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Thrylos

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Everything posted by Thrylos

  1. If you look at the Romero of 2016 vs this of 2017 and 2018, the one number that jumps out is BB%. It doubled the last 2 seasons. This is something that needs work and adjustment. His 10.2% Swinging Strike percentage was third behind Gibson and Berrios among the Twins' starters in 2018, but pretty mediocre for a reliever. It will likely tick up with increase in his FB and SL velo in the pen. Maybe a pen stint can help him with decreasing the BB% if he attacks the strike zone more during shorter outings. Will it be better for the Twins for Romero to go to the pen? Cannot answer this yet. Need to see what they are going to do before Spring Training starts. If they are not going to get any other starters, the Twins might be better of with Romero at the last starting spot than with any of their other young pitchers (Gonsalves, Stewart, Slegers, etc.) who pitched worse than Romero last season, they are not ready and might never be. Mejia is the wild card here since he is out of options and the only lefty starter who is ready. It is a long off-season.
  2. Hard to argue with this list I would expect to see Ryan Jeffers some place there. 35% extra base hits at Cedar Rapids first season with wood is really promising. Michael Helman (11th round pick in 2018.) Any player who hits near .500 at any level is interesting. He put a .487/.567/.829 line at JuCo in 2017 and had this worse hitting line ever at Cedar Rapids this season hitting .355/.398/.486. Have not yet seen him play, but color me intrigued. I am not going to mention any Dominicans, other than the fact that no Twins minor leaguer outside the DSL had more walks than strikeouts this season. I think that aggressiveness has been a Philosophy shift in the organization (this includes the majors.) Quick sampling, back in 2016, just 3 seasons ago, there were 6 players in the minors outside the DSL with at least as many walks as strikeouts. What does this can to do in a tools post? The definition of the "hitting" tool might be changing league wide. Also, unless there is a massive number of injuries, there is no way that Kirilloff will be in the majors in 2019. I understand the helium, but lets see the kid hit AA pitching first before we proclaim him "ready".
  3. Based on the 9.85% state income tax, the Twins offer has to be about 5% better than those of teams in states of ~5% income tax (includes the division rivals in OH,IL,KS,MI) and 10% better than teams in FL, AZ etc that do not have state tax to be equivalent. So a Twins $11M offer in AAV is just equivalent (not better) to a Diamondbacks $10M offer or Indians $10.5M pretty much. So if Harper has a $200M offer on the table from the Phillies (3.07% income tax in PA), they would need to offer $213.6M to just match it. (rough math because 1/2 of someone's salary is used to pay tax in away games, but still...) People don't think about it generally, but it is an issue.
  4. They are about the same pitcher, with Gibson getting more into the games and being better against LHB, Odorizzi striking out slightly more, being better against RHB and younger. Career: Odorizzi: 4.20, FIP Gibson: 4.30 2018 vs LHB: Odorizzi: 4.54 FIP, Gibson: 4.16 FIP 2018 vs RHB: Odorizzi: 3.92 FIP, Gibson: 4.10 FIP 2018 Odorizzi: 164-1/3 IP, Gibson: 196-2/3 IP 2018 Odorizzi: 22.8 K%, Gibson: 21.7 K% 2018 Odorizzi: 12.9 K-BB%, Gibson: 12.1 K-BB% 2018 Odorizzi: 1.34 WHIP/ .290 BABIP, Gibson: 1.30/.285 Should the discussion be why the Twins should extend their future number 3 or 4 starter? It should not. I would extend neither and see if I could trade either in a package for a top of the rotation pitcher.
  5. His changeup is really intriguing (video here). If the Twins can tweak his fastball to make it a bit better than batting practice pitch, it will be interesting to see what may happen. Zero downside. Not even a 40-man roster spot. Plenty of upside, since he is 27 years old (a year older than Jake Reed for comparison. Now if he had Reed's FB, with that CH....) Not a bad singing at all.
  6. They should retire 36 (and that can go both ways, and it will be fun to see two names,) and then 38 after that, but they will unfortunately retire 48 next.
  7. You do realize that the Cubs' offer and the Twins' offer to Darvish had the same annual value ($21M,) and the Cubs were the only team to go for 6 years, correct?
