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bean5302

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Everything posted by bean5302

  1. bean5302
    I hear 2 packets of 20 year old Original flavor Quaker Instant Oatmeal the Pohlads found under Carl's abandoned desk in the family home took Headrick's spot.
  2. bean5302
    Canterino is. All 40 man roster guys are invited to Spring Training. No word on whether or not Canterino has injured himself playing nerdy board games that I've seen. I'm not sure why people are excited about Canterino at this point. His stuff is supposedly great, but he's barely even played at the AA level and he hasn't pitched in years. Canterino fanned a lot of batters in AA back 3 years ago, but he also walked a ton. He kinda feels like a J.T. Chargois ceiling to me right now. Prielipp is not. Prielipp is not on the 40 man and was not invited to MLB Spring Training. There is every reason for the Twins to continue pushing him down the starter path to answer questions on his future rather than slowing his progress and avoiding answering questions by putting him into the bullpen. If I were to hazard a guess, Prielipp will start the season in AA making 3.0-4.0 inning starts, stretching to 5.0-6.0 innings by mid year. Similar to what we saw with Raya last year.
  3. bean5302
    Alvarez got a shot at MLB last year and went .243/.282/.270 OPS .522 wRC+ 62 in a SSS of 39 plate appearances. While his BB was very poor, his K rate wasn't abominable, but in that 39 plate appearance run, he had only 1 extra base hit, a double. He'll be 30 this year and had a .359 BABIP at AAA that explains a lot of his triple slash. He was well below average at AA/AAA through age 26. Just looks like he's polished up with experience, but probably lacks the actual talent necessary to shine at the MLB level. Speas is potentially more interesting. The only team he pitched against in MLB last year was the Twins so I wonder if the staff saw something they liked? Fangraphs loves, loves, loves, loves velocity so they're high on his pitches grading his fastball, slider and cutter as 60 grades. That said, he walks between 1.5 and 2.0 batters PER INNING, literally up to 15+ BB/9 in significant samples. He walked 21 guys in just 8 innings pitching for the Red Sox AAA. He's bounced through Texas, Boston, White Sox, Oakland and Houston systems. Could be a Simeon Woods Richardson type who refuses to be coached until the end of the career road? I refuse to believe it's not a mechanical issue. If Speas is finally willing to be coached to repeat mechanics and throw strikes 1 of 2 things will likely happen. 1. His pitches will become easy to hit (I expect this one). 2. He'll be elite.
  4. bean5302
    Btw, Miranda has two 3/4 seasons (125 G and 121 G) and he hit .268/.325/.426 OPS .751 wRC+ 116 in the first one and .284/.322/.441 OPS .763 wRC+ 115 in the second one. I see you changed the goalposts to needing a full season. Well, hate to break this to you, but Rocco "Broken Macro" Baldelli platoons his guys. Getting to a "full season" under Baldelli is nearly impossible.
  5. bean5302
    Honestly, when it comes to this management team, I don't have a clue what to think. I feel like Falvey and his team have always tried to play a game to keep people guessing as if it's the NFL and other teams are preparing a total game plan around countering a single player on the Twins. These types of endorsements from Baldelli seem to signal he's already made a decision based on my memory. Personally, I'd be asking for a trade if I were Jose Miranda or Royce Lewis. I'd want to go to a team that values me.
  6. bean5302
    The owners aren't supposed to be the ones with the rudder. Falvey was given more power than he's ever had, and he's steering the ship.
  7. bean5302
    When it comes to Lewis, this will be an important year. He's going to need to prove he can throw strikes, and that hitters won't be able to crush his pitches when he does. Raya's big test is durability. Morris needs to prove his stuff works at AAA. Keaschall's bat is going to be tested at AAA. Rodriguez is probably going to be pretty successful at AAA. His test will be at the MLB level.
  8. bean5302
    The Baseball Bat Bros on youtube tested out some historic bats. Honus Wagner, Joe Jackson, Babe Ruth, Mickey Mantle, Jackie Robinson, etc. Fun video to watch for sure. I don't think much can be pulled in terms of swing speed from Royce Lewis. The guy couldn't even run by the end of the year with major lower body injuries that sapped all his athleticism.
  9. bean5302
    I think Will Holland is probably the highest likelihood of a primary "shortstop" being added to the 40 man roster and receiving playing time this season. Will Holland Level - AAA Acquired - 2019 Drafted by the Twins, 5th round out of Auburn Holland will be 27 this year and is known as a slick fielding defensive specialist without a good bat. He's appeared on various Twins top prospect lists, but hasn't been an elite prospect as his bat hasn't really played well. Last year, in a relatively small sample size, Holland's bat showed up in big way. Power he'd never shown before coming from an elevated BABIP supported by a crazy high line drive rate. Holland has cut down his strike out rate dramatically over the past two seasons while also earning promotions. If Holland has found a way to tap into his potential at the plate, he could be a good player (don't see elite upside here), but there will need to be more proof at AAA this year. It's a real bummer he broke his leg and missed most of the season as a result.
