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LastOnePicked

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Everything posted by LastOnePicked

  1. Here's my last word on this: it's unwise to complete a trade that makes your current team worse in year that you've decided to compete. The bullpen was the reason for the team's terrible start in 2021, and the terrible start effectively ended the season very early. Rogers was very well-respected and trusted. He's a team leader, and he kept the players informed and unified during a very contentious lockout. He brings clear value on the mound, and also intangible value. And he looked *great* during spring training. It's not hard to imagine a few blown late-inning leads in the first week, and the general feeling sinking into the club, "Rogers would have closed that out" or "here we go again." Momentum matters. This offseason has been one giant test for the FO. I'm still hoping it works, but I'm more skeptical now.
  2. Agreed. I should have said that Rogers was one of the few (the only?) truly reliable, elite relievers on this staff in 2021. And a contending team needs reliable, elite relievers. Maybe we have a few on staff ready to step up, and maybe we don't. Looking forward to hearing the inside scoop on how the trade happened. And if Tingler does have insights on Paddack's health and was consulted, so much the better. But I'm guessing that the current Padres staff knows more about Paddack's health/value than a guy they fired 6 months ago.
  3. Love these bold predictions. Especially the last one. I would love to see Kepler rebound and draw interest, but I think the word is out about his BABIP. It's not a fluke at this point. I think Maeda himself already ruled out pitching in 2022 in a preseason interview, so that one might be the shakiest at this point. Here's hoping you're channeling the future, and we see these all come true by October.
  4. Huh? 13.2 K/9. 1.8 BB/9. Rogers was excellent. The bullpen improved from the Colome disaster, yes, but a healthy Rogers would have only helped bolster that improvement. And he's healthy now. And is there any evidence that Tingler was even consulted on the trade? Maybe possible, but seems unlikely.
  5. I like your thinking, but Rogers was a "great" reliever. Elite, actually. And we likely will need an elite reliever in this bullpen this year, badly.
  6. Aren't we still waiting on this? I think Wes is a probably a great guy, but I don't see the magic yet. Rogers, to me, should have been untouchable, at least until the deadline. The bullpen without a healthy Rogers was THE Achilles heel of this team last year. Seems likely it will be so again. Why risk it? With a fairly weak/untested rotation, we needed to shorten games. Period. Rogers can shorten games. Can others in the pen? Look, we'll see how this plays out, and I'm still excited for Twins baseball. But all of this scrambling to find-a-controllable-starter energy could have used on negotiating with Berrios last year on a long-term extension. Teams don't usually give up on a guy like Paddack unless they know first-hand that he's not going to bounce back. This is a "D" grade trade, with "A" grade upside, yes. But it could also sink the season early.
  7. That's a big "no" to trading Rogers. I can see the lingering injury concern, but it's not worth the risk of an imploding late-inning bullpen. If no other reasonable asks emerge in talks, keep developing internal candidates and move on.
  8. Buxton 26.5HR - LOP Take: Over (29) Correa .280BA - LOP Take: Under (.278) Correa 25.5HR - LOP Take: Over (27) Sanchez 25.5HR - LOP Take: Under (18) Sano 31.5HR - LOP Take: Over (33) Gray 9.5W - LOP Take: Over (12) Twins 81.5W - LOP Take: Over (86) What can I say, I'm feeling pretty bullish on our guys. Knock on wood, could be a fun season.
  9. Great article, Jamie. Interest in Urshela kinda got lost in the Correa shuffle and offseason trade speculation, and I've been wondering what to expect of him in 2022. Here's hoping that coaches have been helping Gio find a way to recapture his swing.
  10. I'm starting to wonder if the FO isn't taking the need for catching depth seriously enough. I can't ever see the Twins needing Rooker in 2022, but I can certainly see needing Godoy. Small move, I know, but those are the ones that can get you in the end.
