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Thrylos

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Everything posted by Thrylos

  1. Not quite. Gardenhire took a decent team from Kelly and ran with it wining just enough to pay the bills for the new ballpark until he ran it to the ground and made it the worst team in the league.
  2. They better get an analytics-minded pitching coach. Plus Bosio declined a Twins' job offer previously, so he should not be considered again. No sloppy seconds; about time that the Twins are pretending to be a contender and act like it.
  3. A. Good managers have rings. Very good managers have many rings. Gardy has zero as a manager, including in post-seasons when the Twins were favorite and spotted both the MVP and Cy Young award winners. He was very good in going belly up against the Yankees. That much I give you. B. Pat Neshek, Scott Baker, Kevin Slowey, Matt Garza, Delmon Young, Kyle Lohse, et al. would beg to disagree about that under bus throwing thing and the keeping most of the stuff "in house".
  4. I hope he follows Gardenhire to the Tigers
  5. Makes sense.
  6. Unless you really know who was on the table, you cannot judge a non-made trade. Let's say that the Dodgers, in addition to DeLeon, to sweeten the trade they wanted to throw in a journeyman infielder to play second base for the Twins, named Chris Taylor; if that were the case, I'd say that the Twins were the losers in this non-trade. You never know unless you know all the names discussed and what the final offer was.
  7. Not quite. Santana as a whole might had the second best season on the Yankees (because that is what WAR measures) but would not be the second best pitcher in the Yankees. Cumulative stats like WAR are influenced by IP. And Santana pitched a whole bunch of them, thus the higher WAR. For the post season you are really looking at pitchers' abilities to judge who will give you the best likelihood to win in a single game, so the numbers you need to use are something like FIP, K-BB%, etc. and not cumulative. Santana's 4.46 FIP would be 4th among Yankee starters, just above Sabathia's 4.49, and his 12.3 K-BB% would be 5th among Yankee starters...
  8. If the Pirates decide to rebuild, to get close to Cole (who is at a reasonable contract with a couple more years of arbitration left) you'd need to pick up some $, so you'd need a package. And if you are about to do that, you might as well got for one of the best closers in the majors who is about to get expensive for them. So you go after: Gerrit Cole (2 yrs of arbitration), Ivan Nova (2 yrs/$18M), Startling Marte (2 yrs/$18M), and Felipe Rivero (4 yrs of arbitration) and give up something like Kepler (replaced by Marte; def. buy low who has higher potential than Kepler), Mejia (replaced by Nova as the number 4), Gonsalves, Gordon, plus let them pick any reliever other than Rogers or Jay they want. Still, for the Twins to compete in the postseason, they will need another end of the bullpen arm (Brandon Morrow is a free agent and Righty, will be a great compliment with Rivero) and another younger top of the rotation starter (with E.Santana, Dozier, and a whole bunch of minor leaguers still around as possible chips). So you are looking at a rotation of: Cole, Berrios, Nova, Gibson, plus a guy right on top, and a bullpen ending with Morrow and Rivero. I can live with that.
  9. Trades. Go after two of: Jacob deGrom, Jimmy Nelson or Chase Anderson, Alex Wood, Zack Godley, (or someone at that level and age) and call it a day. Dozier, Santana, Kepler, Garver, Vargas, Gibson, and every minor leaguer not named Romero, Jay, or Javier, or drafted in 2017, should be in play.
  10. If they Twins wanted players to compliment a good rotation, Chatwood (and Lynn) would be very good targets. They need 2 pitchers on top of their rotation to compete in the post season. Chatwood and Lynn are not that. Enough with the Ryan era getting3 mediocre pitchers and see if one has a career year and extend him nonsense.
