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Thrylos

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Everything posted by Thrylos

  1. Thrylos
    I get the argument that Minneapolis might be a better-suited place for him, since NY, LA, Boston are "too big", according to some discussions regarding his personal preferences. On the other hand, the Seattle metro is just 200K people bigger than the MPLS-SP metro area and San Diego's is right about the Twin Cities' size. Both have direct flights to Tokyo. Both have better weather and living conditions than Minneapolis/St. Paul, esp. San Diego, and much more Japanese population. Other than trying to sell the young core and potentially competing for a while and being part of it, I just don't see the Twins being able to sell much more, other maybe Fort Myers, which is a much better ST facility than anything in AZ, and Target Field and his agent asked for some reason teams to disclose details about facilities. But, yeah, the Twin Cities kinda such as far as living environment compared to other places in the majors...
  2. Thrylos
    Dereck Rodriguez (Pudge Jr) signed as a free agent with the Giants.
  3. Thrylos
    Got to love this quote from there: “He’s a unique free agent, but we don’t know a lot about him personally yet,” Levine said of Ohtani. “It’s exciting for us because we have a chance to sign a player like him. He’s a top priority for us.” They either need to rethink the ways they assign top priorities (ie. make someone top priority after they know enough about him) or he is just talking...
  4. Thrylos
    Depends what else happens, like signing Otani. I think that at this point Santana will regress and will be behind Gibson at the Twins rotation depth and that Dozier and him can bring a good pitcher back at less cost than signing Darvish long term (which is not something I like them to do because of age.) Add the fact that Santana will likely have his 2019 option vest, and it becomes even bigger of a problem, blocking someone like (let say) May or Gonsalves or Romero. If the Twins start spring Training with Dozier and Santana it will mean that the FO blew an opportunity. Both of them are considerably older than the Twins' core players and the Twins should move towards the direction of building a core the will be at its prime for a long time.
  5. Thrylos
    How about Porcello for Cespedes? or even Fullmer (and MLB-ready top 100 SP) for Cespedes? How about Michael Pineda for Jesus Montero and Hector Noesi? Or Mike Leake for Adam Duvall? It happens.
  6. Thrylos
    Because, esp. the Mets, they would value a veteran presence.' And Santana does not come alone. Dozier will be included in the trade, and both of these teams are sorely lacking second basemen. The trade is Santana+Dozier for 1 young top of the rotation SP. (and what it takes to balance it on both sides in prospects)
  7. Thrylos
    Do you remember who the Red Sox traded to the A's for Cespedes? Or who Detroit traded to the Red Sox for the same Cespedes? It does happen.
  8. Thrylos
    They don't need more than 5, if they are getting Santana back for one in the rotation, and they have enough pitchers to fill their rotation appropriately. They need 3, one of which can go to the Twins. Examples: (The Twins target one of the top 3; other than Greinke for the Dbacks) Mets: Jacob deGrom Noah Syndergaard Steven Matz ----- Robert Gsellman Matt Harvey Zack Wheeler Chris Flexen Diamondbacks: Greinke Ray Walker --- Corbin Godley Banda Miller Shipley And as you can see, under the line, in both of the teams, there is plenty of talent that is better than what the Twins have right now, and definitely enough for them to pick 2 to fill in a rotation, plus stash a bunch in AAA "just in case". And they have more coming too.
  9. Thrylos
    The Mets and the Diamondbacks do; albeit not all that established. Being "established" should not be one of the Twins' requirements here...
  10. Thrylos
    Not necessarily. There are teams that have a whole bunch of young MLB ready pitchers who need a second baseman and also would like to have an experienced veteran. Dbacks and the Mets are primes examples of 2 such teams.
  11. Thrylos
    Yes they do. Because they are rebuilding and want to shed salary. I bet that if you call the Mets, or the Dodgers, or the Dbacks, or the Angels (for example), they do not hang the phone.
  12. Thrylos
    You will not trade them for prospects. You will trade them for young top of the rotation type starters.
  13. Thrylos
    To compete with the Indians, Astros, and Dodgers they need more than that: 2 SP better than Berrios, 3 end of the pen pitchers, including a closer and 2 set up men, and maybe a RH power bat who can play OF or DH. And that assumes that Otani and Darvish will not end up in one of these 3 teams.
  14. Thrylos
    Got to add Santana and Dozier (and the lesser valued Vargas and Grossman) as trade bait from the bigs. They are considerably older than the team core at this point. I think that the Twins should be creative and go for more than 1:1 trades. Not sure what it would take to get Cole from Pittsburgh, but I would rather see what will take to take Cole, plus Rivero (who is about to get pretty expensive via arbitration), plus McCutchen. Pittsburgh has plenty of young arms to want a deal where the bats are the centerpiece. I think getting Cutch back who will be at least as good, if no better than Kepler next season (and replaced by Rooker in 2019), I can give them Kepler. Then I would add their local product, Kirilloff and Gordon. Two out of those will plug in their team right away. Then I would offer them their pick of up to 2 of the non-protected relievers (Burdi, Bard, Reed, Melotakis,) and if they really want Gonsalves to put them over the top, they should take him. The Twins will take $14.5M + ~7.5M + ~ 3M = ~25M a year for 2018. This way the Twins get a number two, a 25 yo stud closer, and a 4 win or so RHB OF in his last season before he becomes a FA... This makes the Twins a better team now and in the future.
