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Thrylos

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Everything posted by Thrylos

  1. You don't really use a roster spot other than the off-season. Here is the counter argument: As long as Phil Hughes is on the 60-day DL, insurance plays a huge part of his salary. If the Twins cut him, they have to pay his salary. He could retire...
  2. One option year. He was added last off-season. Had 2 more left.
  3. It is one step above the Marlins who already put out the Garage Sale signs...
  4. Morrow as the closer. Not even close as far as the quality of FA available talent. They need a lefty as well. Minor could be it. Reed can bee the RH set up guy, but there is so much talent in the organization in that position. I'd take a flyer of Huston Street on a MiLB contract, as well, to see what's going on there.
  5. WAR is what got them to the post-season. WAR does not matter in the post-season. Rate stats, do matter more. Verlander's WAR with the Astros was very small (because he did not play much.) But he was essential for their off-season. No Verlander no WS. WAR is a very bad metric for this.
  6. Donuts to dollars, Boshers (and O'Rourke and Turley) will also be dropped; just nobody will claim them. Rogers, Enns, and Moya are ahead of them and the Twins will likely hopefully get an even better LHRP this offseason.
  7. The Royals were 3rd in the AL in team ERA in 2015 and 4th in 2014. Plus that pen. The Mets in 2015 had Harvey, deGroom and Thor with ERAs 2 under 3, the other 3.25 and WHIPs around 1.000. The 2014 Giants had Bumgarner and Peavy with 2.98 and 2.12 ERAs and WHIP around 1.000, as well as 5 relievers with WHIP under or around 1.000 The 2012 Giants had 5 starters with 184+ IP, headed by Cain (2.79 ERA, 1.040 WHIP) and Bumgarner (3.37 ERA, 1.114 WHIP) The 2011 Cardinals had 4 starters with 183+ IP, 4 starters with ~3.50 ERA, and 5 relievers at 1.000 WHIP or under, 3 of them under 2.30 ERA. Are the Twins projected to have anything close to that if they sit on their rear ends? Esp. with Santana regressing.
  8. Dumpster Diving and Spendtrifting, both TR trademarks, are a big crap shoot. If you are going for quantity vs. quality, that's what you get. The Twins should go after two top 20 pitchers. They have not done that since MacPhail.
  9. I'd love to hear the name of the last team that made it to the World Series without an impact pitcher (or 2.) If the goal is to snick in the post-season as a wild card and go belly up again, nope, they do not need to add an impact pitcher...
  10. Cannot count the ways that this is inane.
  11. I do not understand this logic at all. He had a injury that was caused by a ball during a plate appearance. Freak accident. Nothing to do with his weight and position, and he is taking care of it during the off-season so he will be in playing shape by ST.
  12. Wish him the best. Better now and being ready next March, than losing time next season
  13. Houston in 2012 started a certain 21 year old who hit .276/.297/.357 with 2 HR in 234 PAs. This guy will likely be the 2017 AL MVP. Rebuilding teams do not care about the present, they care about the future, and Diaz likely (need to look at the list) will have the highest potential among the available first basemen. No competitive team will pick him, but there are the Marlins and Reds and Pardes of the world out there...
  14. Re: Navaretto: Unless he can hit his way out of a paper bag (.550 OPS this season), he does not belong to this discussion. Rainis Silva should be on the bubble, since a. he is better as a catcher and b. seems to have learned how to hit his way out of a paper back last season.
  15. Nope. Any player on the 40-man roster can be placed on the 60-day DL to open a spot on that roster. He does not have to be on the 25-man (active) roster. As far as MiLB goes, there is only a 7-day DL and people just go there for as many days (or seasons) they need.
  16. I would agree with the 3 of the 4 locks, but Jake Reed is the worst of the 3 relievers that need to be protected. If I were to protect a reliever, it would be Burdi Numbers: Jake Reed (AAA): 30-2/3 IP, 3.40 FIP, 4.14 xFIP, 3.4% HR/FB, 84.3% LOB, 1.14 WHIP/.281 BABIP, 20.7 K%, 11.6 K-BB% Nick Burdi (AA): 17 IP, 2.23 FIP, 2.22 xFIP, 7.7 HR/FB, 100% LOB, 0.76 WHIP/.222 BABIP, 32.8 K%, 26.2 K-BB% Luke Bard (AA): 52-1/3 IP, 2.56 FIP, 2.50 xFIP, 8 HR/FB, 85% LOB, 1.34 WHIP/.380 BABIP, 34.2 K%, 29.8 K-BB% For comparison purposes: John Curtiss (AAA) 24-1/3 IP, 1.86 FIP, 2.92 xFIP, 0% HR/FB, 76.2 LOB%, 0.86 WHIP/.212 BABIP, 34.7 K%, 24.2 K-BB% Trevor Hildenberger (AAA) 30-2/3 IP, 2.36 FIP, 2.86 xFIP, 4.3 HR/FB, 83.8% LOB, 1.14 WHIP/.321 BABIP, 27.8 K%, 21.4 K-BB% Alan Busenitz (AAA) 35-1/3 IP, 2.15 FIP, 3.22 xFIP, 0% HR/FB, 77.4% LOB, 0.82 WHIP/ .235 BABIP, 29.6 K%, 22 K-BB% I think that the Twins, for once, will have to trade players who cannot protect before they go away. I'd rather see what Thorpe, Stewart, Reed, and Bard would bring on the trade market, before I let them go. Would a rebuilding that is going under severe cost cutting be willing to make a deal around some of them?