  10. bean5302
    Projected by whom? As of right now (3:37PM Central Time on Thursday, February 13th) on the Twins' official MLB site, Ty France doesn't appear on the depth chart at any position, period. https://www.mlb.com/twins/roster/depth-chart As far as 1B, it's listed as Jose Miranda -> Eduoard Julien -> Mickey Gasper right now.
  11. bean5302
    Also, there's a fairly high degree of likelihood the Yankees will also DFA Headrick and try to pass him through waivers as rosters tighten up. It's a common practice to claim, then DFA again. Worthy of a 40 man roster spot for a day, haha.
  12. bean5302
    Probably just have to make a note to skip Labuza's articles unless you really like the hard core leftist politics.
  13. bean5302
    Headrick was clearly only on the 40 man roster because "why not?" when the Twins had room for him. You could just as easily argue any number of guys the Twins have brought in on the 40 man were the cause for Headrick's departure as the roster simply ran out of space.
  14. bean5302
    No, it really is. Lots of MiLB contracts have opt outs, man.
  15. bean5302
    Ty France trying to play catcher is a great content!!!!!
  16. bean5302
    I think Ty France is actually a long-shot to make the roster. I believe he probably accepted the Twins offer for a non-guaranteed MLB deal over what probably other teams offered which were MiLB deals with an invite / opt out. IMHO, there's no real difference between the two. I guess maybe the $240k higher at France's $1MM non-guaranteed (MLB) vs. his $760k non-guaranteed (MiLB).
  17. bean5302
    I think contract extensions are about holding on to premium players at a discounted rate for elevated risk. How much of a discount is based on the risk taken. There is additional leverage for teams when the team is the exclusive employer available so it's like a stacked discount.
  18. bean5302
    France has a NON-GUARANTEED contract guys. It's basically a MiLB signing with an opt out for making the roster. The difference is France will make $1MM this year if he makes the roster instead of $760k... I don't have any real issues with the signing, and Headrick should have been non-tendered IMHO. His ceiling is probably spot middle reliever if he can even be successful in that role. Is the overall strategy good? No. Spend money on GOOD players. Trade depth for depth. When you spend money on low ceiling depth players, you wind up with guys on the roster you'd rather not have on the roster, but you still have to pay them.
  19. bean5302
    All the more reason for Taylor to bid. Chasing that big franchise championship.
  20. bean5302
    I'd imagine he's been involved in the bidding with a contingency plan if Taylor was interested in the Twins.
  21. bean5302
    Eh, we've got 2 more years to decide on Ryan and Ober in regard to extending while under control with little risk of either of them getting much more expensive. If they decline, the Twins dodge a bullet. If they stay the same and SWR, Festa, Matthews, Morris, Raya, Soto, Lewis or any other numbers of arms in the MiLB system turn out to be just as good or better, we don't need to extend them. The Twins might even be able to get a Comp pick in return by slapping Ryan or Ober with a QO. There's just no good reason to extend them right now, IMHO.
  22. bean5302
    I guess this is insurance in case guys like Miranda and Julien both look terrible this spring or something. Or maybe the Twins just want to see if they can fix France or something? At least the deal is non-guaranteed.
  23. bean5302
    None of them are good candidates for an extension right now. You lock star core players up (guys who produce 4+ WAR) to buy out free agent years in the 20s, Not generally "good" players who you control through age 30. Joe Ryan - Free agent age 32. Best season 3.1 fWAR. Ryan is an oft injured starter with a history of being good rather than great. His first half is often sparkling, and his second half is terrible. Extending guys into their mid 30s when you still have 3 years of team control isn't sound team strategy. Bailey Ober - Free agent age 32. Best season 2.9 fWAR. Ober has become durable over the past few years, but the soft tosser's upside is questionable. If Ober loses any velocity, he'll likely be a back end rotation arm, and he's already under contract past age 30. Royce Lewis - Free agent age 30. Best season 2.3 fWAR. Constantly injured and the Twins can't figure out how to coach his throws so he has little defensive value. Lewis slumped hard down the stretch last year. The superstar might be in there, but he's made Byron Buxton look like iron. Ryan Jeffers - Free agent age 30. Best season 2.3 fWAR. Jeffers is a mediocre catcher. Just a guy, not a guy you build your team around. With a league average bat in his prime, Jeffers has worked hard to adjust his game to stay relevant by massively cutting down his K rate from 36.9% in 2021 to 20.2% last year. Jeffers is basically Gary Sanchez.
  24. bean5302
    With the Timberwolves ownership arbitration officially siding with Alex Rodriguez and Marc Lore today, it's basically set in stone Glen Taylor is out as the Timberwolves owner. The speculation was Glen Taylor was interested in the Twins, but only if he lost his bid to steal back the Timberwolves after the franchise experienced major gains in value. https://www.si.com/nba/timberwolves/minnesota-timberwolves-news/taylor-loses-arbitration-lore-rodriguez-set-to-take-over-wolves-lynx-01jkr4zggfdw Now that the decision is finalized, if Taylor was in the mix as an ownership candidate for the Twins, it's likely the final bidding and numbers will come quick IMHO.
  25. bean5302
    Missed this. Yes. Cashflow payout to Ohtani is his salary and the Escrow Paid.
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