Otaknam
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Everything posted by Otaknam
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I doubt Pittsburgh would consider trading Skenes this year. He may be the best starter in baseball. That said, I would hate to lose Jenkins in a trade package, but Pittsburgh would probably insist on him in any trade.
- 31 replies
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- paul skenes
- walker jenkins
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Raya may not have the typical starter build. But not all successful starters have the preferred physical characteristics, 6’4”/215 lbs, Sonny Gray being an obvious example. But I wonder about the feasibility of a six pitch mix, unless they are all at least average, with at least two pitches being above average. This may be is a make or break year for Raya as a starter, since the team is so cautious with his pitch load. At some point Raya needs to make progress as a starter and earn the right to pitch deeper into games. Seems like this is the year to figure that out.
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“The homer ushered in a period of classic baseball emptiness. Surely, the game saw action. One could interrogate the box score to collect the fullness of each minute detail.” ” &nb Love the literary style of this column! Well done!
- 55 replies
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- ty france
- carlos correa
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Let’s hope the pitching holds up. A lineup of Clements, Fitzgerald, and Kiersey doesn’t inspire confidence long term, though I tip my hat to Clements for getting some big hits. I just don’t think it’s sustainable.
- 12 replies
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- matt wallner
- danny coulombe
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Normally I would agree with this sentiment. But for a guy like Prielipp, who has had multiple serious arm injuries, it makes sense. The issue I have is the analytics to not let a starter face a lineup a third time. Imagine doing that to Gibson, Koufax, Clements, Blyleven, or dozens of great starters in the past. Sometimes the manager has to show confidence is his starters and not just manage by algorithm, IMO.
- 21 replies
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- connor prielipp
- kyler fedko
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I have been holding my breath this season, hoping the two most injury prone players on the team stay healthy. Then they both get injured on the same play that never should happened! Infielders should defer to the outfielders on this play. So now they have three position players out, including Wallner. And Lewis started on the IL and is struggling mightily, though there are signs that he is figuring it out.
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I am very excited about Eeles, Kulpepper, and DeBarge as high potential infielders. Eeles is a great story and I thought he might make the big club this season until and injury happened. Let’s hope he regains his momentum from last season. Hopefully Winoker starts rolling offensively to add his name to the list.
- 11 replies
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- bryan acuna
- carson mccusker
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The only reason to trade Ryan, Ober, or Lopez is if the team bottoms out and they decide to rebuild. Even then they’d have to get a haul in a trade. These three starters are the foundation for a strong rotation of a playoff team, which this team will be if the offense starts producing more consistently.
- 109 replies
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- joe ryan
- cade povich
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minnesota twins Buxton Reaches Rare Twins Home Run-Stolen Base Milestone
Otaknam commented on Chris Hove's blog entry in Chris's Twins Blog
I hold my breath every time Buxton runs, given his injury history. Let’s hope he can play 150 games for a change. If he does he is a difference maker. -
twins Has Joe Ryan vaulted himself into ace status?
Otaknam commented on Chris Hove's blog entry in Chris's Twins Blog
My definition of an ace is someone who dominates 60 % of the time, has above average starts 30%, and has one below average start or clunker 10% of the starts. Like a Verlander or Roger Clemons. An ace usually has a fastball that ticks above 96-97 mph. BY my definition Ryan is a number two starter, not an ace. But if he keeps pitching like this who knows what he can accomplish? His command is fantastic, and that sweeper! -
I have been often critical of how Rocco handles his starters. He embraces analytics instead of showing confidence in his players. There are too many examples where Rocco removed a starter on low pitch counts because analytics. Sonny Gray objected to being handled like that, getting removed after five innings and a fairly low pitch count. So he left for greener pastures and more money. Then there was removing Ryan after two innings in the playoffs in 2023, a game they lost. There are other examples. This burns out the bullpen and results in a constant stream of relievers from St. Paul.
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The Twins are unwatchable, continuing the failure from the last forty games from last year. Because I seldom watch them now, after being a fan since 1961, I feel qualified to make only two comments. First, about twice a month Rocco loses a game because he distrusts the starters and replaces them, despite low pitch counts, and the BP blows it. Secondly, their hitting approach isn’t working, and the lineup seldom produces with RISP. Neither Buxton or Correa, their two highest paid players, are doing much. And Lewis is always on the IL and appears to be another mash unit like Buxton. The future of this team is bright only because their minor league prospects. The current roster isn’t producing.
- 63 replies
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- carlos correa
- ty france
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Just a click bait column. Rocco is not being fired.
- 35 replies
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- rocco baldelli
- jayce tingler
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They’re not firing Baldelli anytime soon. I’m not a fan of his pitching philosophy, as he dogmatically follows pitch count analytics with starters. His early hook with their best pitchers on low pitch counts likely costs the team wins. The most recent example is the April 10 loss to KC. Ober was removed after six innings, 1 run, 5 hits, 1 walk, 78 pitches. The BP immediately coughed up the lead. But Rocco is not to blame for injuries to Lewis and others, nor the inept hitting.
- 35 replies
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- rocco baldelli
- jayce tingler
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White Sox get burned by the long leash
Otaknam commented on William Malone's blog entry in William Malone IV blogs about Twins
Couldn't disagree more. Managerial decisions DO affect the outcome of a game, both positive and negative. The issue with Rocco is his over reliance on analytics to make pitching decisions. While I don't have any specific data to back it up, I believe his record for early replacing of effective starters, usually after five or six innings, is in the negative. It also puts tremendous pressure on the BP, causing more upheaval as the season goes on. -
The Twins MiL week in review is a favorite of mine. All TD readers, I’m sure, really enjoy reading it. Thanks for putting it together.
- 9 replies
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- dasan hill
- gabriel gonzalez
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One Year Later: Reviewing the Manuel Margot Trade
Otaknam replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I was surprised the Twins didn’t resign Taylor, given his productivity in 2023. Margot was paid &10 million for 2024, whereas Taylor was paid $4.6 million in 2023 and $4 million with Pittsburgh in 2024. So the FO paid Margot $6 million more than Taylor in 2024. But both played poorly in 2024, though Taylor’s defense is superior to Margot.- 22 replies
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- manuel margot
- noah miller
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Dobnak's value, What does he need to do to justify this season's 3 million salary?
Otaknam commented on Brandon's blog entry in Blog Brandon
The $9+ million DOBNAK contract was always a head scratcher. He was rewarded for being a four inning starter, which isn’t typically the goal for starting pitchers. But, for some reason, the FO thought Dobnak had an upside he never really showed. So it’s not a surprise if Dobnak is up and down over the course of the year, which allows the team to get some payback for the contract. Hopefully Dobnak earns any time he spends in the big leagues, and it’s not just about the fact he is being overpaid. -
Matthews’ rise is very good news. The Twins don’t have an ace, like a Verlander type, who can be trusted to stop a losing streak. Matthews probably isn’t an ace, but he likely can be at least another number 3 starter, like Ryan, Ober, and Lopez. Still, I hope someone emerges as at least a very strong number 2, because it’s unlikely the team can make a serious playoff run without a top of the rotation guy. Right now they don’t have that, just a handful of number 3s, which isn’t bad for the regular season, but not the best for the playoffs.
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One difference is that Morris was an actual ace, which the current Twins do not have. I don’t see any starters having as high a ceiling as being considered an ace. It’s difficult to make a WS run without an ace stopper. They also don’t have both the production and leadership of Puckett. I do believe that Wallner will make a serious positive impact and hit 30+ homers.
- 12 replies
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- carlos correa
- byron buxton
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