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twinbythebay

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Everything posted by twinbythebay

  1. twinbythebay
    I really don't understand this obsession some people have with Broxton. Is it just based on his spring training numbers? Haven't we learned by now how useless spring training statistics are? Broxton's numbers at the plate since 2017 make Jake Cave look like Babe Ruth...
  2. twinbythebay
    He's pitched terribly this season, but what reason do you have for believing that he's a "cancer"? That's a pretty awful accusation...
  3. twinbythebay
    In my mind, the main differences are: 1. Injury history. I think Mauer was mostly healthy before signing his big contract, whereas we're all well aware of Buxton's injury history. Even though he's played like a superstar so far this season, he has yet to prove he can consistently play at least 120 games a season. 2. Wanting to stay in Minnesota. Mauer was a hometown kid, and I don't think he ever really wanted to leave Minnesota. I'm not certain, but I don't think this is the case with Buxton. I think it's highly unlikely he'll be willing to give the Twins any sort of "hometown discount".
  4. twinbythebay
    The theme of the first inning: WALKS (and HBPs) WILL HAUNT
  5. twinbythebay
    The Rangers should probably DFA Gallo after that fly out as well.
  6. twinbythebay
    Rangers are scheduled to start a LHP tomorrow, so I'm guessing there's more to the story of Kirilloff not playing tonight besides just a normal rest day... I really hope it's nothing serious, or COVID related...
  7. twinbythebay
    I guess it's fine to hold this opinion as long as you acknowledge that it's not supported by any of his statistics...
  8. twinbythebay
    Nice comment. Here's hoping his HR streak continues this week, but one thing I'm encouraged by is that his BABIP is at an unsustainably low .130 right now. Also, his expected batting average is about 180 points higher than his actual batting average. This tells me that we should expect more of those singles and doubles to start falling soon. I agree that the K/BB rate has to improve, but I think that will happen as he gains more experience.
  9. twinbythebay
    I would call this start a decidedly mixed bag for Berríos. He did pitch to an ERA of 6, would you be happy about that most games? He looked so dominant for much of the game, but when he had a bad inning, he let it get away from him and was unable to keep a crooked number off the board. This seems to be his biggest recurring issue. If he could figure out how to limit the damage when his command starts to elude him toward the end of his starts, he might be able to take that next step towards being a true #1 starter.
  10. twinbythebay
    Sanó has been more valuable at the plate than Polanco over his career and since the beginning of 2019 as well. I would like to see Sanó replace Polanco in the lineup when he returns. I think Polanco's best role at the moment would be as the super-utility guy that starts 3-4 times a week at 2B/3B/SS. I certainly don't want him getting more starts than Arraez at this point.
  11. twinbythebay
    This is simply not true. It has been studied by physicists, and one study I read said that only about 15% of the exit velocity is dependent on the speed of the pitch, with the remaining 85% coming from the batter. A good example is home run derbies, where most of the pitches come in at 70mph or less, yet they produce some of the furthest hit balls you'll see. Exit velocity helps us see how squarely a ball was hit, and it's a pretty good indicator of power. It's why we all knew Kirilloff was about to break out of his slump even though he started off 0-15.
  12. twinbythebay
    To clarify, those low numbers you see on the chase rate and whiff rate scales from Baseball Savant mean that he is worse than league average on both of those metrics. In other words, he is still chasing and whiffing more than most MLB hitters. Now, his stats in pretty much every other hitting category are obviously elite, so while he still might chase a little too much, he is making the most of the pitches he sees in or near the zone. I imagine pitchers will notice this eventually and start trying to get him to chase more, which is when Buxton will need to be able to adjust or risk seeing his success drop off quickly. The next step in his evolution at the plate will need to be improved plate discipline which should lead to a higher walk rate. If he can make that adjustment without sacrificing too much of his power and aggressiveness, his success should be more sustainable long-term.
  13. twinbythebay
    What does the relevant part of the obstruction rule say? I don't understand how obstruction could apply here when the pitcher didn't take a step outside of the infield grass at any point during the play.
  14. twinbythebay
    I think it's perfectly reasonable to be pessimistic about this team, but as a few people have pointed out on this thread, there is evidence to suggest that the true talent on this team is better than their record of 8-15. I think your point would be stronger if you used some evidence to lay out why you're pessimistic rather than just basing it on their current record and your feelings.
  15. twinbythebay
    As they should, since he still has the highest WAR total in MLB despite missing those games! I kind of think it might go to Trout though, since he's not far behind Buck and a lot of people are making a big deal of the fact that this has been the best month of Trout's career. The fact that Buxton's April has been better than the best month of Trout's career is pretty mindblowing! Now if he could just sustain it and stay on the field...
  16. twinbythebay
    Actually, Buxton's chase rate is one of the few areas where he has room for improvement this season. According to Baseball Savant, his chase rate is in the 10th-percentile of MLB, meaning that only 10% of the league chases more than he does. This is reflected in his very low walk rate, which is only in the 5th-percentile. However, he more than makes up for this with a K-rate that is below league average, and all of his batted ball stats are off the charts. He's not going to keep hitting like this all season, so I think the next step he needs to take to make his success more sustainable is chasing fewer pitches and taking more walks.
  17. twinbythebay
    My mistake, all this negativity around here has my sarcasm detector on the fritz. Carry on... *hat tip*
  18. twinbythebay
    I hope so too, which is why I appreciate Rocco's demeanor (despite his head-scratching moves this season). If anything, I think their struggles likely stem from them trying a little too hard to do too much rather than letting the game come to them.
  19. twinbythebay
    This line of thinking has always seemed silly to me. I imagine the players are taking this rough stretch a bit harder than we are as fans.
  20. twinbythebay
    These announcers are not good, but "electric" isn't exactly the word I would use to describe Morneau...
  21. twinbythebay
    That's fair, I don't like my friends or family very much either.
  22. twinbythebay
    They need to start giving more PAs to Jeffers, especially against some lefties. He's only 23, and at this point he looks much more likely to break out of his slump than Garver.
  23. twinbythebay
    I have to say that I've truly groan from the wisdom you've shared today.
  24. twinbythebay
    Both of his ABs were 6 pitches... still not ideal. He's still good at working the count, but he just swings through so many damn meatballs in the middle of the zone.
  25. twinbythebay
    The dreaded six run lead... Too bad Cruz couldn't have gotten two more feet of elevation on that.
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