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Thrylos

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Everything posted by Thrylos

  1. Thrylos
    Around the rosie?
  2. Thrylos
    1.38 ERA, 1.102 WHIP, 7.4 K/9, 3.9 K/BB as a reliever, arguably the Twins' best reliever, Dillon Gee has to be on the roster.
  3. Thrylos
    The point is, it happened previously. Not. So. Rare. It happens. Also, Colorado and Milwaukee have about the same record with the Twins and one of them will be the Wild Card. Why single the Twins out?
  4. Thrylos
    The 2006 Cardinals won the WS with an 83-79 record. The Twins will have at least an equal record to that if they make it to the post-season.
  5. Thrylos
    Given that 2 of those seasons were a 92 loss and an 103 loss seasons, that shows that the metric itself is useless to predict what it matters (team success.)
  6. Thrylos
    As of today, only Instructional League games against other teams have been cancelled. The Instructs will continue with intersquad games.
  7. Thrylos
    So in other words: Bunts are good, only if they give the hitter a better probability of reaching base than hitting. Interestingly enough the batting average for bunters this season is .258, which is the highest it has been for a while (likely because of the shifts), and the batting average overall is .255 (this includes bunt hits), which might make it seem a no-brainer. The problem is that the bunt takes away the possibility of an extra base hit, thus the main reason for wing probability drop.
  8. Thrylos
    NBA and NHL fan?
  9. Thrylos
    Third time might still be the charm, but it still is behind their pay wall
  10. Thrylos
    The other thing that has to be noted is that Cleveland is only 2 games ahead of the Astros for ALCS home field advantage, so they will not slack in these 3 games. Both teams have to play for something (at least today. Hopefully a Twins' win and an Angels' loss tonight will take care of the rest of the season for the Twins... )
  11. Thrylos
    How exactly bunting can prevent a double play? About the same possibility of a double play as a hit and run. Double plays coming in bunts, esp in bunts that stay in the air, or 2 strike bunts, or looking at a strike throw them out bunts.
  12. Thrylos
    And Bosio did not want to come...
  13. Thrylos
    a. They hired a hitting coach who actually has been working with and improving hitters b. They hired an analytics coach who helps setting up the defense based on matchups and previous success c. They got one of the best defensive catchers on board d. They got rid of veterans (Plouffe) so Sano will not play at the outfield again. That resulted from being 19th in wRC+ (95) in 2016 to br tied for 6th in wRC+ (101) in 2017, 29th in Fangraphs Defense (-45.7) in 2016 to 10th in Fangraphs Defense (12.4) in 2017, which had direct effect in runs allowed. From being tied for 30th in ERA (5.09) in 2016 they moved up to 22nd in ERA (4.64) in 2017 while they remained pretty much the same in FIP(2016 27th in FIP (4.57)and 2017 26th (4.74). Facts and data said that they did a lot. Unfortunately it seems that the pitching coach came with Molly in 2017. That is the biggest area of concern and I bet that it will be addressed this off-season, because the pitching has been regressed as actual FIP goes, despite the fact that the better defense (for which the FO gets the credit) bailed it out. Allen needs to go, and he will go, even if it will take Molly to go too...
  14. Thrylos
    If the Twins were at 76-86 (or something) last season, Molitor would not be on the conversation for Manager of the Year. And last season was (partially) Molitor's doing and that should be in consideration this season as well. I think that Molitor will follow the TK paradeigm (he is 10 years older than Kelly was when he retired), and opt out of the manager job, get to go teach kids, and leave with his head high as someone who led his team to the post-season after a while.
  15. Thrylos
    What a difference a week practicing with the A team makes I think that a bit more patience is appropriate. The guy who played QB for the Vikings today can QB most teams in the league.
  16. Thrylos
    Cannot "dump the season" after the second game of the season. Chilax. The sky is not falling. If indeed what they have is so awful, they will not need to "dump the season", it will come naturally.
  17. Thrylos
    Mauer will be 35.5 the end of 2018. Name a single Twins' player in his mid 30s who received an extension and worked out well for the Twins. From Pavano, to Perkins, to Capps, to Hughes, even to Nathan (they got 1 good year out of 3). Guess they have not done it with position players. This team has plenty of options in first base for 2019, from Rooker to Sano. And there is another season till that bridge needs to be crossed. It makes no sense to extend players way past their primes.
