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ashbury

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Everything posted by ashbury

  1. ashbury
    Doesn't sound quite right. He has a career 6.26 ERA against them. http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/split.cgi?id=swarzan01&year=Career&t=p Maybe they are banking on his performance being better if he doesn't have to face their hitters anymore.
  2. ashbury
    Good eye for idiom, I think.
  3. ashbury
    As I find myself saying whenever this topic comes up, I was once 19 years old, and it never made me a prospect. We talk about age only when there is something else to talk about too.
  4. ashbury
    Maybe they were thinking of the singular of Kennys; half of our guy might be lanky. In the plural, he's burly.
  5. ashbury
    Do you believe in predestination? Because I have a pretty strong opinion on how such a competition would have come out, at that price.
  6. ashbury
    "Silly little rule of thumb" == "hard standard"?
  7. ashbury
    You're right that there are 25 year olds at high-A just to fill out a roster (and maybe get them started toward a coaching career), and AAA is littered with 30-somethings still hanging on. Silly little rule of thumb I use: to reach the majors at age 25, on a team that runs you up one level a year, you ought to be 24 at AAA, 23 at AA, 22 at A+, 21 at A; I don't pay a lot of attention to age 20 and younger except to see that they are making some kind of progress. If you're older than these numbers, you're old for your league, regardless of the averages. This doesn't give college players a fair view of course - but they enter the farm system a little more polished, so I adjust as I see fit. And guys who are signed really young, I just don't start the clock until they reach Elizabethton or higher. It gives me a feel for whether a guy is on track to make it. There are exceptions but players who don't reach the majors by 25 are usually marginal. Feel free to hate this rule, or modify it, or start fresh with something better.
  8. ashbury
    I'm with you on this. I was on the bandwagon last year to give him a shot in preference to Florimon, but that's a very low bar and I'm still not convinced he wouldn't wear down as a day-in day-out player. His usage last year was frequent but I'd have to ask Gardenhire whether his chances were picked to play to his strengths or whether he was thrown into the tough pitcher matchups when another player would have been worse. I'm not down on Escobar (though he had an unfortunate game playing short in one of the few I've seen him in person), exactly, but skeptical seems just about the right word. I think Santana has better upside.
  9. ashbury
    I cna ytpe 300 wrods pre mniuet!
  10. ashbury
    No love for the snap throw that picked off Darrell Evans in the '87 playoffs? That was such a turning point, at least in my mind.
  11. ashbury
    The eternal fantasy that prices at the ballpark are driven by salaries, and those prices could come down if only... Nah, Seth threw out a side comment, the bait got taken, let's move such discussion to a new thread if it needs to be hashed out any further. Anyway, with regard to the subject thread, I have a feeling that this 14 year contract may no longer be paying benefits to the team around year 12 or 13 or so.
  12. ashbury
    Clicked on "Spiritual Hamburger." Hoped to read about a new punk rock band. Left disappointed.
  13. ashbury
    This serves to console me, when I pick up the morning newspaper and see that the team foolishly won another game thereby potentially robbing themselves of a chance at a few extra pingpong balls which would serve never to move them up in the order of picking in the draft anyway which they would squander in any case. At least I think it consoles me; I'll have to check next time they win.
  14. ashbury
    Blackmon played in the Northwest League, California League, Texas League, and Pacific Coast League. None of these leagues is below average in run scoring. And Modesto was his only home park that had even a slightly below average park factor relative to its league. Hm, that coincides with his low-water mark. Had he played in the Twins system, his resume might have looked considerably different playing in the Midwest League, Florida State League, Eastern League, and International League, respectively. He also was never especially young for his league. While I don't think it means he can't hit major league pitching at all, he might represent a "perfect storm" for overrating a batter. Individual park factors: http://minorleaguecentral.com/parkfactors League scoring: http://www.milb.com/images/2013/02/25/UTwSkTYn.jpg
  15. ashbury
    Radke, the guy who racked up 148 wins and 45 WAR (depending on what your taste in counting stats is), whose career 113 ERA+ ranks him tied for 246th all-time among pitchers with enough innings? http://www.baseball-reference.com/leaders/earned_run_avg_plus_career.shtml At the very most? So, no legitimate shot at the HoF, you're saying. Quite the restrictive ceiling you've placed on the young man Gibson.
  16. ashbury
    Throw in Nolasco as a sweetener.
  17. ashbury
    El Jardinero Grande, unless that has some kind of unfortunate idiomatic meaning I'm unaware of. That would seem harder to misinterpret as a clueless slur. Although, what I am afraid of is that applying a generic Spanish slang term for "outfielder" to our guy is what will come across as clueless. But, nobody got their tightie whities in a twist when Steve Carlton was tagged with the generic name "Lefty". So your point about EL Jardinero is well taken, if he'd take it the same way.
  18. ashbury
    Big Pelf and Torii are gone after this year, leaving the known financial commitment around $70M, plus the "known unknowns" of arbitration salaries for Plouffe and Dozier and a few lesser salaries, somewhere in the neighborhood of $15M I suppose. Factor in the "unknown unknowns," like trying to move Nolasco's contract sometime in the next 18 months, and I see plenty of room for new spending if the window for real contention is seen as opening. Will they continue to open that checkbook? The evidence of the last 14 months seems promising.
  19. ashbury
    And this is why they have the arbiters. Most times it's to nudge the two parties toward consensus, but in a minority of cases it's to provide a dose of reality to one party. Of course, we all have our own ideas in advance of the decision which side (if either) represents reality.
  20. ashbury
    It rings a bell, like there's an English slang term for an outfielder that is similar, but I can't think of it. I guess grandeliga is big leaguer, and the translation tool just couldn't quite split it apart. Anyway, yay for Arcia's return. We need el jardinero de Grandes Ligas to hit las bombas.
  21. ashbury
    What is it that remains, that you do appreciate, then?
  22. ashbury
    With a median of $110M, there will be losing teams with a payroll over $100M. Ownership should get used to it, if this is still causing heartburn. Having a crop of promising rookies on the way isn't a reason to hold some arbitrary lowball line on payroll. Use that money to fill gaps - preferably in ways that seem fungible, so that trades can be made when conditions evolve. That seems to be what the Twins are doing, though they guessed wrong on Nolasco a year ago.
  23. ashbury
    Mike, I attempted to message you but your mailbox appears full. Please don't engage in discussion of moderation within a baseball thread - there is a forum for discussion of moderation, or you can always PM a mod (if your mailbox isn't full...)
  24. ashbury
    Moderator's note: Please avoid making things overly personal. Don't try so hard to place a poster's comments in some larger context. Particularly with the offhand comment about another site, it almost comes across as stalking. We know each other and it's hard sometimes, but try to keep things to the subject at hand. Conversely, it would be well to avoid banging the same drum in thread after thread, about the team's pace in promoting prospects.
  25. ashbury
    Chief ran a pool here last season to guess over/under on a sports book's line of win totals for major league teams. He could weigh in on the ability of us John Does. / disclaimer: I won. And I wasn't very darn good.
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