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beckmt

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Everything posted by beckmt

  1. beckmt
    If you intend to compete this year, you need starting pitching depth. (most of us do expect Twins to compete). Twins have 7, which is just about what you need for the year. (Not counting May). Mike Leake is your classic #3 starter, the numbers the Twins have their pitchers at looks good compared to what he is being paid. If you are not in the top 10 of money income, draft and develop is the way you have to go. When your door opens you may have to pay for a #1(if available), but handle it at that time. Twins are not there yet and will probably need to take that step in 2017 or 2018. Also by that time your #1 draft pick should be in the 20's, so if you have to lose it, it will not be as big a hit and in the 10 - 20 range.
  2. beckmt
    Last few drafts under Bill Smith were not good. That is the basis of the current problems. The best credit given him is for the foreign signings which were mostly very good. Trades were also a disaster as Bill listened far too much to Gardy and Gardy did not get along with most of the players, who were traded. Bill's approach was to throw more money at the problem and the Pohlad's determined that is not what they wanted.
  3. beckmt
    All I see here is revisionist history 101. Ryan came back out of loyalty to his people as an outside GM would have brought in there own people and dismissed most of Ryan's. Who knows how many of the Twins prospects a new GM would have traded to become relevant. (Or trying). Twins have 7 - 8 prospect relievers coming in the next 2 years. If 2-3 of them work out the Twins will have their shutdown bullpen(and that works, look at KC). You can cover middle of the road starting pitching with a shutdown bullpen. I wish to see what happens in the next couple of years. After that we can judge better. Would not be surprised if we are slightly worse this year, before starting to kick the window open. Not all moves work out and regression is to be expected(though also is some bounce back). Will not worry about ballclub construction until the end of spring training as I feel there still are moves to be made. We shall see.
  4. beckmt
    Depending on price most of the names look viable. Would not mind a 1 or 2 year flyer on Marshall, Morrow or most of the others.
  5. beckmt
    Hoping some of these work out. It seems to be working as a strategy and the Twins should have a shutdown pen by sometime in 2017 if all works out.
  6. beckmt
    One question, if they want to send Nolasco to AAA and he ops out, does that not end his contract with the Twins. If it does and he is not in the top 5, GO FOR IT.
  7. beckmt
    I also believe the Duffey will be the 5th starter. Nolasco will either be gone or the long reliever. Also believe the Rogers will be a long man. Have no faith in Tonkin, so pencil him in as gone and either a trade, FA, or one on the kids will also make this time. We are in it to win, not to find out what we have this year.
  8. beckmt
    Twins seem to have done a good job, losing only 1 player in all the draft. For the Hicks comments, there seems to be an assumption that other GM's are fools. You lose Murphy or Suzuki to a broken leg at the end of spring training, and do not have a Hicks on the 40 man, you are left with two choices, adding Turner and Garver to play one day a week and sit on the bench here(losing development time) or overplaying for a replacement level player to fill a need. Not every front office move works out. Some of us disagree with many, but keeping your 12 - 15th best relief pitcher on the 40 man, does not seem like good math.
  9. beckmt
    Being realistic Plouffe is not bringing great returns at this time. This may sort itself out during or after the winter meetings, but am more expecting it will be at the end of spring training this works itself out. Arcia seems to be the main loser along with Vargas. Those 2 might have to find new organizations to meet their expectations. Too much talent is never a bad thing.
  10. beckmt
    I think you have to tender all 6. Fien and Plouffe are trade candidates, but you have to have them under contract to trade them. Fien also is protection against the Twins minor leaguers not being ready to start the season.
  11. beckmt
    I am hoping the Twins bring Cotts back on a 1 year deal. It makes sence as he is decent and affordable (and probably will be unable to get a multiyear deal). I agree with the rest of the posters that it is time to move on from Duensing. He is toast.
  12. beckmt
    We seem to be forgetting the Frazier is also available. Twins will probably have to wait and see where Frazier lands before Plouffe gets decent offers from the losers in the Frazier sweepstakes. Or maybe Twins will see a decent offer when clubs find how high the price is on Frazier.
  13. beckmt
    Signing Park is the first order of business. Then if you get a decent offer for Plouffe, go for it. I feel many clubs are looking at him as a buy low candidate as they feel the Twins want to play Sano at third. Hopefully the Twins will not give in to this. Then I would rather wait until the end of spring training when clubs might have holes and sell high.
  14. beckmt
    Nice article, great review. I think the Twins will lose 2-3 of these players, with Jones, Wimmers and Micheals as my picks.
  15. beckmt
    Maybe the Twins should take a flyer on Wilkin Rosario if he clears waviers. Twins should have a decent shot at signing him as their is an opportunity here.
  16. beckmt
    Wimmers also could be picked and stashed, but have not seen his medicals and maybe the Twins feel he will never make it back from TJ surgery. Bard and Williams are the two I see the Twins losing. One other note, I believe the Pirates lost 7 players one year somewhere back in the 2000's.
  17. beckmt
    Just don't see Dean as that needed to be protected. Williams and Bard scare me as they could be hidden on the 25 man roster, could also see us losing Michael. Twins could lose 4-5 players this year, it will hurt. Pick your poison.
  18. beckmt
    I hope Duffy is starting up here. Much of his numbers were one or two very bad starts. All #3 and lower pitchers have them. Duffy's was his first, so he may improve to where he pitched at the end of the year. Gibson is probably our best trade bait as a starter, unless you are able to package Pouffe with Nolasco and move 2 contracts(the return may not be that great), but some teams need a third baseman.
  19. beckmt
    Do not think that would happen. Unless Pohlad lets Ryan go, there will not be a hire outside of the organization. Ryan will not leave and let his people be replaced by an outside hire. It may not be someone currently with the Twins, but if that is the case that person will be brought in within the next year or two. Pohlads are loyal to a fault if you do a decent job and do not embarrass the organization. Check Smith, Bill.
  20. beckmt
    All this says is the Ryan was not sold on Hicks and viewed him as replaceable. Murphy at least is a 2 or 3 year cheap stopgap to Turner and Garver.
  21. beckmt
    I think a Rosario, Buxton, Kepler OF is a possibilty in about 2 years. Rosario or Santana(have we forgotten about him) starts in center at the start of the year with Sano and other outfielder(Buxton(maybe)) or Span for a year or two.
  22. beckmt
    Would love to see Sipp or Madison. They may be others out there, but I feel some will be overpaid because of many teams looking this year.
  23. beckmt
    Do not see anyone in the Twins organization Ryan would want to turn the keys over to. That may change in a few years, but do not see him leaving anytime soon.
  24. beckmt
    One lottery ticket for a player that was not going to make this ballclub. Good move
  25. beckmt
    They might do it with Matz, but doubt the Twins would do that.
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