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4twinsJA

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Everything posted by 4twinsJA

  1. Only locks barring injury for early season rotation are Berrios, Odorizzi, and Maeda beyond that who ever looks good in spring training between Bailey, Chacin, Thorpe, Dobnak, Smeltzer. When Pineda comes back he will be near lock to be in rotation so only one rotation spot to fill for whoever has earned it at that point. FO has down well not putting all their eggs in one basket. Hopefully one or two of these pitchers separate themselves from the others and makes the decisions easier.
  2. I could see shorter starts followed by 2-3 inning pitcher. Well documented pitchers success declines third time through order. Maybe starter 5 IP then a pitcher for 3 IP, then closer if ahead in 9th.
  3. The FO is really into analytics. I am sure more data available for college players than HS, also college data is against higher level of completion. 20-21 year olds more projectable than 17-18 year olds. Maybe this is part of why they have drafted more college players.
  4. 4twinsJA

    Cheating

    Good write up, I agree don't know how MLB can allow Houston to retain title. It was wrong, they knew it was wrong. No way you can argue that it did not affect outcomes of games. At minimum strip them of WS title, even if you leave it vacant for that year.
  5. Good post free agency pickup for Twins, needed more certainty at starting pitching. Maeda not an ace but solid midrotayion addition.
  6. Would be surprised if got more than a spot start or a couple of weeks in BP to get some exposure to MLB this year. If does well this year, will be set up for next year to make move to MLB. With all the additions and Dobnak, Smeltzer, Thorpe, and Duran, starting rotation 8-9 deep already.
  7. Hope Thielbar does well and gets a shot. Need LH pitching in BP.
  8. Will likely start season in AA, but since on 40 man may be called up for spot start or to cover short stay on IL. Very exciting prospect, looks like he had passed Graterol in Twins evaluation as possible starters. Besides Thorpe, Dobnak, and Smeltzer who made their MLB debut last year, definitely the next in line as potential starter, and most likely top of rotation starter
  9. Rortvedt will need to be on 40 man roster after this season, Jeffers after 2021 season. Will be interesting to see who Twins call on if injury occurs. Can't see them utilizing Astudillo as half of 50/50 or 60/40 catcher rotation. Rortvedt seems more advanced defensively especially throwing out basestealers, LH batter, Jeffers more advanced hitter, good pitch framer, RH batter.
  10. Hate idea of picking opponent, are we at recess on playground. Shorten season to 154 games, start postseason earlier, go to 6 playoff qualifiers- I don't like one game playoff, but don't know if 3 game series with 4 teams getting 5-6 day layoff is the answer either. Here's one from leftfield, how about playing first game of World Series at neutral site?
  11. Should not announce trades until final, Reporters in such a rush to be first to report, leds to premature announcements.
  12. I agree with your roster. Teams tend to give veterans first chance out of ST. Bailey and Chacin on shaky ground Dobnak, Thorpe, and Smeltzer will be given chance if don't perform. Not an Astudillo or Cave fan (or Wade), but Cave most likely out of ST with Rooker and Kirilloff waiting for opportunity.
  13. Hope Twins keep Graterol and he goes on to have great career. Plenty of pitchers have had early career injuries and have went on to have long term success.
  14. Won a lot of games last year, would say roster looks better than at this time last year. Bullpen vastly improved, have moved on from some of players that were there last year, Parker, Harper, Morin, Magill, Mejia no longer on team.
  15. Nice article, Nick. I would put Javier down the list more. Hard to justify with such a poor season last year. Prospects hard to rank, everyone gets excited when a prospect does well at lower levels, where over half the players will never see AAA. But they don't always progress as expected when moved up and playing against equally talented players.
  16. Maeda moves to #3 starter, pushing Bailey down. I continue to see Bailey as setting the bar for starting pitching, meaning if Dobnak, Thorpe, Smeltzer, Chacin outperform him they pass him up. Pineda comes back mid May, a top 4 of Berrios, Odo, Maeda, Pineda looks like an improvement from last year and good competition for #5 spot. Hate to see Graterol moved, but have to give up something to get something. When Gonsovles and Stewart were top pitching prospects for Twins, hind sight looks like they would have been worth more as trade pieces for a proven player.
  17. Always hard to argue with someone who has seen a player play much more than you have. Sure I would have hoped we trade from excess like outfielders, but maybe Twins feel BG injury risk or trading for more of a known quantity versus potential.
  18. Agree with MikeLink, not a fan of trading for over paid past their peak pitchers. Prefer pitchers on the rise, wait until trade deadline.
  19. I am not usually keen on the strategy of signing multiple down trending pitchers with the hopes one of them reverses course. But since Twins missed on "impact" pitching and have 2 pitchers returning during the season. It seems like a reasonable strategy. Low risk with possible moderate reward.
  20. Since Duran is on 40 man, will probably get short term opportunities this year. A spot start or to get bullpen some rest. Like Poppen got last year.
  21. Good for Harper and Twins, hope he has success.
  22. I am sure HRs will be down this year, but Twins will lead or be one of the top HR hitting teams in the league.
  23. Thanks, Seth, great article. Interesting to get new information about prospects instead of just standard stats. Love the prospects handbook, well worth the money.
  24. I think Bailey sets the bar for the young pitchers, if they pitch better than Bailey, they will move ahead of him. If not will continue to get opportunities but on a more limited basis. I agree, it would be great to have one more solid pitcher. But it will be good to see what these young pitchers have and let them pitch their way to more or move on to the next guy,.
  25. Rocco not traditional when comes to lineups, uses analytics more. Twins don't steal much and probably not going to bunt much so traditional approach not applicable. Who do you want to get the most at bats-the best, most dangerous hitters and group them together at top of lineup. Never made sense to me to put light hitting, contact batter #2, how many times during year did they come up late in games in crucial situation when you could have a stronger hitter there. Lead off batter only guaranteed to lead off once a game. I think Arraez bats lower in lineup, maybe Kepler, Donaldson, Cruz, Sano first 4.
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