  11. Great news for the Twins. Hope he brings back his buddy Anderson as their pitching coach as well.
  12. Hard to agrue against Slegers's 15-4, 3.40, 1.234 WHIP, 148-1/3 IP, unless you are Clark Beecker (12-4, 2.63 ERA, 1.058 WHIP, 143-2/3 IP) or Dereck Rodgriguez (10-6, 3.27 ERA, 1.193 WHIP, 143-1/3 IP), both of who pitched about the same MiLB innings and better than Slegers. It was Beecker's award all the way. Hard to argue against Garver's .291/.387/.541, 17 HR, 45 RBI, 372 PA .408 wBOA, 159 wRC+, unless you are Jonathan Rodriguez (.303/.408/.518, 22 HR, 78 RBI, 544 PA, .424 wOBA, 173 wRC+) or Brent Rooker (.281/.364/.566, 18 HR, 52 RBI, 261 PA, .415 wOBA, 161 wRC+) who deserve it more than Garver. I can see why they might not want to give the award to a short season player, but there is no excuse not to give to Rodriguez who was better than Garver, other than the political fact that Garver was drafted by the Twins, whereas Rodriguez was in his first year with the organization. Kind of a shame...
  13. If Portland and Montreal want teams, Tampa and the Athletics are good candidates. However: Montreal could not support an MLB baseball franchise previously, why would anyone think that it can do it now? Portland could not support an NBA franchise previously (much less cost btw), I just don't think that it can support an MLB one. Even their AAA team (Beavers) had to leave. Now they got a new AAA team and it averages less than 4K tickets per game. No way.
  14. This team needs a couple of starters, in order to compete deep in the post-season. One at least at the Berrios level and one higher. Can they get one of the two in 2018 (any part of the season) from inside the organization? Unlikely. Both Romero and Gonsalves (check his AAA numbers) took a step backwards this season. Littel needs at least half a season of AA to prove himself. May is a question mark and Hughes is done. So not much inside, thus they have to look outside, both in trades and free agency, but the key is not to get pitchers at the Berrios level or lower...
  15. Can he pitch?
  16. Can the 'devil we know' pitch?
  17. This team has to stop looking for number 3 type of pitchers. About time to do it right. No more half a$$ Darvish. Otani. That's about it as far as FA SPs this team should be after.
  18. LAD could use a second baseman upgrade in the near future. Forsythe was horrible and Uttley will be retiring. The Cubs have Baez and the Yankees Castro, so it is unlikely that there will be interest there. The Mets and Diamondbacks need second basemen, as far as contenders go. So 3 pretty good openings there.
  19. It is not only Gordon and Polanco, it is Escobar and Adrianza, as well
  20. Devil's advocate: If Dozier were so good, why nobody was willing to give anything better than a rookie SP in return for him last off-season? That is a serious piece of data that should not be ignored and speaks directly about the league's perception of how good he really is...
  21. I'd rather see the Twins use the $ to lock in Sano, Berrios, and Buxton, instead of spending it to extend people who soon will be past their primes. So they got to trade him, not extend him.
  22. I'd sing 2 of these guys: Brandon Morrow to a 2 year plus an option, who has the stuff to be a dominant closer (2.06 ERA, 1.55 FIP, 29.4% K%, 24.1% K-BB%, 0.92 WHIP/.282 BABIP, 97.7 mph FB average). Drew Storen to a back loaded 3 year deal with the last 2 being team options, who finally took care of the issue that has been bothering him the last 2 seasons and will be ready likely by next August.
  23. I think that the era of a specific DH has gone. Most good teams use the DH spot to rest some of their regulars in a rotation basis, or specific regulars who are nursing particular injuries. This allows greater roster flexibility.
  24. "Easy" based on old school measures like the ones mentioned, but based on others it was close. fWAR: Santana 2.9, Berrios 2.8 FIP: Berrios 3.84, Santana 4.46 K%: Berrios 22.6%, Santana 19.3% K-BB%: Berrios 21.1%, Santana 12.3% And you can fairly easily see Santana's drivers for decreased WHIP and ERA: BABIP: Santana .245, Berrios .289 LOB%: Santana 79.5%, Berrios .70.8% Santana was most valuable to the Twins, but slightly so based of fWAR, and Berrios pitched better than Santana this season, just not as much as Santana did.
  25. I'd divide pitchers from position players, sort by fWAR (or average of fWAR/bWAR/WARP) and call it a day. Too many players with negative WAR in the list. Kubel with his 1.6 fWAR is way way too high
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