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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    Also, we should note that it's going to become increasingly difficult to keep all those SS prospects at the correct level for their development while also staying at short. Palacios finished the season in Ft Myers but needs more time there. Lewis, if all goes according to plan, will likely end 2018 in Ft Myers. Javier is a wild card, as he has hit well and is now at the age where promotions can come fast and furious. In front of all of them, you have Gordon in Rochester and Polanco in Minnesota. And you don't want to move a guy off short if at all possible. It made sense to give up a guy like Palacios who appears to be on an upward trajectory because you don't want to run into the issue of deciding to move either move Palacios to second or stunt Lewis' advancement through the system.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, any gains from the Twins OF will be minimal. He might gain a little from improved corner play but given Rosario's bizarre defensive regression, hard to say. On the upside, Odorizzi had injury issues last season and he starting pitching up in the zone to an even more extreme degree. Minus back problems and adding a refinement of his approach by a new coaching staff and front office, it's not hard to see a potential rebound in there. That doesn't mean it will happen, though. It's not as if the Rays org is full of morons, but it's easy for one guy to lose his approach and mess up in a season before the problem gets fixed.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    Interesting. BP has him as a plus defender.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    Ditto. I’ve always read the question is his bat, not his glove.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    The past 4-5 days are where the rubber meets the road for the front office. I actually laughed at the Sanchez signing but quite liked the Odorizzi signing; not because I think he's great but if you give up your fourth-best SS prospect in the low minors for what should be a competent starting pitcher, that's a good deal. So, I'm underwhelmed. Not super unhappy but definitely underwhelmed. Now it's up to the front office to show they're smarter than me. They made their decisions, now we wait to see how it all plays out.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    Yes and no. The input is results but they use those results to estimate an entirely different number.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    I wanted something better than Odorizzi but straight up for Palacios? lol yes every day
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    I just threw up in my mouth.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    I'll go but only to day games and will only sit in specific parts of the stadium where I'm either close to a heat source or in the sun.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, it's a bad idea to even look at the April schedule and try to sort a rotation when your favorite team plays outdoors in Minneapolis.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    Right, I forgot that Romero barely touched 125 IP last season. Good point.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    Considering how many pitchers have AAA experience in front of him, I don't see why the Twins would even consider promoting him. Fernando Romero is a good, not great, prospect who has several capable pitchers (of varying degrees) in front of him in the organization. Why would you leapfrog that guy to the majors before he pitches a single inning of AAA ball?
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    Never mind that calling up a legitimate prospect for Opening Day is kind of a bad idea. In that situation, you're secretly hoping the player will struggle and force a demotion so you get back that extra year of control. So where's the upside? If you give that player a month or two in AAA, get a better read on his ability, then you can promote him, let him struggle through issues, and gain an additional year of control. I don't give a rat's ass about Super Two status but that extra year of control is important, especially if the downside is losing three weeks at the front of that player's career.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    Someone drank a gallon of optimism coffee this morning.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    I thought about getting back into the market after this happened - I have about $15k to play with right now - but decided I'm going to wait this out. I don't think things are going to improve over the next few years. We've been bullish for 8-9 years now, things have to retract at some point. People simply do not have the money to keep feeding this economy. Maybe I'm wrong and in 2-3 years, I look like an ass as the Dow crushes 32,000... but I just don't see how that will happen.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    Between Escobar and Adrianza, they should be able to cover third if Sano can't do it. It's not a perfect situation but it could get you to July and then you make a trade if you're in contention.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    Oh, sure. I knew that part, was wondering if there was something else. Thanks.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    How so? Not challenging you, I’m legitimately curious.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    Someone correct me if I’m wrong but I thought pro ball players paid taxes based on where they play. Sixteen games in New York, you pay New York taxes on 10% of your salary. Eight games in Los Angeles, you pay California taxes on 5% of your salary. Is that not how it works?
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    And my point is that it doesn't really change much this year, either. What is the net gain/loss from swapping Vargas and Napoli? I don't think it's much either way. Given an option free of strings, I'd choose Vargas but I don't really care much either way. The Twins don't need Nunez. They have Escobar and Adrianza to cover positional needs around the diamond. They have Granite to back up the outfield defensively, though it'd be a lot nicer to have a RHB available instead of Granite. But Nunez isn't good against lefties anyway so he brings more of the same to the table. Nunez is redundant on this roster. The Twins need a slugger who can hit RHP and it'd be nice if he could play the OF but neither Napoli nor Vargas can play the outfield so, eh, whatever. Pick your poison, I'm not sure it matters much.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't want him on the roster but he was capable against lefties last season (.750 OPS), despite his bad overall numbers. The Twins can work with that profile and get him plate appearances. If Napoli somehow brings the Twins Darvish, the loss of Vargas - who I don't think will amount to much in MLB - isn't going to worry me much. With Rooker expected to fly through the system with relative ease, one year of Napoli likely won't hurt the Twins much in the long run. We're talking about a one year contract to an aging DH and potentially losing another DH who *might* be serviceable but not much more than that. It's the easiest thing to replace in baseball on a yearly basis. Finding a one year DH for $5-8m every season is not hard to do, even if Rooker falters for a bit.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    All things being equal (a huge assumption that's almost certainly not the case), $5m for Napoli at the front of the deal is A LOT better than $20-25m for Darvish at the back of the deal.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    Just for kicks, I started sorting all-time great teams by WAR and came across this ugly stat: Going by all-time team WAR, Brian Dozier would be the third-best Padre in team history. *winces*
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    Hard to say because things are so stacked in multiple directions. 1. Length of team existence. This list is only counting Twins, which means the first half of MLB's existence isn't accounted for, leaving out several Senator greats who should technically be considered for the list. 2. Historical play and improvement. Sure, the Yankees have Ruth, Mantle, Gehrig, et al but then we open the question of how Ruth would perform in the modern game against pitchers who throw 10mph+ faster than pitchers of his era, fielders who use real gloves, and, you know, black people. All in all, the Twins have had a lot of great players over the years, probably at a higher ratio than most teams who entered the league in the 60s or 70s (look at a team like the Padres by comparison... there is no comparison). Using that standard, the all-time Twins greats would probably do rather well for themselves against other all-time great teams. If you open up the OF list to include all outfielders, the Twins could run some of the all-time great centerfielders out there and no fly ball would ever hit the turf.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    Mejia's walk rate is troublesome but not outlandish (4.0/9 in 2017). Contrast that with a pretty solid rookie year K rate (7.8/9) and it's not hard to see him becoming a productive MLB pitcher, certainly better than a #5 in the rotation. If he moves both stats in the correct direction half a point, his peripherals suddenly look rather solid. He's not *that* far off the mark. I understand people being somewhat tepid on Mejia but I don't think he's getting a fair shake a lot of the time. He's coming off a quite solid rookie campaign with peripherals that weren't embarrassing (his peripherals look downright promising compared to Berrios' rookie year). Sure, he has stuff to work on but I'm not ready to relegate him to a #5 starting pitcher quite yet.
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