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ashbury

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Everything posted by ashbury

  1. ashbury
    93 wins and at least one playoff round title, if there's no injuries. That's my story and I'm sticking with it.
  2. ashbury
    That's livin' the dream, sez I.
  3. ashbury
    Yeah, I really went back and forth the last few weeks whether I should broadcast my whereabouts and see who else might be there, but in the end wound up not committing to being able to meet up at any particular time - it's a slightly complicated trip this year. If you noticed a 30-something man with a handlebar mustache and wearing a Washington Nationals cap, and a gray-haired companion with Twins insignias who was obsessively photographing through the chain link fence at both the back field games, that would have been my son (bashbury) and me. My brother-in-law suffered an ER visit while on the road recently, also due to suspected food poisoning. Different locale and itinerary so it's just one of those things, but no fun while it's happening.
  4. ashbury
    As is my custom, I've taken a few pictures during this visit to Fort Myers. Well, a few hundred. Most are crap and I don't know yet which is which, and I won't be able to sort through until I'm back from vacation, probably. But yesterday on the back fields, during an away game for the big club, was a lot of fun because of whom they left behind. Buxton, Correa, and Kirilloff all batted (DHed) during one of the two mixed AA-AAA games. And there were other players to watch as well. David Festa, Marco Raya, Connor Prielipp, and Jordan Balazovic in particular. Prielipp. I think had his stuff going this day , as he struck out the side in his first of two innings if I'm not mistaken. He gave up a run in the second inning on a lucky bouncer that put a runner on and then a solid double to right center, but he recovered to complete the inning with at least one other strikeout that made the batter look overmatched. This is not the most flattering image of Balazovic but here he is putting in some side work before the games. Afterward he went over to an adjoining field to practice pickoff moves to second and first but the photos are pretty nondescript. Finally, a Derek Falvey sighting at the center of the back fields during the games.
  5. ashbury
    MAT may bat right-handed, but.722 OPS is mighty pedestrian.
  6. ashbury
    He turns just 32 in a week or two. I feel like he's ready for an offensive breakout at last.
  7. ashbury
    The "Park Factor" shown at ESPN's site has the Minnesota park as a mild-to-strong pitcher's park, i.e. below 1.0, depending on the year. The yearly variability means you shouldn't take it as anything more than a general trend for guidance. https://www.espn.com/mlb/stats/parkfactor/_/year/2022 If you follow it back to the Metrodome days, we used to have a hitter's advantage instead.
  8. ashbury
    His 2022 at AAA looks like he's on the cusp. Too old to be a prospect, but sometimes old dogs learn one more trick. Good luck to him.
  9. ashbury
    Nah, just kidding. If these events come to pass, have to like our chances. A playoff series win, or even two, so much the better. I'm all in for 93 wins, and just like our FO I'll backtrack on this if there are significant injuries.
  10. ashbury
    We acted like it was a never-ended supply when we disposed of two of them in a connected series of trades just under a year ago.
  11. ashbury
  12. ashbury
    Up the middle talent is hard to acquire. I'd be very leery of trading him away for needs elsewhere on the diamond, and would hang onto him to see whether he can finish development into a solid player.
  13. ashbury
    Careful there. You were one transposition-error typo away from a month-long ban.
  14. ashbury
    As one who may have started this tangent through a bit of snark, I feel bad about that. It was marginal and if I'd known you'd take it badly I probably would have held off.* I count myself as on the analytic side of the aisle at TD, but I do like knowing if an experienced scout looks at a player and says, "he reminds me of a young ____ _____." Qualitative observations can be used analytically quite well, IMO. So comps are good with me. I don't know Ty France that well, but with a quick look at a source or two, he does seem like a pretty solid comp for our Miranda - height, weight, handedness, and the basic skillsets according to scouts. Nice find. I'll note that the two players are almost exactly 4 years apart in age, but France being born in July puts him in a different arbitrary cutoff for age during a season on b-r.com, and I think when doing a comp it's reasonable to keep that in mind. In that view, Miranda has come up to the majors almost exactly a full year younger than France did, and on average there is some forecasting value to that, though not a game-changer. Your article's headline might not have needed alteration if you had used France as the comp instead of Manny, but perhaps you'd have felt the message was less compelling. For me? I'd have liked it better. France is a valuable player and it's good to know our guy could track like that. Your article as it is contains more caveats than I like in a comp between players. Doesn't mean it was a bad, bad article, so again, I'm a little sheepish over my snark. * Which is perilously close to the non-apology apology, "I'm sorry you feel that way." Sorry for that too, but it does summarize that my reason for regret is impure. "Mistakes were made."
  15. ashbury
    There's unfair, and then there's probably pointless.
  16. ashbury
    This is a true statement but I don't find it the most useful. A calendar breakdown such as the monthly summary provided by b-r.com gives more texture, and confirms my memory that the trendline was heading downward long before even mid-season. It felt to me a lot like an Indy race car that runs out of fuel on the final stretch - "they may finish but they ain't gonna win, are they." September-October was a disaster for the Twins no doubt, but they needed to turn the June-August trend around if they were to remain in first at the end Injuries that occurred near the moment they actually fell out of first were merely the final nail in the coffin. The Twins were 67-62 the morning of Sept 1 and the Guardians wound up winning 92, so the Twins needed to find a way to go 25-8 just to force a tie, even though they were nominally still in first place - they had essentially thoroughly blown it already. It was a great start but this was not a strong first-place team by mid-summer and they were running on fumes by September.. Month by Month Split W L RS RA W-L% April 12 9 85 68 .571 May 18 12 137 120 .600 June 13 15 134 124 .464 July 10 12 102 120 .455 August 14 14 117 105 .500 September 10 18 102 127 .357 October 1 4 19 20
  17. ashbury
    Yes, that is exactly how injuries on a roster work.
  18. ashbury
    "This week, on Spell-Correct Software Gone Wild..."
  19. ashbury
    Is there any real evidence that a pitcher's build correlates with injury? They say you pitch with your legs, but a massive lower body could thus translate into higher stresses on the joints in the arm. I'm not an engineer though, and certainly not a biomechanics guy. Berrios isn't a big man really, and he's held up, for example. It could be that wiry guys who can bring the heat are the ones to bank on.
  20. ashbury
    It's like, he has been the party in the arrangement who has control.
  21. ashbury
    Satire, a definition for which is kindly provided at the top of the article if you come to it from the Front Page. Some (but sadly not all) responses here might best be viewed in the same light. It's fun to play along.
  22. ashbury
    You know what? Googling simply "marshmallow salesman" turned up all you need to know on the first hit, at least when I tried.
  23. ashbury
    Maybe just a matter of money. He might feel he's worth more to some team than the $4M he got from the Twins last season, and no team has met his price yet. Bottom feeders wouldn't want to pay more than that, and top teams might set their sights higher than him, so it could be a limited market in-between, and he's waiting them out? Maybe he'd rather retire than come down enough in asking price to attract a team with zero postseason hopes? Professional pride can sometimes play a factor. Here's the latest I could find, from a month ago. Cardinals, White Sox, Red Sox? https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/players/dylan-bundy
  24. ashbury
    The marshmallow industry isn't the cutthroat business it once was. These days, company reps are almost universally nice guys. Please discard your outdated stereotypes.
  25. ashbury
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