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TwinsDr2021

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  1. TwinsDr2021
    Can't believe the Twins are going to put a 25 year old with no major league experience in Center Field. As of today he has started 5 games in CF this year and 12 last year. He did play 46 in 2021. To me his just a depth option at a few spots next year.
  2. TwinsDr2021
    Anybody else read this and think Morgan Freeman should be reading this to me? (this was awesome and well written, wish I had the ability to express myself in words like this)
  3. TwinsDr2021
    Just to clarify, De Leon, Canterino, Mahle, Paddack, Stewart and Gordon, while technically on the 40 man they aren't currently counted. Alcala, Balazovic, Canterino, Duran, Headrick, Henriquez, Jax, Lopez, Moran, Ober, Ryan, Sands, Varland, Winder, SWR, Paddack (16 coming back) Jeffers, Vazquez, Correa, Farmer, Julien, AK, Lewis, Miranda, Polanco, Castro, Kepler, Larnach, Wallner, Buxton (14 coming back) Not Back Taylor, Luplow, Gordon, Gallo, Celestino, Solano, Thielbar, Stewart, Pagan, Ortega, Mahle, Maeda, Keuchel, Gray, Floro, Del Leon. (16) So technically they would have 10 spots, but 10 of the guys not coming back are also on the active roster. So it isn't as easy to say there is plenty of room for the prospects, that is why IMO this offseason they need to trade Larnach or Wallner, and probably Miranda. I don't think they are going to trade Kepler or Polanco because they aren't going to run 5 or 6 young players.
  4. TwinsDr2021
    The article felt like a politician telling people not to believe their lying eyes, things are better than you think, you are just not smart enough to understand. With that said this site has been saying all the things he mentioned, the guys brought in as depth has worked out pretty well, the pitching has been good, young guys playing well, others have disappointment and yet the Twins are in first because this is the worst division I have seen in my 40 plus years of watching baseball.
  5. TwinsDr2021
    I will go out on a limb and say there is little to no chance of that being the Twins team next year. They are going to bring in a vet or two for depth like they did this year (or just keep Farmer and Castro) That is way too many unknowns to start a season that you expect to compete for another division title.
  6. TwinsDr2021
    💯agree, unless there is an injury and they need a player and my guess is that they would put a throw away player on the 40 as to not waste options on a real prospect (Williams or Stevenson for example). IMO
  7. TwinsDr2021
    Like it or not it is the one of the downsides of bringing players up when they are already 24 or older, They don't get much of a chance to work though issues because they next 24 year old needs a chance. Currently you have Miranda (25), Julien (24), Wallner (25, 26 to start next season), Larnach (26, 27 to start next season), AK (25, 26 to start next season), Lewis (24). All on the older side of prospects that haven't established themselves (or stayed healthy enough) as solid major league starters. The next small wave is probably Lee (23), Martin (25 to start next season), Severino (turns 24 in October) Doesn't leave much opportunity for a real young prospect when you are still trying to figure what you have with your mid 20 somethings.
  8. TwinsDr2021
    Everything revolves around Buxton. If he can play center, it opens everything up for some other players. If he can't, well than some guys have to go.
  9. TwinsDr2021
    agree - and not sure what SWR ends up as, but it doesn't seem to be a starter. top pitching prospects and innings so far Festa - 75 Raya - 46 Prielipp - 6 and IMO Henrquez and Headrick are only spot starters or relief pitchers.
  10. TwinsDr2021
    Miranda turns 26 next June, if he isn't raking in AAA next year, he career with the Twins should be done unless he will accept a minor league deal. Williams turns 27 in November, so if the Twins don't bringing him up this year I don't see him ever being in their plans. Prato also turns 26 prior to next season, so he also seems like a guy they will only turn to as a last resort.
  11. TwinsDr2021
    Ohtani has two less starts, the same amount of QS and his ERA is a hair under Gray, has 6 less innings than Gray and more K's than Gray, and ESPN WAR of 3.6 compared to Gray's 3.8. I put the odds of either of them winning about the same and below Cole and Gausman. Not sure when Eovaldi is back but if he comes back with 8 starts like July he could get back into the conversation.
  12. TwinsDr2021
    IMO, right now it is Cole's to lose. He has the best ERA, most innings and is tied for 1st in the majors 18 with Quality starts (Gray 12). Gray could catch him but IMO he will have to average 6+ innings per start the rest of the watch, and hope Cole and probably Gausman have some not so great starts.
  13. TwinsDr2021
    Spotrac had him going into this year with 2. So I would assume he has one next year. Which mean either his trade value would be a bit higher or he can be depth again next year. I have never been super high on Wallner but I always hoped I was wrong. Since those two games in late May (and was demoted) his batting average and OBP percentage have been on a steady decline, his SLG has held pretty well which is good, he is striking out about 35% since he has came back up. With that said I think he should be starting the rest of the year (and thought that for months now) and he how he finishes to decide what to do next year with the outfield. I still think he ends up a poor man's gallo (at his peak) without the defensive flexibility. As for Larnach I pretty much done with him and ready to move on. I am not a Nick Gordon fan but if it came two to the two of them I would choose Gordon.