  15. Thrylos
    Regarding Wade, I am not that optimistic after this season (and AFL) as I was after the previous season. What concerns me: a. His durability. 2017 was the first season he played in more than 88 games, and got his worst OBP (.805) in the regular season and went all the way down to .763 in the AFL. b. His power should have been better. 32 xBH (7 HR) out of 124, make him pretty much a singles hitter. That 25.8% xBH is Nick Punto territory (career 23.4% xBH). He will be 24 1/1/18. Those numbers should definitely be better by now. c. Will he come back from his concussion? He also missed a couple months in 2016 with injuries. I got to see bit more of Littell video (and in person next ST) before I form a solid opinion, but I think that he is underrated. Other than the W-L numbers, his 2016 in the Mariners organization was equally good as his 2017, so he has been building up as he moves levels. He was drafted as a High Schooler and these guys sometimes take time to click and Littell looks like he did. I'd have him higher for Thorpe (who still walks too many) for sure, just not sure how high yet. Diaz hit .292/.329/.444 as a 20 year old in full season A ball and decreased his K% all the way down to 15.7%, which is pretty darn good for a power hitter. Definitely a top 10 talent, even though this organization got better than last year.
  16. Thrylos
    The team that will sign Michael Pineda will do exactly that... Burdi has to be on the active roster for 90 days in 2018, otherwise he goes back to the Twins. Cannot be stashed away as a rule 5 draft pick. Has to be on the 25 man roster and not on the DL for at least 3 months.
  17. Thrylos
    There is a bit of a small print that requires someone to spend a full 90 days on the active roster as a Rule 5 pick. So no stashing on the DL the full season. He has to be on the majors' bench for 3 months.
  18. Thrylos
    The Phillies and the Padres do not belong in the same sentence. The Phillies are not a small market team and they are on the down side of the curve in a rapid rebuild. Matter of fact, they are the team that left Appel go who a. throws harder than Stewart b. is equally wild. and c. has pitched at a higher level. They will have about $50-75M to spend next off-season at the first rate FAs Can someone hide Stewart in their pen for a whole year? If I where them, I'd rather hide Reed or Burdi to tell you the truth...
  19. Thrylos
    Compare and contrast Santana's peak with Doc Gooden's peak. Pretty similar, with Gooden having one of the most dominant seasons ever, plus Gooden has a ring. If Gooden is not in, Santana should not be in. Thome will make it, but I feel that he is as much a Twin, as Brett Favre is a Viking. Thome killed the Twins.
  20. Thrylos
    The sad story about this is that both the guy who drafted them and the guy who was running the system that failed to develop them, were given promotions in the organization... No accountability.
  21. Thrylos
    Let's see: Rogers, Moya, Melotakis, McIver and I am not counting the likes of Enns or Thorpe or even Mejia and Gonsalves who could pitch from the pen in a pinch.
  22. Thrylos
    Thorpe is the surprise in this group. Likely the Twins know better than me about Burdi's health (and it was that botched trade to ATL for health reasons as well,) but, I'd have him ahead of Thorpe at this point. What I don't get is that Boshers (and Slegers to a lesser degree) have 40-man spots at this point. I don't think that anyone will pick up Stewart and have him stick to the majors for a full season. He was horrible last season. Ryan Eades might surprise some people. I think that as a reliever has a future in the majors. A couple of more thoughts: a. I suspect that there will be trades and some of these players will be traded b. how in heaven does Deron Johnson still has a job with the Twins with so many high round picks in his tenure bombing?
  23. Thrylos
    It is a guaranteed contract. The Twins would pay the salary. 100%. By being on the 40-man roster and then moving to the DL, insurance pays partially.
  24. Thrylos
    Curtiss is 3 months younger than Burdi, a year older than Jay, and about 21 months older than Moya, to get that out the way Could have been the butterflies, or the fact that he was tired, or something, but his slider was horrific in the majors and his fastball was not overwhelming. If you look at his numbers this season across all levels, there are almost identical to Tonkin's (2.33 vs 2.87 ERA, 12.1 vs 12.2 K/9, 3.7 vs 3.6 BB/9) with the exception of WHIP (.966 vs 1.245) which was driven by the differences in BABIP (.238 vs .322.) So I look at Curtiss and I see Tonkin. Or Pressly with slower fastball and the same inconsistency in their breaking stuff that has flashes of filth when they can command it. But they don't usually. That's his ceiling. Burdi throws in the triple digits and has way much better control. No comparison as far as stuff goes, but the health thing is questionable Moya is a little freak who for some reason was extremely effective in the minors (BA named him the best relief pitcher) and was better than Curtiss in the majors. And 2 years younger. He had video game numbers. Does not throw hard, but he throws a good 3-4 mph harder than his bullpen coach in his prime. Jay has Andrew Miller potential and will eventually find his way, if his health keeps up. That's why I was asking about health being one of the concerns here... And still, there is no way that Curtiss could be ranked higher than Moya in the age vs. results equation.
  25. Thrylos
    Curtiss ahead of Moya, Jay, and Burdi? Based on? Ceiling? Floor? Health? Stuff? Potential? Results? No way As his 9 games in the majors showed, 0% HR/FB rate and .212 BABIP are not sustainable. He really sucked when he was called up.
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