  11. All of my hard-earned optimism about this team will be dissolved if Jake Cave sneaks his way back on to the roster. He has no business being on the 40-man at this point. It's not his fault that his inclusion lost us several key prospects over the years, bit he's simply not a good MLB ballplayer at all and merely serves as a reminder of FO mistakes in the past. No, please, no.
  12. I've been hard on Larnach. Too hard. Got so ticked off that Baddoo burst into near-stardom (which I kinda feared might happen when he was selected in the Rule 5) that I let that anger taint my perception of Larnach. He didn't meet expectations in his first year, but I think I forgot at the time that few prospects do. I've seen a few of his mighty cuts this spring, and he looks good at the plate. Doesn't yet look all that good in the OF. With a solid work ethic, I think he's got a chance to turn the page and take his place on this team in 2022. We'll see, but I'm rooting for him.
  13. What a great read. I hope Correa knows that many dormant Twins fans are still hibernating, waiting for a winner. If this team wins playoff games, this state will explode again for baseball. Heck, if Correa helps win one playoff game, a statue will be built here in his honor. Here's hoping it a wonderful stay, no matter how long it lasts. Welcome to the Twins, Mr. Correa!
  14. This is an outstanding article, Sherry. You're opening my cold, black heart to having Sanchez here as a Twin. I'm still skeptical of his defense, but I hope he has a great season, and plays a crucial role in a pennant run.
  15. My rose-colored glasses now tell me that this is Caleb Thielbar 2.0. Another puzzle piece in the championship season ahead.
  16. Waking up, rubbing my eyes, and checking to see if last night's dream was real. It was. Here's what I like about it: It's not a killer commitment, and it's fair for the team and fair for the player. It's kinda like giving a superstar who would otherwise never come here a "trial size" with a coupon to come back for a few more seasons. Player opt-out years aren't bad in my eyes. It usually just means that they had an MVP-like season. Or, they hated the culture here, too, and that tells us something important as well. It signals that we are a player in the FA market. True, there were other, maybe better, ways to show this, but it still kinda keeps the team on the map. It signals a commitment to payroll. You have to spend money wisely, but you also have to spend money to make money. This signing will get me to Target Field in 2022. Others probably feel the same. Yes, this move could still leave us short of contention. Yes, there are others moves to make. But I wanted this FO to do something likely significantly WAR positive for the 2022 season, and they did. Tip of the cap to them.
  17. Sure, everybody celebrate tonight. Tomorrow we trade him to the Yankees for Zack Britton and salary relief.
  18. I think that tingly feeling is hope. About the Twins. It's strange. I kinda like it.
  19. Being wrong is not a new experience for me, but this is a new level of wrong. It's tingly.
  20. You are awesome. Great stuff. I mean, great to know about, at least. Too bad Falvey/Levine didn't target Higashioka instead. ?
  21. Gee, Nick, did you have to start with catcher? Yuck. Get ready - those lowlights are going to be happening with a TC logo. And I feel for Sanchez, I really do. Guy's in a funk and his career has collapsed. But the fact that NYY brought in a special coach to work with him and reports suggest he didn't put in the work to improve should have been a red flag to any FO paying attention or trying to improve via trade. In the age of analytics, I wonder if people have quantified the impact on pitchers who have to deal with the stress of terrible catching behind the plate. It must inflate pitch counts, increase RISP at-bats and more. You'd think a team that was banking on a pitching youth movement might have given this some thought.
  22. Okay, as much as I applaud that we're on the same page in our critiques, this little line just needs a curtain call. Midseason form on the baseball wordplay. Keep it up.
  23. I feel the same way. He was my favorite new Twin, and I didn't even get to see him take a spring training AB. Decent bat, very solid glove - we had an infield on the rise. Now ... not so much. Wonder if Falvey and Levine had an offer for Story that they thought was going to be accepted, and then Story's agent saw the trade and realized the Twins could be squeezed for a lot more.
  24. I miss the days when an article like this read like satire. Edmund is all of us right now. And the Jason Bartlett reunion tour memory - oof, what a stinger!
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