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old nurse

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Everything posted by old nurse

  1. old nurse
    Wishful thinking at best. You are counting on an agent to be stupid and short sighted. They might have gotten one more year on the 4 year contract. The 4/33 provided Mauer with all the security he would need for the future. There was no need to go longer. He strung together enough healthy years at the right time that his agent would have the leverage. Shapiro and Mauer got lucky. The Twins did not. Sure it would be preferble for a win win. That does not happen that often on long term contracts.
  2. old nurse
    Norris has great first half of seasons then declines. The great first half nabbed an all star nomination. Hahn was a number 8 prospect in the Rays organization. Norris might not be as valued as you think, Hahn might not be a low valued as you think.. Would you trade Tyler Duffey and an almost major league ready middle relief prospect for Norris?
  3. old nurse
    Bring up Dean
  4. old nurse
    Teams see things in pitchers that make the team thinks that pitcher can get outs in the majors. They will get chances. Duffrey is on pace to throw more innings than he ever has in pro ball would lead me to believe he could be around as a bullpen arm for September.
  5. old nurse
    For some strange reason I pulled up the Twins roster on Fangraphs. If in your top 10 for ofensive WAR includes a minor league utility player and 2 pitchers, that is not good no matter how flawed the statistic is for being at the 1/3 point of a season
  6. old nurse
    I think a quite a few people before your article posted similar. It should be obvious that I do not make my living from sports. I can enjoy it for what it is, no appears was, a heck of a nice run. A team without a steady big bopper and a couple of little ones are doomed to have streaks. I would think all the stat heads know that. If a downturn continues, the kids in Chatanooga could be up sooner (glass half full) I really hope that the Twins do well,. This week, like the start of the season, is making it mighty tempting to finish off that glass.
  7. old nurse
    Not comparing the two, but Greg Maddux through his prime almost always had an ERA lower than his xfip. Just as rare as a year Carl Pavano was healthy, there are pitchers who induce weak contact. Enjoy Pelf's health while it lasts.
  8. old nurse
    RBI does measure how well someone hits with men on base, Sort of like timing someones speed by counting 10001,1002, 1003. Dang, that guy is fast getting to first base.
  9. old nurse
    With the way Nolasco has pitched this year (and last) I am sceptical of a trip to the dl and 2 rehab starts making him the pitcher he was before he signed with the Twins. He had a whole offseason to heal from last year. I do not think he did.I doubt he will make it back as an effective pitcher.
  10. old nurse
    I am starting to think that being a pitcher for the Twins is like being a drummer for Spinal Tap
  11. old nurse
    Even though there is a reduction in factors for 2009-2011, the grades for those classes to determine success or failure can really only be an incomplete. What Gibson, Wimmers and Hicks will develop into is far from determined. If Hicks follows Hunter's career arc this could be his year. Granted he did not perform as well as Hunter did at a similar age, he still could develop to be above average. That would probably make the pick a winner for the slot over time. Gibson could be a better starter than a 1.2 WAR. The numbers Ball came up with were to look at a fair sample size of a player's performance. None of these players have had the chance for that. I would not disagree that the arly numbers are a red flag
  12. old nurse
    84-78 for all of the teams in the Central Division. Ron Manfred breaks down contemplating a 5 team playoff scenario and appoints Bud Selig to solve the problem beacause who else could make a bad situation worse. Selig rules that the Twins get a first round bye. The Twins end up the luckiest team in baseball in the playoffs. That is due in part because both Mauer and Hunter are injured and the rest of the team never heard of losing in the playoffs before. I am only serious in that I believe the tams in the Central will be mediocre. I think Brock is correct in his take on the Royals.
  13. old nurse
    Hank Sanchez, Kyle Waldrop, Matt Fox and Jay Ranville kind of negate a little bit of the luster from those 3 drafts
  14. old nurse
    In Parker's time period the Twins drafted players between picks 14 and 50 in the first round. Of those 11 picks 4 have made it to the major leagues and have produced positive bWAR. Of the 222 players drafted in that time frame in those slots 67 have made it to the majors and have produced positive bWAR. From that standpoint the Twins do not look bad. Over that time period 27 players in that group have produced at least 4 bWAR, the Twins drafted one. Again,for those players drafted. The Twins sucess rate was about average. Unfortunately, they needed to do better than average. They needed to be lucky and get a very good player, 7 over that time period have produced a bWAR greater than 10, and they did not.
