Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

Brock Beauchamp

Site Manager
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    32,403

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    328

 Content Type 

Profiles

News

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospects Ranking

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

Minnesota Twins Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Pick Tracker

2026 Minnesota Twins Draft Pick Tracker

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    I thought about getting back into the market after this happened - I have about $15k to play with right now - but decided I'm going to wait this out. I don't think things are going to improve over the next few years. We've been bullish for 8-9 years now, things have to retract at some point. People simply do not have the money to keep feeding this economy. Maybe I'm wrong and in 2-3 years, I look like an ass as the Dow crushes 32,000... but I just don't see how that will happen.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    Between Escobar and Adrianza, they should be able to cover third if Sano can't do it. It's not a perfect situation but it could get you to July and then you make a trade if you're in contention.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    Oh, sure. I knew that part, was wondering if there was something else. Thanks.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    How so? Not challenging you, I’m legitimately curious.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    Someone correct me if I’m wrong but I thought pro ball players paid taxes based on where they play. Sixteen games in New York, you pay New York taxes on 10% of your salary. Eight games in Los Angeles, you pay California taxes on 5% of your salary. Is that not how it works?
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    And my point is that it doesn't really change much this year, either. What is the net gain/loss from swapping Vargas and Napoli? I don't think it's much either way. Given an option free of strings, I'd choose Vargas but I don't really care much either way. The Twins don't need Nunez. They have Escobar and Adrianza to cover positional needs around the diamond. They have Granite to back up the outfield defensively, though it'd be a lot nicer to have a RHB available instead of Granite. But Nunez isn't good against lefties anyway so he brings more of the same to the table. Nunez is redundant on this roster. The Twins need a slugger who can hit RHP and it'd be nice if he could play the OF but neither Napoli nor Vargas can play the outfield so, eh, whatever. Pick your poison, I'm not sure it matters much.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't want him on the roster but he was capable against lefties last season (.750 OPS), despite his bad overall numbers. The Twins can work with that profile and get him plate appearances. If Napoli somehow brings the Twins Darvish, the loss of Vargas - who I don't think will amount to much in MLB - isn't going to worry me much. With Rooker expected to fly through the system with relative ease, one year of Napoli likely won't hurt the Twins much in the long run. We're talking about a one year contract to an aging DH and potentially losing another DH who *might* be serviceable but not much more than that. It's the easiest thing to replace in baseball on a yearly basis. Finding a one year DH for $5-8m every season is not hard to do, even if Rooker falters for a bit.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    All things being equal (a huge assumption that's almost certainly not the case), $5m for Napoli at the front of the deal is A LOT better than $20-25m for Darvish at the back of the deal.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    Just for kicks, I started sorting all-time great teams by WAR and came across this ugly stat: Going by all-time team WAR, Brian Dozier would be the third-best Padre in team history. *winces*
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    Hard to say because things are so stacked in multiple directions. 1. Length of team existence. This list is only counting Twins, which means the first half of MLB's existence isn't accounted for, leaving out several Senator greats who should technically be considered for the list. 2. Historical play and improvement. Sure, the Yankees have Ruth, Mantle, Gehrig, et al but then we open the question of how Ruth would perform in the modern game against pitchers who throw 10mph+ faster than pitchers of his era, fielders who use real gloves, and, you know, black people. All in all, the Twins have had a lot of great players over the years, probably at a higher ratio than most teams who entered the league in the 60s or 70s (look at a team like the Padres by comparison... there is no comparison). Using that standard, the all-time Twins greats would probably do rather well for themselves against other all-time great teams. If you open up the OF list to include all outfielders, the Twins could run some of the all-time great centerfielders out there and no fly ball would ever hit the turf.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    Mejia's walk rate is troublesome but not outlandish (4.0/9 in 2017). Contrast that with a pretty solid rookie year K rate (7.8/9) and it's not hard to see him becoming a productive MLB pitcher, certainly better than a #5 in the rotation. If he moves both stats in the correct direction half a point, his peripherals suddenly look rather solid. He's not *that* far off the mark. I understand people being somewhat tepid on Mejia but I don't think he's getting a fair shake a lot of the time. He's coming off a quite solid rookie campaign with peripherals that weren't embarrassing (his peripherals look downright promising compared to Berrios' rookie year). Sure, he has stuff to work on but I'm not ready to relegate him to a #5 starting pitcher quite yet.