  17. So, if that stands true for Gibson, why should not apply to Buxton?
  18. I think that May could be a wild-card that may get the Twins over the top, if he returns to his previous self; however, the Twins will be better of if their front office is not living on a prayer, but starts planning without May. Little dirty secret about one of the worst rotation in the majors: Their "Ace" will almost certainly regress next season, based on his 4.46 FIP, 4.77 xFIP, & .245 BABIP. This pitching rotation to be competitive in the post-season will need 2 pitchers better than Berrios, and Santana is not one. If that means giving Santana up in a package to get one of, let it be. If May proves to be a lottery ticket and Gibson continues building on his second half (3.76 ERA, 3.71 FIP, 3.63 xFIP, 1.28 WHIP/.319 BABIP, 8.2 K/9, 3.2 K/BB), that would be amazing. But makes zero sense to plan on it. That's like planning on Hughes coming back and repeating his 2014 numbers next season...
  19. Way too early for me to even think about this, since I do most of my prospect work in December and January when there are enough moves made, but my #1 last season was Wander Javier and hitting .299/.383/.471 in the Appy League as an 18 year old, did not hurt himself. Royce Lewis might be close or overtake him. Not sure yet, but these guys will likely be #1 and #2 in some order, pending transactions.
  20. Otani's current manager. Good luck adjusting to the US way of playing baseball. Bench coach is not an internship
  21. LENIII reports that Gardenhire recruited Joe Vavra away from the Twins. Same article also indicates that Ron Anderson might be Detroit's next bullpen coach. The Twins are looking for a new bench coach both internally and externally.
  22. Castro is partially the reason of the ERA drop from 2016. He is part of the good defense. Castro's 2017 fWAR: 1.6, bWAR 2.5; Suzuki's 2016 fWAR 0.5, bWAR 0.4. 10th best C as far as fWAR is concerned, higher with bWAR
  23. That is true; however in this particular metric, there are a lot of teams bunched. In 2017 the Twins had a 9.3% SwStr%. Just an 1.1% increase to 10.4% would have tied them for 13th in the league. How do you get that 10.4 or 1.1% increase? Healthy Trevor May (13.2 % in 2016) Bye bye Colon (5.8%), Haley (6.1%), Kintzler (6.4%), Hughes (7%), Santiago (7.4%) Hello more of Moya (12.4%), Curtiss (12.1%), Hildenberger (11.9%) Hello: 2 new starters at 12% or so+, with Berrios improving and Gibson sustaining his second half improvement (heck, if we hope for Buxton sustaining his, no reason not to hope the same for Gibson.) 2+ new relievers at 13% + (Brandon Morrow @ 16.0%, and hope one or more of Jay, Reed, Burdi etc) New pitching coach and MiLB pitching coordination who will emphasize missing bats. It's not that difficult, esp. if the organization make it its centerpiece this off-season and goes after appropriate pitchers. (They would need at least 3 from outside the organization and a second pen piece would be better.)
  24. I think that the Twins were fine defensively last season and the younger players like Polanco, Sano, Kepler, Buxton, Rosario etc will improve as they develop further. One sure way of improving the defense is to not put the ball in play and have pitching miss bats. That's the glaring weakness of the Twins. The rotation and pen. Not the defense. Would a DH/occasional OF with better glove be better than Grossman? Sure. Still should not be the priority here.
  25. Teams that want to cut cost and rebuild would not be after those guys, but after controllable talent. Rays, Pittsburgh, Cincinnati, A's, Padres, from the medium to small market teams and even Atlanta, Mets, Phillies, and Toronto from the large market teams might be on that mode... And why would they give young controllable talent? A. because it might be about to get expensive via arbitration and B. getting 3-4 players back accelerates their rebuilding process.
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