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twins_89

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Everything posted by twins_89

  1. twins_89
    Whitefield will have to be added to the 40 man roster, but I believe they have a couple of open spots due to Pineda and Romero being on the restricted list.
  2. twins_89
    There are a few prospects that I hope get added to the 60 man pool once the season gets underway. Balazovic, Sands, Rortvedt, and Miranda are guys that could have been at AA and aren't that far away from the Majors. It should also be noted that there is a lot of redundancy with the AAAA players currently on the 60 man list. Garton/Gearrin, Coulombe/Thielbar, Graterol/Tellis, and Maggi/Reinheimer all seem like an unnecessary duplication where one from each pairing could be released without losing any depth.
  3. twins_89
    CF is unfortunately the one position where the Twins don't have a good replacement waiting in the wings. The only minor league options (Baddoo and Celestino) are at least a year away from realistically being able to compete in the majors, and the rest of the possibilities are corner outfielders who only play center when they have to (Kepler, Wade, and Cave). If Buxton is out for a significant amount of time I'm afraid Lewis is going to be switched to CF and I'm worried that the move would not be good for his career.
  4. twins_89
    The Twins really went all in on college pitchers in the last draft. In the first 25 rounds I believe we selected 17 college pitchers (in 26 picks). There must be some analysis that shows that after the top 150 or so picks college arms are an undervalued commodity. I'll be curious to see how many of these guys turn into real prospects.
  5. twins_89
    Dobnak has pretty clearly been the better pitcher both last season and in Spring training, so going by merit alone he would get the spot. Unfortunately, I think it will come down to how much faith the organization has that Chacin will be able to bounce back, even with limited evidence of that happening.
  6. twins_89
    At this point there isn't any significant issue with guys who deserve an opportunity being unable to make it to the majors. The only players where this might have been an issue were Gordon and Rooker, but they both missed so much time last year with injuries that it's hard to argue they were being held back. I suspect if any of the top end prospects plays at a level where it's obvious they are ready the Twins could make a trade to open up a spot.
  7. twins_89
    I think it fairly unlikely Smeltzer makes the opening day roster. If the Twins go with the guy who is performing the best it looks like Dobnak should get the spot, he has been quite a bit better both last season and so far in Spring training. If the Twins want to give a chance to the vet bounce back guy, it will be Chacin. Barring injuries I just don't see a path for Smeltzer since Pineda and Hill will also be needing rotation spots as the season progresses.
  8. twins_89
    I am fairly confident in the rotation depth for the regular season. The Twins have enough starter options to rack up a lot of wins even if some of the pieces don't work out. A more relevant question is do the Twins have the rotation quality to compete against the top teams in a playoff series.
  9. twins_89
    I'd imagine Rosario is very motivated to have a big year since he has to know that Kirilloff/Larnach are a couple good months away from the majors. I really hope Eddie can have a bounce back season and be a main contributor on a deep playoff run.
  10. twins_89
    I'd rate Ryu as being a clear tier up from Maeda and Wheeler a half a tier better with significantly more upside (with Bumgarner being roughly the same). As a full time starter in a healthy season Maeda can make around $13M a year so the Twins are saving $8-10M a year, but his contract incentives provide some really nice insurance for injuries or a drop off in production. Taking everything into account I'd probably still prefer Ryu or Wheeler since at this point the Twins biggest need is top end starting pitching, but to fill innings it's hard to argue that Maeda provides great value.
  11. twins_89
    I would love to see the Twins take some of the cash they got for selling a pick to the Dodgers and use it for a Trevor May extension.
  12. twins_89
    The best Twins starting pitcher trio has to be the 2006 group of Santana/Liriano/Radke. Before Liriano got injured both he and Santana were legitimate Cy Young contenders.
  13. twins_89
    As far as acquiring a front of the rotation starter, a trade seems more likely than signing a free agent. My guess would be the Twins going after guys like Syndegaard or Gray if they become available at the trade deadline.
  14. twins_89
    Good article, it highlights what is the number one issue going forward for the Twins. Without a starting pitcher upgrade, this team is going to be great in the regular season followed by a quick elimination in the playoffs due to being outclassed in the rotation. Keeping the focus on the issue is going to be important since I suspect that regular season wins will make it easy to overlook the problem.
  15. twins_89
    Maeda really solidifies the Twins odds of winning the division, but the move does not fix the problem of the rotation in the playoffs. Minnesota still has a glaring need for a guy who can start game 1 or 2 of a playoff series and give the team a good chance to win.
  16. twins_89
    Did Thorpe ever make any of the prominent top-100 lists? I don't recall that happening, but I could be mistaken.
  17. twins_89
    Raley makes sense as the prospect included since he doesn't have all that much value and he's pretty redundant as a left handed 4th outfield option (Twins already have Cave and Wade to fill that role). I'm a bit less thrilled with basically selling the draft pick.
  18. twins_89
    I 100% support the position of the Twins front office. I wasn't a big fan of the Maeda deal, but I could understand why Falvey agreed to the trade. Asking for more than Graterol for Maeda would have made it a horrific deal for Minnesota, so I am extremely happy that we held firm and are willing to back out.
  19. twins_89
    Barring injury, the only real question marks are the 5th starter and 7th/8th bullpen spots (Stashak/Wisler). I expect the last rotation spot to come down to a competition between Chacin/Thorpe/Dobnak. If Chacin is able to bounce back he makes the team, otherwise Thorpe/Dobnak battle it out. I could also see Thorpe taking one of the last bullpen spots due to the lack of left-handed relief options. The other guy who could easily earn one of the last spots is Romero. His stuff is probably the best of the likely options, so if he looks good in Spring training he has a real shot at making the roster.
  20. twins_89
    Another move that looks focused on raising the teams floor. At some point Falvey is going to have find a way to raise the ceiling of the starting rotation, since that is the glaring weakness that is going to kill us in the playoffs.
  21. twins_89
    I don't consider guys with a career OPS in the mid 800s versus right handed pitching a problem. That's still really good production and coupled with the left handed bats (and switch hitters) the Twins offense will be very dangerous no matter who is on the mound.
  22. twins_89
    Celestino probably needs to be in the discussion as well. If he maintains the hitting he showed the second half of last season I could see him in AA by the end of the year. From what I've read he is very likely to be a plus defender in CF, so if he can hit a bit he could be another option in the not too distant future. Just the fact that the Twins gave him a 40 man roster spot tells me they think of him pretty highly.
  23. twins_89
    One side note to the sign stealing is that the impact was more than just the times when a breaking ball was signaled. There is also value in knowing that a breaking ball is not coming (no banging). In that instance hitters could sit on a fastball with a higher degree of confidence.
  24. twins_89
    I'm not willing to give up high end prospects for Musgrove since I don't believe he has all that much upside. I'd take a flier on Archer if the trade cost was low enough (not giving up any of the Twins top 10 prospects).
  25. twins_89
    Personally I'd love to see Romero put back into a starting role, especially if the plan is to use Graterol out of the bullpen. My biggest concern with the current crop of major league ready starters is that for the most part there isn't a lot of upside. Guys like Smeltzer and Dobnak are OK as the 6th-7th options on the depth chart, but I have concerns about how much success they'll have over an extended stretch in the major league rotation. Romero at least has the potential to be more than a 5th starter. During the first stretch of games he started with the Twins he looked dominant and if he could recapture that form there are a lot of available starter innings early in the season. Having a 4th option would be huge since he could shuttle between AAA and the majors as needed.
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