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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    Several of us actually know Betsy so I wouldn't call it "nothing". A few of the Twins Daily folks knew about it before Betsy said anything publicly.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    I have no idea how to feel about this. I'm glad it's over with but it feels like justice may have fallen a bit short here. Hopefully MLB did their due diligence (from what I know, it appears they did) and came to the right conclusion.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    Eh, I'd call him "bad". He was absolutely brutal in 2016 but outside of that one season, he's just been bad.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    Eh, it doesn't matter. One rainout changes everything. Besides, if Lynn can wrap up two wins against bad-but-not-awful teams, I'll take it.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't care for Hughes in the rotation to start the season but I'll tolerate it if he has a *very* quick hook and they leverage the opening series' on/off silliness to make sure he barely pitches.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    It's disappointing that Gibson lines up for the home opener but only from a spectator standpoint. In the grand scheme of things, it doesn't matter one bit.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    Offensively, they should be fine. I expected them lower due to the defensive side of the ball. Escobar is pretty shaky at short and Polanco is a question mark.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    Higher than I expected. With Polanco, I thought the Twins might crack the top half of baseball. Without him, I expected to see them further down the list.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    I think this is one of the big movements in MLB front offices right now (figuring out how to communicate and create data channels between coaches and analysts). You need some kind of bridge in most cases: the analysts don’t know how to coach and the coaches don’t know what to ask. I think Pickler is likely that bridge for Minnesota.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    Great article!
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    Huh, a bit higher than I expected, honestly.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    Only 80%? Feeling a bit off your game this morning, I see.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    Sure, he had a great OPS the first half of last season. He also had a good OPS the first half of 2016 before crashing and burning. He's not the type of prospect you push through the system, as he has no outstanding traits. You stay the course and let him develop naturally. Besides, it's not as if Adrianza is some hack. His bat is pretty weak but his glove is good enough to hold things down while you get a better read on the situation. And I'd bet 3:1 odds that if you gave both Adrianza and Gordon 50 games at short, Adrianza would have the better numbers by a long shot. He's not going to blow you away but he should put up replacement numbers or better, and I think asking that of Gordon right now is a real stretch.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    What’s best for Gordon is what’s best for the Twins. We’re talking about a 22 year old who faded hard against AA pitching last season. And now we want to promote him to Minnesota? It’s as if Aaron Hicks and Byron Buxton never happened.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    It’s not about Gordon vs Aybar, it’s about what is best for Gordon.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    I honestly think Mauer would play for the Twins if they gave him $2m. But, given that he has some pride and a respectable agent, he'll probably demand something in the $8-10m range. And if he's performing, I'm totally okay with that. Some things are more important than money and seeing Joe help take another Twins team to the postseason is something I badly want to see happen.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    The article mentions individual players. “There’s a reason spring training has more to tell us about teams than individual players. It’s about signal versus noise. For an individual player, any set of 50 plate appearances (in spring training or otherwise) is extremely volatile and doesn’t say much about them individually. But bring together all the plate appearances of the nine players who make up a batting order and the volatility begins to cancel itself out. All of a sudden we have some sense of how good the nine are in aggregate.” Besides, Garver has all of 21 PAs and only three strikeouts. You’re basing a bad spring on that?
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm going from hazy memory but I recall some articles that crunched the numbers to show that ST stats don't have a strong correlation to regular season stats. Here's an article from 538. There's a modest team correlation but the individual player correlation is negligible. https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/spring-training-matters/ "After factoring in the projected performance, a 100-point increase in spring training OPS raises a team’s expected regular-season OPS by 15 points. While that’s not a huge increase, it’s also a much stronger relationship than what we find for individual players, where a hitter whose OPS is 100 points better than expected in the spring improves their expected regular-season OPS by only six points."
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, my point is that I doubt they had clearance for Lynn in the original budget. They even talked about being done with moves before that point, which indicates they didn't have much space left to spend.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah. I suspect the front office had to go to ownership hat in hand to sign Lynn but I doubt Sanchez was even in the discussion.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    Jimmer didn't conclude anything. He began the sentence with "I believe", which is generally a statement of opinion.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    It’s pretty rare but not unheard of. Paul Molitor had the best four year stretch of his career from age 34 to 37.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    If Morrison is a legit 30 homer guy, the Twins will pick up his option. Next offseason, it's likely that things return to normal and guys like Morrison are $10-12m players on a one year contract. You can move that guy for something in trade if need be.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    In a world where guys like Morrison go for $6m, Vargas has no value. None.
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