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Thrylos

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Everything posted by Thrylos

  1. Thrylos
    I think that we have to be a bit realistic here. There is one particular thing that makes this position not that great, and it is kinda difficult to admit if you lived in the MN/ND/SD/IA/WI area all your life: the weather in MN from November to February is brutal and the GM would have to be there during that time. I'd love to have Ng as the Twins GM, but would she be willing to leave NYC and move to MN? Dunno. Different story than finding players, managers and coaches who can be in MN from April-October and be someplace humane during the winter time. I'd seriously look at people from these 5 states first and foremost, and disqualify anyone who has moved S of the Mason-Dixon line, for starters.
  2. Thrylos
    Johnson was responsible for the Twins amateur drafting and scouting. Here are the people he drafted in the first 2 rounds of the draft in all Twins drafts 5 year and older (the expectation here is that you need about 5 years to develop someone) : Hicks, Gutteriez, Shooter Hunt, Ladendorf, Gibson, Bashore, Bullock, Wimmers, Goodrum, Michael, Harrison, Boyd, Boer Do you trust him to make decisions for the club? Radcliff has been responsible for scouting players who come as free agents with the Twins (the list here is longer and started with Nishioka and ends with Park, with a few Nolascos, Correias, Pelfrys thrown in.) Do you trust him to make decisions for the club? I don't...
  3. Thrylos
    The second Dozier You can add a few names to the list as well...
  4. Thrylos
    Based on what? Twins wins? Bottoms on the seats? Because if his performance metric is to get people to use his "brand", he has been failing, really...
  5. Thrylos
    This team badly needs an outside voice (as well as general cleaning of the Front Office and the player development structure,) not to "appease the fans", but to have a chance in winning. I want to see the Pohlads ask these questions in their interviews for a GM: - Show me your plan to make the Twins the best team in the league from the worst team in the league with the number of years and resources that it will take. - Give me a reason why I should trust that you know what you are doing and that your plan has a high likelihood of success - How do you feel about losing? Any examples that you have turned around a losing franchise? - Who will you bring with you, and what will they bring to the organization? Antony will fail to answer well the last 3 questions in my opinion. That's why he will be only an interim. On the other hand, I hope (and suspect) that his future employment in the organization depends on how he does during this season. This organization needs people with proven success, not the boss' buddies. Where "Proven" is the operating word. That makes any internal candidate that comes from baseball operations: a. unfit for the job and b. part of the problem likely...
  6. Thrylos
    Fact: The Twins had a better record under Bill Smith (or any other GM) than they did under Ryan. So are you saying that Antony will lead the Twins in more wins than Ryan? I am not that sure. What made Smith a good GM is that he was willing to delegate and listen to baseball people about baseball decisions. And that he had the guts to make those decisions. What made Smith a bad GM was that he was listening to the wrong people about those baseball decisions (the likes of Gardenhire & Radcliff & Rantz.)
  7. Thrylos
    And Paul Monitor You know who is next...
  8. Thrylos
    Will definitely be easier to get a GM this fall vs. now, because the candidate pool will be bigger. Right now the candidate pool is really people who are not part of any organization. Very hard for people who are looking to move (out or up) in a particular organization to make the move around the trading deadline. Just does not happen and it is pretty uncool. Now, I hope that he hires a President of Baseball Operations now who can hire a GM in the fall and starting cleaning house in the player development department (eg. re-fire the re-hired former manager, among others) ASAP.
  9. Thrylos
    Re: Antony at the deadline: I think that it will be his only opportunity to see a deadline as an MLB GM. It will be a good test for him. If he sucks, he is gone. I bet that he understands the importance of that and that his future employment may depend on what he does at the deadline, and rises to the occasion. Glad to see Pohlad starting to hold people accountable, and I hope he does not stop but hold Antony accountable for what he does (or not) the rest of the season. Time to show that he can play with the big boys or go away.
  10. Thrylos
    I think that this is a good start of defining the problem but got to take it one step beyond: 2016 should teach the Twins' brass that if you are close to competing, like they were in 2015, they should go all in. They assumed that they can half rear end it in 2015 and wait for the Godot prospects to be better in 2016 to really compete. See what the Mets did in 2015. That's what the Twins should have done in 2015. Buxton. The game's "consensus" number 1 prospect. Bet they could have gotten a bit of help for 2015 and more future help for him before he was exposed for the second time... And this is just an example. Catch-22: This system cannot develop prospects, is unwilling to sell high on prospects (and major leaguers) because "they might get better somewhere else", and that is what is ending up happening. Either gut your development system because it sucks and replace it with another, or forget about it and sell high on "prospects" to get major leaguers developed correctly by another system (i.e. the long standing Yankees' paradigm...)
  11. Thrylos
    This assumes that the Twins' system can do that. Huge leap of faith. Development just sucks compared to other systems. Here is an example: Jeff Manship. He failed to develop with the Twins. He went to another system and blossomed. If your system of developing prospects sucks, no matter what you throw at it, will not work...
  12. Thrylos
    The Capps trade got the Twins in the postseason. The Jepsen trade did not. That's a big difference. Also: Hu was a much lesser prospect in the Twins system (does that say anything about the Twins' system and their ability to develop pitchers? Of course it does) than Ramos, but Ramos was blocked by a guy named Mauer, and if Mauer did not go through concussion issues and had been the Mauer that we all expected to be when that trade was made nobody would be talking about Ramos now... And Capps was a closer while Jepsen was a middle reliever in their respective teams. Bottom line: the Twins need a better way of developing pitchers, so they have several ready to jump in from their pen. I have still not seen a pitcher since Neshek and Crain, come in from the minors and be very successful in the pen, while others (Hendriks, Manship etc) found success after changing organizations, which makes me think that the issue is not the talent, but the way they develop talent. (and one of course can make a similar argument about starters from the MLB level down.) That is the root cause of the problem and not trades for mediocre relievers. The latter is a (bad) symptom...