  15. old nurse
    How do the statistics change if you throw out the supplemental first round players? Some years there were 14 supplemental players, some years 34. What is a first rounder one year is a second rounder another
  16. old nurse
    It is pretty much out of the shortstop's control if there is someone on base so the put out is a DP or not. The higher the % of plays a shortstop makes that are a DP could indicate there is a groundball pitcher or pitchers who put a lot of runners on base. I don't think it reflects on the shortstop. If there is a baserunner and there is a play involving the shortstop, be it put out or being in the middle of the double play, the % should be near 100 for success rate.
  17. old nurse
    He wa GM, not president of baseball operations. Howard Fox was between Griffith and Bell. I kind of recall Fox was not in the scouting department
  18. old nurse
    Point of clarification please. Jerry Bell headed the sports facility comission before working for the Twins. Wouldn't Calvin Griffith have been the last baseball person to run the Twins?
  19. old nurse
    Players seem to prefer to havedefined roles. Closer, set up, 7th inning. That is why Perkins gets mentally ready for any 9th inning that matters in a Twins game. I would have imagined Swarzak was gettting ready to go anytime a couple of the pitchers no longer with the team started. Not everybody is wired to ake an undefined riole. Maybe it is easier for Fein to pitch to the 4-5-6 hitters in the 8th inning than the 7-9 hitters in the 9th. Through the years there have been few people that I know could work with undefined roles. There have been attempts to try closer or bullpen by committee yet few last the season.
  20. old nurse
    Except for when he started, Stauffer has not pitched 60 innings in a season. It does build a case for not overusing your bullpens as perhaps the decline is as much due to overuse as age
  21. old nurse
    The title said "attitude gap" When you look back at the Tom Kelly Twins it was said that no one worked harder than they did. They did extra. Sometimes I get the impression that the team has lost that. Fundamentals, basics, repetitions. Perhaps Hunter is a throwback to that time as he came up when some were still here he had that kind of work ethic. It is not 100% on the field, it is the 100% off the field that may be missing. According to baseball edge 381of some degree of catchable balls were hit to RF. 55 ended up not caught. They did, according to Inside Edge, lead the league in 0% balls caught in RF. Hunter was better in geting to balls that they thought a RF should get to. He did not get to any that were not in range. I Hunter probably knows how to play the hops, angles and back up the cf better. I do not know if it will make it a wash have a better outcome when the ball is bouncing out there. Back in the day the Twins were a low revenue team, low budget team. I don't really care what Ryan did then. It is a different set of circumstances now,. Free agent compensation is different. The Twin's revenue stream is different. The 2011 team that Ryan took over had 14 players making over 2 mill a year. Only Baker and Cuddyer were worth the money. He doesn't want to get in that situation again. The stats projectiion guys must have shown him some worth for the Hunter contract.
  22. old nurse
    Due dialagence would be an MRI. While thre would be a debate over if any pitcher has a normal UCL after a while, Sanatana should have 3 MRIs in the last three years with KC, Atlanta and now the Twins. If three were changes they would have been spotted.
  23. old nurse
    In response to the fangraphs article. Hughes K% is fine, Nolasco's career average for K% is fine at 19% Santana has a career K % of 18.9 Trevor May, if he is the 5th starter has a career so far of 20.9. Kyle Gibson's for the season sucked, but looks (apologies if my eyes are bad on the eye test, I took off the rose colored glasses first) as if improved over the second half from the first. Corera, Deduno and Swarzak are gone as well as Pino. They all contributed mightily to the low part of the curve. The chart had the avege IP of Twins starters at less than 120 IP. If the average IP of the first 5 starter are 170 and the replacements are Milone (15.9% career k%) or Meyer (27% or better in the upper minors) the Twins' starters should have a representative K% What appears worse is the bullpen K%. May they bring in 4 beter pitchers
  24. old nurse
    A bounceback sort of year for Nolasco would be similar to the year Wilson had last year in a bad year
  25. old nurse
    If his NY experience was that bad and his experience here that good it would not be unreasonable for him to sign an extension.
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