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Everything posted by roger

  1. What a fantastic return for Cruz. Almost think the Twins should sign an older big bat with a one year contract every winter. Then flip him in July. What a way to restock the system. I expect Ryan to take another step forward this spring. Expect a normal winter will be big for him. Another advantage is he just might be slotted as the Twins #4 starter…Gray, Mahle, Maeda. Ryan and Ober. Could win lots of games against other teams #4 starters. That’s assuming Rocco let’s him pitch 5 innings. But didn’t he let Ryan go deep into games a couple times at the end of the season?
  2. The biggest problem the Twins have is that they currently list 16 position players on their 40-man roster. Nine of them are outfielders and only one is a catcher. Yes, Gordon is likely a utility guy who can play as much infield as outfield. But there is no way they are going to go into the 2023 season with half of their position players outfielders. Yes, a pitcher or two may be released/traded to open a spot or two for the position players. But they still would be half outfielders. Add that Lewis is injured to start the season and there is no question that one, probably two, of the current outfielders will not be on the roster come April 1. Besides the health of several outfielders, the problems I see with this group is Celestino's baserunning and Wallner's defense. I wouldn't trust either playing at Target Field, assuming the Twins want to win. Both need more time at AAA with someone really good working to remove their warts. Actually, this entire discussion is premature. We won't know how healthy AK, Buxton and Larnach are until spring training. That will be a good time to revisit this discussion.
  3. Matt, I think the only people interested in the Twins going out and signing a pitcher, like this guy or an older, expensive ACE, are many of the writers and commenters at TD and elsewhere. I expect that the Twins are very happy with the starters they have going into spring training. Five quality starters, a sixth who should return from the IL late summer, a promising young prospect who mostly pitched out of the pen last year and two young studs who looked awfully good in a handful of games last fall. Thats the best staff I can remember since Brad, Johan and Franky. Depth wise, heck, it may be better. There is no question the front office has some work to do the next couple months. More starters isn’t one of them.
  4. Is he an ACE? Not by my definition, but there are only a half dozen or so who are. Is he the Twins best pitcher, maybe? Probably? Doesn't mean he is my opening day starter. That job goes to Sonny Gray. Why? I want Gray matched up with the other team's top pitcher. Then have Mahle going in the #2 slot where he should be as good or better than most team's #2. Advantage Twins. Give me the advantage in game 2 and game 3 and they will win a lot of series, even in the playoffs. And they will do that without paying +$20M to some aging name we all recognize. As for an extension. Let's see how he is pitching come spring training. If all it good, you betcha. Count me among those who believe last winter's lockout and shortened spring training had a major effect on the health of many players...Mahle may have been one of them.
  5. Don't think I said next year, and if I did that was an error. Didn't they experiment with a challenge system in the AFL? Wouldn't surprise me if that is the route they take as opposed to turning it over to technology. Hopefully, they will be smart if they do it and do it soon.
  6. Always get a smile when reading your pots, Cody. That's because every one will somewhere point out that player X was younger than Y% of the guys he faced or played against. I seriously doubt that when Pitcher Z gives up a go ahead double to Player XX he is thinking, that's ok, the guy is two years older than I. Seriously hope that Wallner plays very little next year, rather spend most of it in St. Paul. Why? Because I want AK, Larnach and Keps playing every day and putting up fantastic numbers. Will agree with the above comments that I also expect both of the pitchers to not pitch enough to be considered. Same with Julien, if Polo is healthy he is going to be in St. Paul. Would love seeing a Twin get the award, just will be shocked if it is any of these.....unless Lewis gets on the field by late May and hits like he did last year.
  7. Can certainly agree with your last comment. If we had a great defensive catcher and he hits a buck ninety, so be it. I would be happy. And anything better is gravy. If I understand most of your response, you are indicating that his pitch framing offsets being bad or less than average on blocked balls and throwing out runners. LaTroy Hawkins made a comment on one of the broadcasts this summer that I loved, "good pitch framing is really bad umpiring." When changes are made to robo umps or a challenge system, Jeffers plus goes away. And changes are coming to the base size which will likely increase the amount of running teams do,. And I am not proposing they replace him, rather get someone better so that he is only playing about 40% of the games.
  8. Must take exception to your comment that Jeffers is a strong defender. Yes, he has a reputation for framing, which hopefully goes away in the next year or two with some type of robo ump or challenge system. The catcher I have seen behind the plate is bad at blocking balls and terrible at throwing out anybody. Yes, the pitchers often are as much to blame about steals, but his record last year was bad. To answer your question, catching is the biggest problem the Twins have, HUGE! They need a new starter, who preferably swings from the left side. Someone who will play about 90 games a year with Jeffers at 70, MAX. They also need a third guy. Could be someone like Leon who is at St. Paul on a minor league deal. Ideally, this is an older vet who is fantastic working with the young pitchers who are one step away. And finally, they need a third guy. Some guy at AA who is a solid prospect and could/should be ready by 2024.
  9. Agree with those who say the most important fact is that he is healthy when he does play. As for number of games, give us 110 in which he is able to play center field. Obviously, being healthy to play every game in the playoffs is a must do.
  10. Agree that this is creative and expect there is a real chance it would get the job done. But I sure hope that it doesn't get done. Why, I cringe when I think of paying this type of money for 10 years. I believe that Royce Lewis is and should be the Twins shortstop over the next 5-8 years. I don't see the need to break the bank to sign Correa. And this contract would break the bank.