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    But isn't that the case with most systems? It's not as if even the best system has 3-4 #1/2 projectable pitchers in the pipeline. The Twins are certainly lacking can't-miss, top-end talent but there are intriguing names that might end up mid-rotation or better in the future: Enlow, Thorpe, Romero primarily. Gonsalves could also peak higher than most of us expect. Never underestimate a crafty lefty with decent stuff.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    I think ultimately some of the other guys in the high minors (Gonsalves, Littell, Enns, et al) end up somewhere around #4 starter range but we shouldn't count any of them quite yet, as they could all use a bit more seasoning in the minors and likely won't be on the Opening Day roster. And if Mejia and another one or two of those guys turn into #4 starters and no longer fit in the rotation, that's not a terrible problem to have. You dish off one of them to another team for a decent prospect and go on your merry way. A #4 starter with 4-5 cost-controlled seasons is not a turnip. Lots of teams need those guys on a yearly basis. You won't get a bunch for any of them but you'll certainly get a solid prospect with upside for one of them, probably a projectable guy in the low minors.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    Tony Fiore. Ten wins, baby!
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't think Jones is even in consideration, or at least he shouldn't be. If we're playing strictly by OF position, Mack is probably the best choice. If we open up to other corner OF spots, then we certainly need to talk about Allison. His three year peak was on par with Mack but he played *a lot* longer.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    I agree, I'm just pointing out that he has done this before. I have modest expectations for Gibson and definitely wanted him back on the team in 2018.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    Longevity should count as well. Mack was VERY good but only for 2-3 full seasons. He finished with around 2500 PAs in a Minnesota uniform. Even guys like Koskie and Jones, who weren't around long, still had 750-1000 more PAs than Mack while wearing a Minnesota uniform.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    I think the White Sox are going to surprise, as much as that pains me to say. I think they'll bounce to 72+ wins. I also think the Twins are going to surprise, and challenge Cleveland for the division. The rest, meh, whatever. Kansas City is maybe a 73-74 win team if you squint. Detroit is... just bad.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    Well, Arrieta has the added problem of coming off a down year, which is why I'm suggesting he consider taking a one-year deal and nobody else.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    Sure, under normal circumstances I would agree but he's one of four pitchers still unsigned on February 2nd and it appears he's not getting much in the way of interest. Taking a one year deal would probably get him snatched up immediately and he could try again next year under more favorable circumstances.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't mean to stick a pin in your balloon but here is what Gibson looked like for a pretty large portion of 2015: 8 GS, 47.0 IP, 3.64 ERA, 14 BB, 44 SO That's the time I thought Gibson had turned the corner because it's hard to "fake" strikeouts over a ten game stretch of starts. Maybe not so much.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    Honestly, I'm now kinda leaning toward avoiding a Lynn or Cobb deal at this point (unless they can be had for a steal). I don't want either one on a four year deal. Two years? Sure, but that's unlikely to happen. Arrieta is a question mark but his upside is waaaaaayyy higher than either of those guys. If it came down to Gibson or Cobb/Lynn, I may roll with Gibson (knowing that May is in the mix, as are Gonsalves and Romero).
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm starting to wonder if the best thing for Arrieta might be a one year, make good deal (albeit at a very high number, like $25m). His fastball velocity was down in 2017 and his numbers reflected it. I'd pay through the nose to get one year of an Arrieta who's trying to prove that he's worth a 3-4 year deal, even though I'm not much of an Arrieta fan really.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    This is how mid-market teams need to operate. It will sting to lose Dozier but that's a risk you need to take to keep payroll manageable and shore up other positions of need. Hopefully, Gordon posts another .750 OPS season and gets a late-season taste of MLB pitching. Then you're in a pretty good position to run Polanco/Gordon in the middle infield in 2019. But the Twins might keep Dozier. I don't know where I'd put the threshold to offer/decline a QO but it's probably in the .775 OPS range. I'd pay Dozier a lot of money to put up middling performance (hoping for a rebound) if he slides in 2018. Of course, that OPS number needs to be higher if Gordon goes nuts in Rochester and posts an .800+ OPS. If Gordon looks good/great, then you need to be confident Dozier will decline the QO. Overall, the Twins are in a pretty strong position here and I'm not worried about it.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    I agree that both Cobb and Lynn would be an upgrade to the rotation but how much of an upgrade is more difficult to judge. Whereas Darvish isn't only an upgrade, the only pitcher who could come close to his performance is Berrios and that would require a pretty big step forward from Jose. My point overall is that it's time to stop working (only) in the margins and begin to acquire players that make the team significantly better going forward. As I said, Lynn or Cobb are fine consolation prizes but I hope the Twins are aiming higher this offseason.
×
×
  • Create New...