For me Cuddyer's tenure with the Twins has been marked by his lackadaisical effort to break the ball loose from Pierczynski in game 163 at Chicago, and his nonchalant post game comments after the loss, like it was just another ballgame... The poster boy of embracing and applauding the just not good enough era of Twins' baseball.
That's a bit of a myth. Fact: Hildenbergen's ERA/Opponents OPS per month. March/April 4.15/.827 May 1.93/.613 June 3.55/.641 July 5.40/.818 August 6.75/.971 Sept 14.04/.949 He really started falling apart at the end of June, and other than May and bit of June he was not all that great. His March/April was bad, but was lucky that did not reflect to his ERA. Only 2 months of the season he was an acceptable MLB pitcher.
Alvarez is one of those guys who is pitching backwards. He mostly throws his slider, because his fastball is not that great. About half of his sliders are off the plate as well. Sliders in the dirt in AAA are much more effective that the majors and his career reflects that. He had minuscule ERAs (2.33 and 1.98) in the PCL the last 2 season and could not make the jump. If someone fixes his fastball there is hope, but he is 30 years old already. Who knows? Doesn't hurt anything...
Then the Twins should be more than fine with their pen since Taylor Rogers had the 10th highest fWAR in the majors, tied with Aroldis Chapman and ahead of Craig Kimbrel,Dellin Betances, Jeurys Familia, David Robertson et al.
I still like to see them add a starter and a reliever, and they will likely add the latter. Maybe the smart play here is to wait until the deadline and if they are in it, make substantial additions. The point being is that there are several prospects that either need to be traded before they lose their value and/or become minor league free agents
This assumes that the Twins will not re-sign any of their free agents, extend players, or sign other free agents. Highly unlikely. Javier is a better fielder at SS than Lewis; if anything he would be the SS.
The Indians also have zero contracts past 2020. Probably several other teams but I did not bother to check. The Tigers have 1 and the Royals 2. It is normal
This is part of what I wrote on Gonsalves in my 2018 off-season prospect rankings. He was 9th: "He has some difficulties in repeating his delivery which results in occasional loss of command and that is translated with an increase in walks and decrease in strikeouts. When that happens, Gonsalves has been successful so far by inducing weak movement. Pitching to weak contact and needed to paint the corners to succeed is a risky recipe for success and despite Gonsalves doing it in every level, there is a feeling that it will just take him that far, especially when he has a long frame and with the difficulties in repeating his delivery, which results in the up and down command issue, not to mention the shoulder considerations." Still stand by it and it is exactly what we have witnessed in his ~25 IP sample size in the majors, as well... Will never be a top of the rotation guy, and the Twins have many 5th starter types not to take advantage of his national regard and trade him, selling high...
A. Gonsalves has been a top 100 prospect in both the MLB and BA rolls. B. Throw in Nick Gordon who is a top 100 prospect C. Sell High. Cannot wait until a prospect is well baked before you turn that asset into someone who can play Certainly Gonsalves + Gordon + another prospect or 2, plus taking over $ can bring in a top of the rotation starter. Verlander was traded for Daz Cameron (#74 BA the season before trade, unranked season of trade), Franklin Perez (#54 BA) and Jake Rogers (unranked.)
This is an interesting writeup from November on what the Angel's pitching coach Scott Radinsky had to say about Blake Parker (and the rest of his pen). Scroll down a bit.
Hildy is between months to a year younger than Ozorizzi, Magill, and May. He is 28 now. I don't see anyone giving the same slack to Magill About the riding him hard part. Here are his splits: Days of rest/ERA: 0/6.28 1/8.03 2/4.05 3/1.86 So he was abominable with no rest or one day's rest, bad with 2 days rest and great with 3 days rest. You just cannot afford to have pitchers in the pen that are effective if you used them every fourth day. I don't get the Hildy love...
In addition to Ottavino who can slide really nice at the back end of the pen, there are several upgrades over the likes of Hildenberger (worst WPA in the majors in 2018), Duffey, and Magill on the second tier of free agents. Bud Norris, Brad Brach, Justin Wilson, Jake Diekman, Tony Sipp etc are a few names. Are they closer material? No. But I'd take any 3 ahead of the 3 Twins mentioned...
I think that it is interesting to get all these College coaches. For one, College coaches are experts in dealing with and relating to 18-22 year olds, unlike recycled "seasoned" professional coaches...
Very likely will clear waivers and be in AAA to start the season. Probably about #12 in the pitching depth as far as rotation goes behind Berrios, Gibson, Odorizzi, Pineda, Mejia, Romero, Stewart, Gonsalves, Littell, De Jonge, and even Thorpe.
I put together my thoughts on Pineda here, right when he was signed in about 900 words. It summarizes why I was not a fan of it then and I am not now, based on potential performance influenced by his health, the likelihood the slider returns after TJ, and his decision making process...
Stateside, I'd add Janigson Villalobos (of Phil Hughes trade fame), Trevor Casanova (13th pick in 2018), David Banuelos (who had some helium when came from Seattle last off-season, but has been hurt all of 2018 practically), plus Jeferson Morales at the DSL who was signed in 2016 and had his first healthy season in 2018 and is coming stateside next season. Not necessarily in that order.