  11. His results have been puzzling. There was a stretch at Wichita two summers ago when he was as good as anyone could be. Then he wasn't. Won't even attempt to understand everything written above. But I expect the truth is that he needs to fix whatever was wrong, maybe it was health, or he will not be part of the Twins organization come next December. Hope like heck he does, because he could be a good one. At least I always thought he could.
  12. Carl and Jim Pohlad are both businessmen, who owned a baseball team. Since the day Joe graduated from Boston College he has worked in the business of baseball. First, he worked in NYC in the MLB offices. Don’t know what he did at the league offices, but he was there for four or five years so it was more than an intern. Next he returned to the Twin Cities and has worked at various front office jobs since. Sounds to me that 20 some years ago the Pohlads said, “we own a billion dollar business, it makes sense that someone in the family learns the business to be qualified to run it someday. Joe volunteered and someday is today.
  13. Didn't talk about it in the article, but following his graduation from Boston College he worked for MLB in NYC for several years. Don't know what he did there and not certain how long it was. But believe it was more than an internship. So I expect he has been in training for this role for the past 20 years.
  14. Thanks, Nick, for a great review of where this team is on November 27, it is appreciated. I have two comments. The biggest need, IMO, is a good starting catcher…not a backup. Doesn’t have to be a great hitter, but should hit more than .220 average. What he must do is control the running game and block more pitches than Jeffers. They shouldn’t be looking for a backup, they have him. They also need a third catcher, although he could be on a minor league deal. As for total budget, you aren’t gonna get both Correa and Rodin. That’s at least $60M which would push them up to $155M before adding the catcher(s) and any help for the pen. So they may get one, but not both.
  15. Interesting. Also, true. Let’s cross our fingers and hope for the best for this young man.
  16. Damn, Doc, I wish I could express my thoughts as well as you have for me. Thanks. Have been talking for awhile that an ACE isn’t what is important. Give me a staff with #2-#4 better than the team I am playing and I am gonna win series, lots of them. And great #2-#4 are a lot easier to find/develop. And a heck of a lot less expensive. Come to think about it, this may be what the FO has been doing this past year or so.
  17. Doc, don’t know if you saw my comment above. Go to the Twins site and the post about Cruz working with Arraez again this year. They work from 7-4 and again at night. The point I got was their talking about his hamstring injury this year, not knee.
  18. This is one of the belief's in baseball that drive me nuts. Yes, a good team has a mix of on base guys, power guys, and guys that can do both. But what I don't understand is what difference it makes where they play in the field. If my on base guy is a first baseman and my power guy is a shortstop, who cares. Remember back when most of the shortstops were light hitting with zip power. Then there was Ernie Banks. Where the guy plays in the field shouldn't have any effect on his value as a hitter. edit. Read something on the Twins website about his injury this year. It wasn’t his knee, rather his hamstring. Talked about his going to the D.R. To work with Cruz on his conditioning. He was lighter and healthier this year. Sounds like he wants to take another step next year.
  19. Interesting. Arraez seems it should be higher. But he also jumps on the first pitch a lot if he likes it. Expect that evens it out.
  20. Have been a huge Arraez fan since he was in the low minors. Kid can flat out hit. Yes, he doesn't have a lot of power, but he will get on base at a very high rate. And let's give this young man credit for something he does that nearly no other Twins do, work the crap out of pitchers. I don't know the numbers, but I'll bet there were some games where the opposing starting pitcher threw a quarter of his pitches to Arraez. In today's game where the most important piece of equipment is the 'pitch tracking gigmo', having 7-8-9-10 pitch at bats is an asset, a huge asset. I also am uncertain to what the problems are with his knees. I don't recall seeing a lot written about the real medical problem. Is it something that is expected to be permanent? Or has he had a couple years where he developed some problem. So the knee problem may not (or it may) be a major concern to a longer term contract. For a kid who was elated when the Twins scout returned and told him they had found what was it, $40,000, I expect a reasonable extension can be worked out. In my opinion, get it done.
  21. Great topic and great young player. I say, yes, get it done. Must disagree with one of your comments, however, I believe he does have a defensive position and that is first base. For not having played it, he did a heck of a good job. Also got a good smile from your comment that FanGraphs had his value at $38M. As Rodney Dangerfield once said, they should probably be renamed to FantasyGraphics.
  22. Early in your post you state that neither Polanco or Arraez have been particularly valuable on defense. Seeing the number of innings Arraez had played first prior to last year was a handful, if any, it is understandable that he made some mental errors . But the player I saw got better as the season went on, until his knee limited him to part-time DH the last several weeks of the season. But wasn't Arraez the runner up for the AL gold glove at first base? That sure as heck seems to me that he would have to add some value to earn that consideration. Spring training was so short last year and I doubt they expected Luis to be their first baseman, so I suspect he had minimal reps at first, if any. With the off-season and normal spring training I can see Arraez being an excellent first baseman, even though he isn't built like one.
  23. Heck GKuehl, with our Manager they need three or four of those long relievers.
  24. You nailed it Doc. They have no opening day starting shortstop, other than moving Polanco which they don't want to do. But they have at least 2 third basemen. As you said, this type of move makes a ton of sense, although like many I really liked Urshela.
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