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Thrylos

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Everything posted by Thrylos

  1. Thrylos
    Here is the pertinent quote from Olney's writeup (behind ESPN paywall) In other words, there is zero evidence that the Twins are looking at either player. There is only speculation that they could maybe even potentially be in, because they maybe could possibly afford to be in. I just don't think it is happening. Disliking it when national writers bring people's hopes up based on speculative guesses, and this seems one of these cases...
  2. Thrylos
    That statement would had bee truth if both players were beyond their primes. They still have to reach their primes. They still can become superstars. One down season and let's call them busts. Under the same logic Torii Hunter was a bust as well...
  3. Thrylos
    Great stuff! Totally agree on Eades and Stashak. In my prospect list last offseason regarding Stashak, among other things I wrote: His small sample size success at the Chattanooga pen at the end of last season, makes one wonder whether he can shine in the pen if his fastball gets a couple of ticks. It looks like this is what happened. His FB looks like mid-90s from 88-92 as a starter. He had mainly two above average pitches (FB & CU) so the transition made sense. Curve looks close to plus, but need to look in person. Alcala is an interesting story. He is pretty early in his development besides being 23. He was signed as an International Free Agent at 20 years old, instead of the customary 16 and 17. So his body is that of a 23 year old, but his baseball acumen is that of a 19 year old. I think that he will be a later riser and that he is another year or 2 away because of his later start. For this reason, I suspect that the Twins will make everything possible to keep him developing as a starter. Another worthwhile name to keep in mind for this list is Rande LeBlanc. Had some arm issues, but if healthy I can see him making the transition to the pen more than I see him as a starter.
  4. Thrylos
    I'd add Shawn Kelley to the list
  5. Thrylos
    A quote from his Wikipedia page: "He is compared to be a cross between Johan Santana and Greg Maddux by Jason Parks of Baseball Time in Arlington."
  6. Thrylos
    ...Trevor May before the end of the season, and not necessarily out of Spring Training, but not impossible. (And this is not a bad thing.)
  7. Thrylos
    Are you suggesting that the Twins will look much better supplemented with a proven bat? If you are, this is exactly what they did this offseason: 2018 numbers: Machado: 122 OPS+, .377 wOBA, 141 wRC+ Harper: 133 OPS+, .376 wOBA, 135 wRC+ Nelson Cruz: 135 OPS+, .361 wOBA, 134 wRC+ Slice it any way you want, and Cruz's bat in 2018 (a down season for him btw) was pretty close to that of Machado and Harper. The commitment is not, allowing them to spend extra money for other needs (pitching). Plus his clubhouse influence I suspect will be better than that of a Machado.
  8. Thrylos
    Are you sure that what he said was something that came from the Twins' organization vs. his own opinion?
  9. Thrylos
    If spending $ vs winning was the object of an MLB franchise, I would totally agree with this article. However, here are 1000 words to describe a little told fact: The size of the payroll does not correlate well to winning. (.500 record is 324 on the above graph.) Indeed Payroll is Resource Allocation. The Twins have X dollars to spend every year, just like every corporation. They have been allocating resources in revamping their minor league systems, the player development strategy and infrastructure, they built a new academy in the DR and state of the art facilities at Fort Myers, and added a whole bunch of people in the baseball operations and scouting parts of the game. Those are asset allocations as well, and if I were to bet (need to find a graph), organizational/farm strength correlates better with wins (albeit future wins, as a lead indicator) than MLB payroll. For one, I am not interesting on how much $ the Twins are spending on MLB players, I am interested in them winning. And it has been a while...
  10. Thrylos
    I think that there are two different contexts in "success". Indeed, in a personal context a player who gets to AAA has beaten the odds and should be considered a personal success. As far as the Minnesota Twins (the MLB club) go, any player who did not make it to the majors and/or resulted to a major leaguer in a trade, is irrelevant, since he did not contribute to the potential success of the club in the major leagues. The goal of an organization is to develop players and prospect in order to win major league games. Not development for development's sake. But as far as the personal context goes, I agree 100%.
  11. Thrylos
    Neshek was hurt and missed the best part of 2 seasons and then took him a while to get back to form. His problem was mechanics and throwing strikes. It is a different case here
  12. Thrylos
    That's one of the major problems with that proposed trade.
  13. Thrylos
    It will be hard to add 1-2 top of the rotation arms and extend their own future stars, if they commit $35-40M a year to a single player, plus putting most of your eggs in one budget highly increases the risk. If the Twins were willing to trade top prospects for cheaper controllable top of the rotation pitching, would have been a different story. However, I am not sure that they are willing to do this at this point, not that what they are doing is "wrong" by any means. It is a strategy.
  14. Thrylos
    I hope that the Twins bring up the best 25 North. And that he figures it out
  15. Thrylos
    This is exactly what I thought when I heard of Ozoria. Vielma was a bit taller, but not 150 lbs wet when he came to the Twins I think that Vielma's arm seems to be a bit better, but Ozoria's bat projects better than Vielma's. Good to see the Twins getting a very young guy with some potential and with up to 10+ years of team control (if he pans out.)
  16. Thrylos
    Can he pitch?
  17. Thrylos
    FWIW for all practical purposes, the Twins have replaced Curtiss with a 27 year old fireballing RP with quality SO numbers and some control issues, who is not on the 40-man roster, Jeff Ames.
  18. Thrylos
    Here is the link for that (pay wall.)
  19. Thrylos
    "Signed" is overrated. "Team Control" is more important. Plenty of young players in the majors and minors under team control past this year. These players will be the Twins' future core. Remember when some of us were mad because Ryan did not blow the whole thing up and rebuilt with youth, instead of signing the Correias, Pelfreys et al of the world, and extending the likes of Capps? It's happening now. This is what a rebuild (albeit a quiet one) looks like. Purging.
  20. Thrylos
    If Machado (or Harper, or Trout for that matter) by themselves can make a team win a World Series, their teams would have won, no? The Twins are better distributing that $ and taking example by teams like the Astros and the Cardinals. Even the Yankees won only one World Series with Arod and the Giants only one with Bonds (but 2 after he left...) A solid rounded team is better than a single superstar.
  21. Thrylos
    IMO their greatest chance to get a superstar in a long term contract is to extend Miguel Sano...
  22. Thrylos
    Real estate and sales etc do not matter that much. He does not have to buy a house there
  23. Thrylos
    The Twins offer needs to be 5% higher to match the White Sox, just to compensate about the difference in State Income Tax. So if the WSox offered $285M, a $300M offer would just match that WSox offer, which means that the Twins would have to go at the $315M range or $39.3M per year, to get him which is just nuts. There is no way that a. they will be getting close to $40M a year value from him or b. they could afford to build a winning team around him if they paid him that much.
  24. Thrylos
    i expect at least 3-4 more changes to the 40-man before the start of the season. That said, I am surprised that one of Granite/Reed did not get DFA'd, esp. Granite. With Wade and Cave around he is trice redundant (LH throwing OF who can play CF)
  25. Thrylos
    Not really: Machado: .282/.335/.487, 121 OPS+, 26 years old (career after last season) ARod: .309/.374/.561, 138 OPS+, 24 years old (career until FA) ARod was much better, 2 years younger, and had (then) no character issues
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