  13. Thrylos
    career WAR is not a good thing to use to compare individual season achievement. Year to date WAR at the AS Game time, is probably the best measure. Pretty sure that using that, there were worse picks than the above
  14. Thrylos
    re: Duffey a. he still cannot get past the 6th inning b. his "improvement" the last month is due to a .235 BABIP in that time. His K/9 dropped to 6.9, however during that period; both facts are pretty bothersome. c. but the most bothersome facts is that if you asked 20 people in the game, 18 (*) would tell you that they'd rather have May than Duffey (and his one pitch) in the rotation, because Duffey is better suited for the pen and can actually be pretty good there... (*) the other two are either working or rooting for the Twins
  15. Thrylos
    Reality: 20 games out of the division lead 24 games under .500 1 game better than the worst team in baseball the worst team in the American League 5 games under their Pythagorean W-L on pace for 103 losses 15th/15 in ERA in the AL 15th in Hits given in the AL The rest are lipstick (on the most hideous pig since the franchise moved to MN, btw) The problem is that the FO might think that they have something in their hands and might refuse to trade the likes of Tonkin, Pressly, Suzuki, Grossman, Santana (take your pick), Nolasco, Dozier, Nunez (and I might even add Vargas with that mess they made with the Park acquisition to the list). The opportunity is to sell high. Would they? Based on past experience I doubt it. The above are not part of the future and they might bring back a couple players who might be...
  16. Thrylos
    Hopefully, between now and early November (the deadline to add players to protect them from the 40-man draft,) lots would have been changed for the Twins as far as trades and player personnel goes. Way too early to tell. It's like asking what model 2020 car you'd like to buy.
  17. Thrylos
    1. This is a killer shot. Really. 2. Glad you are jumping into the Palka bandwagon The Twins first baseman of the future
  18. Thrylos
    In addition to Felix ($260K bonus) and Wander Valdez ($400K bonus) they have signed Dominican SS Stamy Urena ($130K bonus). Everyone is a SS in the Dominican, but I expect both Felix and Valdez to play at corner positions when they reach the majors. FWIW, the pitcher crop this season is not that great. I suspect that the Twins might look to EU for some signings as well. Cuba is a wild-card because of the recent political change
  19. Thrylos
    it might sound funny because of the level ball players are compensated, but if someone is planning to play 4-5 more years so they can have enough $ to do what they want to do when they retire, and they don't want to either compromise what they want to do or find another job or something, then, well, they gotta play. Not that much different than someone who is doing any other job really. Just the compensation level and retirement ages change...
  20. Thrylos
    Easy peasy for me fWAR leaders for 2016 (btw, the second half of 2015 as in your example does not matter at all. How do you deal with players who played in the other league last season, plus this is not basketball or that other thing they play with a stick; this is the 2016 and not the 2015-2016 season...) : C - Salvador Perez 1B - Chris Davis 2B - Jose Altuve 3B - Josh Donaldson SS - Manny Machado (*) OF - Mike Trout OF - Ian Desmond OF - Jackie Bradley Jr. DH - David Ortiz (*) Machado is listed at 3B in the ballot. Highest listed SS is Xander Bogaerts Those should be the starters.
  21. Thrylos
    because a picture is worth 1000 words: TOS is not always due to compression of nerves. It can be due to the compression of the major blood vessels there . Nerve compression almost always has tinkling fingers and neck pains as symptoms. Vascular compression has less pronounced and its symptoms are arm fatigue and shoulder weakness, which are the exact symptoms of a healthy person throwing 100+ pitches at 90+ mph. Since Hughes pretty much never complained about his grip or had any finger or neck pains (he always had lower back issues,) on paper it might look like the vascular situation here... Another complication of the issue is that one of the major causes of TOS is (guess what?) repeated activity (like throwing 4000+ pitches at 90+ mph over a 5-6 month period). Another problem (which is actually a pretty big one.) This surgery does not only move part of the first rib. It cuts open (at best case scenario) or removes part of (at worst case scenario) the scalene muscles (the ones connecting the neck with ribs/shoulder) to relieve the decompression. And when you cut a muscle, if that muscle helps you throw 90+ mph, it is more than likely that it might take time to be able to throw that 90+ mph again. Re: Chris Young. That's an interesting situation because this season his fastball is the fastest it has been since 2007, and his slider is the fastest it has been in his career, so surgery helped him increase his velocity. On the other hand, an asterisk is needed, because Young's career average velocities are 87.4 for the FB and 78.8 for the SL. Tommy Milone/Andrew Albers territory... I do not expect him to pitch before the 2017 post-season (she what I did here? )
  22. Thrylos
    Too much $ for them from aluminum bat companies to make the switch. Also, those bats add offense, so I do not see it happening, because people want more hits and runs when they watch baseball for some reason
  23. Thrylos
    My biggest issue with amateur school (including college) baseball is the bats. The sound of the aluminum bats makes watching those games like watching a beer league softball game. College "World Series" (they need to change that bit too) or not. The Cape Cod league is the premier ground for competition at the college level. That one should be in people's bucket lists. I see no reason that schools should not change to wood bats, like in the real sport. What they are doing is the equivalent of playing NCAA football with a vortex football. No. Thank. You.
  24. Thrylos
    .196 /.315/.304: Grossman's slash line the last 2 weeks .300/.345/.480: Rosario's slash line the last 2 weeks.
  25. Thrylos
    It would bring less that it would had (let's say) 2 off-seasons ago...
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