  8. if an offer of $105 million is unserious (sic), I'd love some of that funny money...
  9. The Twins need to start trading 3-4 of these guys for 1 impact guy. .283/.368/.561 and .370 wOBA: Taylor Rogers's RHB opponents in away games. He is ok in his comfort zone at home against righties, but you don't want to pitch him away against them. Bottom line: For this team to be relevant in this season well into the post season, they need 2 SPs better than Berrios and 2 RP better than May (and Rogers, and Reed.) They have plenty of trade bait. I'd include Odorizzi and Mejia in the trade pile, as well as Nick Gordon, LaMonte Wade etc. They should just go get them if they want us to believe that they want to compete... Because dragging Hildy's sorry league worst WPA for another season will just not cut it...
  10. FWIW here are the results: 1. Orioles — Richie Martin, SS (from Athletics) 2. Royals — Sam McWilliams, RHP (from Rays) 3. White Sox — Jordan Romano, RHP (from Blue Jays) 4. Marlins — Riley Ferrell, RHP (from Astros) 5. Tigers — Reed Garrett, RHP (from Rangers) 7. Reds — Connor Joe, C (from Dodgers) 8. Rangers — Chris Ellis, RHP (from Cardinals) 9. Giants — Travis Bergen, LHP (from Blue Jays) 10. Blue Jays — Elvis Luciano, RHP (from Royals) 11. Mets — Kyle Dowdy, RHP (from Indians) 13. Phillies — Drew Jackson, SS (from Dodgers) 15. Diamondbacks — Nick Green, RHP (from Yankees) 19. Mariners — Brandon Brennan, RHP (from Rockies) 39. Giants — Drew Ferguson, OF (from Astros)
  11. He had options when they traded for him. Molitor just sat him longer than he should have had...
  12. Fact: He was in the DL from July 14 to July 27th and from August 1st to August 14th with a left wrist issue. He played in 12 games from July 14th on...
  13. Hope that Austin does not get a 50-game suspension for being a Biogenesis client like Cruz did...
  14. Austin was traded on July 30th. In the following 56 games he appeared in 35, including 12 starts at 1B and 21 at DH. He was in the minors for a week before Morrison went down and he was recalled. So he appeared in about 70% of the games he was in the majors. Molitor missed the chance to use him more, and he made some silly choices in those games, including starting Adrianza and Gimenez at 1B twice and Garver once with Austin out of the lineup. So that one is on Molitor. The Twins front office did well with signing the arbitration eligible Cron to a contract that is pretty much disposable at ST. The more competition the better, and with the ousting of Grossman, there is room for both Cron and Austin in the lineup. Austin can play RF as well. He has 339 games (2841-1/3 innings) at the OF (mostly RF and mostly in the minors) with 11 cumulative errors and 30 assists. For comparison's purpose Grossman in the minors played 726 OF games (6194 innings, mostly LF) with 22 errors and 40 assists. Their gloves are comparable with Austin having a better arm. I see him play OF considerably this ST...
  15. Did you see the word requires (or mandates or the like) anywhere? You won't. It is against the CBA. It is something that Sano and the team agreed on. Sano took the initiative for the plan.
  16. Even Andre (not the Giant) comes with corks...
  17. There is a great interview of Falvey on the subject (among other things) at the 1500 ESPN. I don't see it as double standard at all. All MLB and MiLB players have the right to do what they want to do during the off-season. Sano decided to continue his conditioning program that started at Fort Myers last season and the Twins are giving him the tools he needs to be successful. I am pretty sure that if other players have asked for similar tools, they would be available to them. It is not about standards. It is about initiative, determination and availability of tools. Or not.
  18. Bet the Twins are talking about 20-30 players, both free agents and in trades. Due diligence. That's what all teams do this time of the season. It does not mean that they will sign (or trade for) anyone in particular. Got about 2 full months before pitchers and catchers report. Too much time to get "upset"...
  19. I think that they will be fine staying pat as far as position players go. They need pitchers badly, and they will need them even worse next off-season when Gibson, Odorizzi, and Pinesa are all free agents.
  20. They should rename it the Hall of Above Average and let in anyone who would like...
  21. So does the 40th
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