  18. Thrylos
    The man who brought you Nishioka and Park... The other issue there was that Norsetter is based in Australia, which makes scouting in Europe and Canada very difficult. I liked the last line of that writeup: Meanwhile, the Twins are in the process of expanding their research department, player development and medical services. Sorely needed...
  19. Thrylos
    This sounds like one blaming the damn wall for causing injuries if one willingly hits his/her head against. It is not the Damn Yankees, it is the Damn Twins (1994-now) that are prone to go belly up against better opponents (including those Yankees.) Realizing this, figuring out the root clause, and hoping that the new FO will clean it up, is much more productive than blaming the wall one bangs his/her head against.
  20. Thrylos
    I'd like to see what teams do against Hildenberger once there is a book out on him and/or when they faced him a few times. The one guy I like from the current Twins pen, and I believe that he should be around next season, because he has contributed a lot in the long man role, but flies under the radar because of his awful numbers as a starter, is Dillon Gee. Here are his 2017 splits as a reliever: 1.53 ERA, 3.15 FIP, 1.16 WHIP (.310 BABIP), 19.3 % K%, 13.4 % K-BB%. Better than Kintzler's numbers. No, I would not put him as a closer, but he could be the class of the league, as far as mop up men are concerned and the Twins should have a good look and try to re-sign him this off-season.
  21. Thrylos
    Bit of nitpicking: The Elizabethton Twins will remain a Twins team for ever (or until the Twins decide to sell them.) They belong to the Minnesota Twins. Whether the Twins might decide to move the team they own in the future (like the New Britain owners decided to move their team to Hartford) is a different story. So the Twins Appalachian League Team (it is not really an "affiliate", it is owned) might stay in Elizabethton for a bit longer. Still some hoops to jump in Elizabethton, and the final approvals will be in the winter, but so far it looks good. But there is no certain affiliation agreement, like it is with Rochester and Chattanooga. It is more of a landlord relationship (like the Twins had with the authority that ran the Metrodome) with the City Council and it is lease-based. Details, but pretty important, I think. The Twins have a ton of power on what they want to do with their Appalachian League Team currently in E-Town, much more than they have with any of their affiliates (in Rochester, Chattanooga, Fort Myers, and Cedar Rapids,) as is the case with their other 2 owned teams in the GCL and DSL...
  22. Thrylos
    Let's see: Rogers: 3.19 ERA, 1.286 WHIP, 7.5 K/9, 2.3 K/BB Lefties in post-season rosters (guessing here) Red Sox: David Price Fernando Abad (2.98 ERA, 1.157 WHIP, 7.7 K/9, 3 K/BB) and maybe Robby Scott (3.97 ERA, 1.029 WHIP, 7.7 K/9, 2.2 K/BB) Indians: Andrew Miller (1.58 ERA, 0.789 WHIP, 12.8 K/9, 4.8 K/BB) Tyler Olson (0.00 ERA, 0.957 WHIP, 8.6 K/9, 5 K/BB) Yankees: Chapman (3.50 ERA, 1.230 WHIP, 12.6 K/9, 3.3 K/BB) Jordan Montgomery Jaime Garcia maybe Chasen Shreve (3.98 ERA, 1.352 WHIP, 11.5 K/9, 2.4 K/BB) Astros: Tony Sipp 6.29 ERA, 1.398 WHIP, 9.4 K/9, 2.4 K/BB Fransisco Liriano 5.40 ERA, 1.886 WHIP, 6.2 K/9, 1.0 K/BB (sample size 11-2/3 IP) Maybe in Liriano's spot, and I really had not realized how bad the Astro's pen really is. Not Twins' bad, but pretty bad. The other thing here is that some pens will not have more than 1 lefty specialist in the post-season roster, and they could have their 4th and 5th starters in the pen as well. The biggest issue with Rogers (and the rest of the Twins bullpen pitching staff) is the lack of strikeouts. They just do not over power batters and batters do not seem scared to face them. That's really what the Twins need in their pen. 2-3 really scary people and they have none, right now.
  23. Thrylos
    There are no HIPPA issues, because that does not exist. There are HIPAA issues when someones discloses another party's health situation without their consent. So Souhan had the Mientkiewiczes consent to disclose her illness, and much more in mass distributed media. The HIPAA situation is not about the Twins.
  24. Thrylos
    Ok. Give me the one (or 2) players that the Indians, Astros, Red Sox, and Yankees would cut or sit for Rogers and/or Hildenberger. I just cannot find anyone.
  25. Thrylos
    Unless your joint is broken, the proximal has to be extended as well...
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