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Danchat

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Everything posted by Danchat

  1. Danchat
    Yeah, it's looking like Astudillo is going to make the initial squad. He's been in the lineup nearly every day and he's been playing plenty of 3B/1B. I'd really prefer Dobnak make the team over Shoemaker... but I think we see either Dobnak or Thorpe make the squad as the long reliever. Law has been great, but I'd rather seem him start off in the minors. I don't hate seeing Stashak get demoted, though if you're a proponent of "ST stats mean nothing", then shouldn't Stashak's strong regular season numbers make him a lock to make the team? Whoops, I see Dobnak's actually in the pen. That does make sense, then. Hopefully he'll be stretched out enough for when the eventual injury to a starter happens.
  2. Danchat
    I was high on Waddell being picked up, and now he’s looking like a good asset to keep at AAA. I feel better about the bullpen depth with some strong performances from guys like him and Law. Plus, Thorpe’s stuff looks like it has life again. Sure, it’s just spring training, but when you strike out this many guys, I’m taking notice.
  3. Danchat
    If Rooker were healthy he’d be starting that playoff game instead. He may not be defensively as good as Rosario, but his bat is ready and he’s got the power to hit as many HRs as Eddie did.
  4. Danchat
    .260 would be great for Sano, but I fear it's going to be more about .210. Simmons just got here from Curacao and has had something like 10 PAs this spring. He's not going to be a force at the plate, he's here for his defense. If Donaldson had played as much as he did in 2019, he would have hit 39 HRs based on 2020's numbers. How is he no longer a power hitter?
  5. Danchat
    I thought we were at $128-$131M... I think some projections included some of Maeda's incentives, however.
  6. Danchat
    I'd be fine if Kirilloff doesn't start with the team. It would be one thing if it meant Cave starting 6 days a week, but with Rooker, Garlick potentially making the team, and Arraez getting play out there, I don't feel so bad about it.
  7. Danchat
    100% agree, this makes a lot more sense than leading off with him.
  8. Danchat
    I could see Smeltzer getting DFA'd - the Twins did their best to avoid using him last year, and it seems pretty clear that he doesn't have major league stuff. I don't see the point of carrying him on the roster when the team preferred to go for bullpen games last year instead of giving Smeltzer starts. I think this happens in 2022. Duran and Balazovic just need to get more innings under their belt in the high minors. Thorpe seems to be turning a corner and Dobnak is a pretty darn good 6th/7th starter.
  9. Danchat
    I didn't realize Roblox had a ticker... I don't know much about it. But if video game franchises had their own stock tickers, then I'd be more of an expert on the topic. If only I could have put money down on Minecraft years ago!
  10. Danchat
    I don't see Sparkman as the next Wisler... it didn't help that he gave up 5 runs and got no outs in an outing last week. I see Hamilton/Anderson as the next potential Wisler.
  11. Danchat
    Injuries will always plague prospects, but I think the Twins have had an unordinary rash of season-ending injuries to our hitting prospects over the years. Even Arraez missed a whole year due to injury. I know it's pretty common for pitching prospects to get injured in all sorts of ways, but for the Twins those injuries seem to hit the position players instead.
  12. Danchat
    Most prospects do... and I don't think Griffey hit around .600 OPS his first few months at A+. Celestino's bat has a long ways to go to be major league ready.
  13. Danchat
    It's hard to predict how Sano's season will go, but I think one thing is a given - there will be several peaks, and several valleys in his hitting. As for backups, I've seen Blankenhorn has played some 1B, and with Rooker and Kiriloff potentially ending up there, we certainly have the prospect depth. Rooker should make the 26 man roster and back that spot up while occasionally playing LF.
  14. Danchat
    Nice, there's actually a decent amount of talent to work with here. I wonder if Larnach might start at AAA as well? I think we'd also see Charlie Barnes in the AAA rotation.
  15. Danchat
    He's outside the top 20, and in the honorable mentions. He only played one game in the MLB, so he's still a prospect.
  16. Danchat
    I think this would also be a good idea: Prospects who should graduate in 2021: OF Brent Rooker C Ryan Jeffers OF Alex Kiriloff Prospects who might graduate in 2021: OF Trevor Larnach RP Edwar Colina If the first three do graduate, the 2022 initial standings: That leaves the new top 10 at: 10 OF Matt Wallner 9 CF Gilberto Celestino 8 RP Blayne Enlow 7 RP Matt Canterino 6 1B Aaron Sabato 5 SS Keoni Cavaco 4 RP Jordan Balazovic 3 RP Jhoan Duran 2 OF Trevor Larnach 1 SS Royce Lewis And if you go by fangraphs' ETA, 8 of these 10 should debut sometime in 2022.
  17. Danchat
    I'd take Merrifield over Kepler any day... sure, Max has the higher upside and is younger, but he's a good bet to hit .230 and disappear for long streaks. And if we're using +wRC, here's Kepler's career: 2016: 93 2017: 94 2018: 98 2019: 121 2020: 107 In that same stretch, Whit Merrifield's numbers: 2016: 91 2017: 105 2018: 119 2019: 110 2020: 106
  18. Danchat
    Here's hoping Kirilloff will be a quality bat in the middle of our lineup for a long time. Just don't get hurt!! Also, Terry Ryan's final draft in 2016 looks like a pretty decent one on paper. The names: 1st: OF Kirilloff 2nd: C Rortvedt 2nd: 3B Miranda 2nd: OF Baddoo (Rule 5 claimed by DET) 5th: SP Balazovic 15th: RP Wells (Rule 5 claimed by BAL) 19th: RP Poppen 32nd: OF Wallner (went on to be a 1st rounder in 2019) 38th: OF Rooker (went on to be a 1st rounder in 2017)
  19. Danchat
    Kiriloff already missed the entire 2017 season with an injury - if anyone, it'd likely be Larnach as he hasn't had an injury issues and has torn up the minors so far. Or maybe Jeffers.
  20. Danchat
    And only about 14 hours after the article was published, Lewis is declared out for the season with a torn ACL. Nice timing! Looks like we won't be seeing him for awhile.
  21. Danchat
    Larnach is a stud. He has the potential to have the discipline of Arraez combined with the power of Kepler. I expect him to start in AAA and pound the door down by the summer. He's one of very few prospects who would legitimately shock me if he ended up being a bust.
  22. Danchat
    At least Shoemaker is a $2M lottery ticket, whilst Bailey was a $7M one.
  23. Danchat
    There was quite an uproar here when Buxton wasn’t called up in late 2018, which caused the Twins to gain an extra year of control. That’s the only one that comes to mind.
  24. Danchat
    Gibaut was DFA’d and went unclaimed for Shoemaker’s spot. The Twins are getting good at claiming guys and then sneaking them through waivers later on... 3/4 of their claims this off-season have already been DFAd.
  25. Danchat
    He's pitched a single game at AA... Usually the jump between A+ to AA is considering the biggest in the minors, so I would think he needs to spend some substantial time there before getting a crack at the big leagues. If you did call him up, I'd expect to see what Berrios/Gibson/May did in their first stretch of starters - not because he's a bad pitcher, but because he simply isn't ready yet.
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