  14. TwinsDr2021
    Winder, Moran, Alcala and Sands also have shown flashes, big deal until they actually lock jobs down like Jax, Ober, Ryan and Duran have they are just prospects that are getting older.
  15. TwinsDr2021
    I think they pick up Kepler's option as well, because as of now they basically have no starting outfielders next year except him. Wallner still has work to do to be given a starting job next year, who knows with Buxton and they basically have no highly ranked outfield prospects that screamed give me a chance for next year. (Gordon and Castro aren't starting outfielders)
  16. TwinsDr2021
    First he has had 10 one at bats games in his career, so many pitch hits isn't accurate. If you are trying to talk up Larnach, comparing him to Gallo isn't the best comparison to make, I will go out on a limb and say 99% of Twins (and Yankee and Dodger and probably all the rest of the fans) fans don't think Gallo even belongs in the majors. Basically all three years he starts out well than falls off and/or gets hurt. I am not sure how a first place team should have continued to give him at bats. (I also say the same about Gallo), Wallner should have been up sooner and if that didn't go well they should have given Keirsey a chance or some other prospect. Then Larnach again. IMO Larnach is a left handed Garlick, but I get how others want to give him more changes.
  17. TwinsDr2021
    Lets be honest, Larnach problem isn't corner outfield glut syndrome, it is he hasn't been good and hasn't stayed healthy. He has been given three chances to have the job and has failed all three times. Just saying
  18. TwinsDr2021
    You left out Duran and Gray, But in 7 years that isn't a impressive list.
  19. TwinsDr2021
    I like all the players you mentioned (kind of left off Miranda and Larnach?) My caution would be 226,202, 179, 95 and 86. that is the at bats of AK, Julien, Lewis and Wallner. And because of those low amount of at bats it makes it tough to start next year, it almost requires bringing in vets again as back ups. Because you can't go into a year with a good starting staff and a team full of 2nd year and rookies. That has been the biggest problem of this FO IMO, and that is 7 years in and basically haven't been able to bring up 1 or 2 rookies a year and have them stick, and/or giving them the opportunity when it is presented. (They seem real slow)
  20. TwinsDr2021
    What does last year matter, when talking about a prospect next year? Please give me an accurate list of players that got to AAA at age 26 and became anything more than a utility player, or a bad full time player on a bad baseball team. I am sick about hearing about the Covid season hurt Twins prospects but yet prospects all over the league are doing fine at a much younger age. I know he lost time to his hip injury and that is the only reason I still think he has a chance at a utility 4th outfielder type player. You are correct I don't see Keirsey as a depth option next year to Buxton. Obviously not every minor league player will be an all star, most won't ever if see the majors, but for the last few decades if not more older "prospects" get passed by the next great thing, that is how baseball works. Having a player show something at age 25 in AA, call me un-impressed, with that said I wish him the best of luck and hope he can be one of the rare few exceptions.
  21. TwinsDr2021
    He has been good, he has been a top 5 CF overall in the Texas league, he also is the oldest by quite a bit. I wish him well, I think it isn't the best sign that he is being outperformed by younger guys who also aren't high end prospects. https://www.milb.com/stats/texas/ops?position=CF
  22. TwinsDr2021
    Well Cruz was in the majors at 24, big difference between being in the majors at 26 and getting to AAA at 26, lets not forget his steriod suspension as well. Dozier from what I can tell was up days before his 25th birthday and was basically done by 30. (and by the way had 8.6 WAR prior to his 28th bday) You can say only Kepler, Buxton Arraez and Rosario were the only difference makers, but two of them have basically been the starting CF and RF the since 2016, and Rosario 17 - 20, not really sure how you can expect more when that has basically been the outfield during this FO time here. Baseball is 100% a game of skill and most really good players have that skill pretty early on, and the ones that take longer generally don't make it, end up utility type players, or aren't afforded the opportunity to make it because some younger higher ceiling prospect passes them up. Proof? it is right in front of your eyes, who are the best players in the game and history and when did the make the majors? There are exceptions for sure, generally they are on terrible teams and allowed to blossom, because good contending teams don't turn over a starting job to a guy on the wrong side of 25. Looks at the Twins and Wallner, and if he doesn't keep hitting this year they won't turn it over to him next year either, because this game is about stats, analysis and probability.
  23. TwinsDr2021
    How many players playing in AA at age 26 year old turn into major league players? Most people are hoping for a difference maker and history show that isn't the case for players like him. That is why people look at age. Larnach is 76 days older and has spent parts of 3 years in the majors. Is Kiersey somebody that really has improved his skills or somebody that has taken advantage of being older than most of the other players? With that said I hope he catches on with a major league team and has a long career.
  24. TwinsDr2021
    I am just going to pretend this didn't happened, there is no reason for him to ever play on the Twins, NONE!
  25. TwinsDr2021
    Gordon hit .176 before his injury and has not played since May 17th, there really should be no expectation from fans or this FO that he will do anything for this team. For him the best thing would be to tweak something while rehabbing and spent the rest of the year on the DL, because if he comes back and doesn't do anything he should be cut ASAP. And I am not sure how many jobs are out there for a 28 year old utility player.
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