come. Duran is a long way from becoming that. I see that you have Gonsalves ahead of Duran, Tom. But two of the four of you have Gonsalves ranked lower than Duran. I think that Gonsalves’ mediocre debut shouldn’t tarnish his outlook. Remember Berrios...”
  18. AlwaysinModeration
    If he posted a 1.33 ERA in 20 GCL innings, and end the season with 53 innings of 2.36ERA in Low A, he must have had a really rough first 21 innings in Cedar Rapids to wind up with a 3.26 ERA overall. In any event, I certainly hope he pans out. For some reason I feel like he’s on the same path as Gonsalves.
  19. AlwaysinModeration
    SD, how about he go with the nickname “Yabba Dah”?
  20. AlwaysinModeration
    I plead the fifth on whether I will need a fifth to mull over the fourth.
  21. AlwaysinModeration
    I should have said, in keeping with the spirit of the article, “let me put forth a fourth fourth” in Austin.
  22. AlwaysinModeration
    Do they all have options? A fourth who doesn’t have an option is Tyler Austin. Reed looks intriguing. With two starting lefties in the OF corners, wouldn’t it make more sense to have the bench guy be right handed?
  23. AlwaysinModeration
    I don’t think those marks are unreasonable for any of the three. Buxton: 800 OPS. His minors OPS was 874; 901 in AAA. 800 is definitely manageable. Sano: 30 HRs. He hit 25 and 28 in 2016 and 2017. I think he should be shooting for 40, personally. THAT would be a breakout. Berrios: flirt with 3.00 ERA, All-Star berth. In six seasons in the minors, he posted a 2.77 ERA. He’s posted two seasons of 3.85~ish ball in the majors. As he hits his prime, he can absolutely hit his stride, and challenge 3. An all star berth would follow that. These guys are young, and haven’t posted their best mlb numbers yet. It’s eminently reasonable for them to start reaching their potential this year.
  24. AlwaysinModeration
    I don’t think he ignored it, the stats with the Twins were mentioned quite prominently in both write-ups, along with the bigger picture. It’s the bigger picture which placed them in the top 20, which is quite a haul for a Rule 5 pick.
  25. AlwaysinModeration
    If I recall correctly, that was the contraption a former Vikings RB got caught with (in the airport), to smuggle “clean” urine in to use to beat drug testing in the NFL.
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