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old nurse

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Everything posted by old nurse

  1. old nurse
    It is just baseball dreaming on a winter day. As John Phillips wrote all those years ago, "I'd be safe and warm if Nolasco were in LA. Baseball dreaming on such a winter day". Something like that.
  2. old nurse
    There would be an international draft only if it saves the owners money. The draft pool seems to be working and is cheap. With the pools being between 2 and 5 million a team there is not a whole lot lower you can go to use as a bargaining chip. That chip would be used by the players to get more for themselves.
  3. old nurse
    The half that was bad was really bad. Batting practice bad
  4. old nurse
    Career WRC favors Plouffe, career OPS+ favors Plouffe. Nunez had a career year.
  5. old nurse
    Bluegill Hughes had a good month once.
  6. old nurse
    10/14 players last year stuck from the rule V draft. That success rate should perk up any GMlooking for talent. That should be almost every GM. I do not think that $25K for a flyer on somebody is an unreasonable gamble in mlb. The question would be how many teams have room on their 40 man to take flyers on players.Despite other people's opinions to the contrary, quality bullpen depth is not so easy to get. There were quite a few drafted last year in the rule v, a few stuck.Bullpen is usually a position of need. It would not be out of the realm of possibility that a team will take a flyer on a Twins pitcher, as there are 6 pitchers deemed possibly close enough to be major league ready.I wonder if the Twins view those pitchers not anywhere near major league ready. If another team get intrigued enough on a flyer, then there is a shot for a fleece of a trade. Looking at Sean Gilmartin, did the Twins think Dean=Gilmartin so they peotected him?
  7. old nurse
    Axford or Boyer? Colorado DFA Axford, so he is available. He made 2.6 million last year. and is arb eligible. 2.7 road era, so escaping Colorado is a plus. I should add he is 6'5" so he fits the Ryan mold of tall pitchers
  8. old nurse
    In regards to the Pirates losine players in the December 03 draft Rich Thompson, Freddie Brooks were returned Chris Shelton, minimal playing time Jeff Bennett was the mop up man for the Brewers 4 out of the 5 say the Pirates did not lose anything but gained revenue. Jose Bautista was with a lot of differetn teams in 04, ended up back with the Pirates, and still did not develop for a few more years
  9. old nurse
    If he does not progress to at least a September call up you might find out in 2017
  10. old nurse
    Wishful thinking at best. You are counting on an agent to be stupid and short sighted. They might have gotten one more year on the 4 year contract. The 4/33 provided Mauer with all the security he would need for the future. There was no need to go longer. He strung together enough healthy years at the right time that his agent would have the leverage. Shapiro and Mauer got lucky. The Twins did not. Sure it would be preferble for a win win. That does not happen that often on long term contracts.
  11. old nurse
    Norris has great first half of seasons then declines. The great first half nabbed an all star nomination. Hahn was a number 8 prospect in the Rays organization. Norris might not be as valued as you think, Hahn might not be a low valued as you think.. Would you trade Tyler Duffey and an almost major league ready middle relief prospect for Norris?
  12. old nurse
    Bring up Dean
  13. old nurse
    Teams see things in pitchers that make the team thinks that pitcher can get outs in the majors. They will get chances. Duffrey is on pace to throw more innings than he ever has in pro ball would lead me to believe he could be around as a bullpen arm for September.
  14. old nurse
    For some strange reason I pulled up the Twins roster on Fangraphs. If in your top 10 for ofensive WAR includes a minor league utility player and 2 pitchers, that is not good no matter how flawed the statistic is for being at the 1/3 point of a season
  15. old nurse
    I think a quite a few people before your article posted similar. It should be obvious that I do not make my living from sports. I can enjoy it for what it is, no appears was, a heck of a nice run. A team without a steady big bopper and a couple of little ones are doomed to have streaks. I would think all the stat heads know that. If a downturn continues, the kids in Chatanooga could be up sooner (glass half full) I really hope that the Twins do well,. This week, like the start of the season, is making it mighty tempting to finish off that glass.
  16. old nurse
    Not comparing the two, but Greg Maddux through his prime almost always had an ERA lower than his xfip. Just as rare as a year Carl Pavano was healthy, there are pitchers who induce weak contact. Enjoy Pelf's health while it lasts.
  17. old nurse
    RBI does measure how well someone hits with men on base, Sort of like timing someones speed by counting 10001,1002, 1003. Dang, that guy is fast getting to first base.
  18. old nurse
    With the way Nolasco has pitched this year (and last) I am sceptical of a trip to the dl and 2 rehab starts making him the pitcher he was before he signed with the Twins. He had a whole offseason to heal from last year. I do not think he did.I doubt he will make it back as an effective pitcher.
  19. old nurse
    I am starting to think that being a pitcher for the Twins is like being a drummer for Spinal Tap
  20. old nurse
    Even though there is a reduction in factors for 2009-2011, the grades for those classes to determine success or failure can really only be an incomplete. What Gibson, Wimmers and Hicks will develop into is far from determined. If Hicks follows Hunter's career arc this could be his year. Granted he did not perform as well as Hunter did at a similar age, he still could develop to be above average. That would probably make the pick a winner for the slot over time. Gibson could be a better starter than a 1.2 WAR. The numbers Ball came up with were to look at a fair sample size of a player's performance. None of these players have had the chance for that. I would not disagree that the arly numbers are a red flag
  21. old nurse
    84-78 for all of the teams in the Central Division. Ron Manfred breaks down contemplating a 5 team playoff scenario and appoints Bud Selig to solve the problem beacause who else could make a bad situation worse. Selig rules that the Twins get a first round bye. The Twins end up the luckiest team in baseball in the playoffs. That is due in part because both Mauer and Hunter are injured and the rest of the team never heard of losing in the playoffs before. I am only serious in that I believe the tams in the Central will be mediocre. I think Brock is correct in his take on the Royals.
  22. old nurse
    Hank Sanchez, Kyle Waldrop, Matt Fox and Jay Ranville kind of negate a little bit of the luster from those 3 drafts
  23. old nurse
    In Parker's time period the Twins drafted players between picks 14 and 50 in the first round. Of those 11 picks 4 have made it to the major leagues and have produced positive bWAR. Of the 222 players drafted in that time frame in those slots 67 have made it to the majors and have produced positive bWAR. From that standpoint the Twins do not look bad. Over that time period 27 players in that group have produced at least 4 bWAR, the Twins drafted one. Again,for those players drafted. The Twins sucess rate was about average. Unfortunately, they needed to do better than average. They needed to be lucky and get a very good player, 7 over that time period have produced a bWAR greater than 10, and they did not.
  24. old nurse
    How do the statistics change if you throw out the supplemental first round players? Some years there were 14 supplemental players, some years 34. What is a first rounder one year is a second rounder another
  25. old nurse
    It is pretty much out of the shortstop's control if there is someone on base so the put out is a DP or not. The higher the % of plays a shortstop makes that are a DP could indicate there is a groundball pitcher or pitchers who put a lot of runners on base. I don't think it reflects on the shortstop. If there is a baserunner and there is a play involving the shortstop, be it put out or being in the middle of the double play, the % should be near 100 for success rate.
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