Brock Beauchamp
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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp
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I agree but the thought process here is probably to go to the guy who can avoid contact. -
After the past two seasons, I'm using kid gloves on Buxton until he establishes himself for a week or two and shows he's no longer prone to horrific streaks. We've seen what happens when he gets into his own head early in the season. But if we were talking about Buxton vs Adrianza, I let Buxton hack away. It's a little different when you have the option of going to what is possibly the most professional and selective hitter on the team in a situation where the pitcher is rattled and all you need is a single.
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I think we can go ahead and slot Hildenberger to the seventh inning or earlier for a little while and let him get his feet under him.
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Same here. But even if they call to the pen, I'd prefer to see Grossman in that position. Maybe once Buxton gets his feet under him that opinion will change but if I need a "not out", Grossman's my guy.
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On a walk listening but a big fan of the Grossman decision. You put a professional hitter in after Kepler obviously rattled the pitcher.
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Article: Brian Dozier: I'll Be A Free Agent
Brock Beauchamp replied to John Bonnes's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I suspect the Twins will be looking for a third baseman much earlier than they want to. -
Article: Brian Dozier: I'll Be A Free Agent
Brock Beauchamp replied to John Bonnes's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
This is the crux of the issue. If the Twins' farm looked more like it has for the past 30 or so years, you probably jump ahead of the pack and sign Dozier. But on a farm that has Javier, Gordon, and Lewis, you hold your cards close to your vest. Maybe next offseason rolls around and you determine that you need Brian Dozier for four more years. Well, then you go out and field a competitive offer to Brian Dozier. But a smart front office of a mid-market team doesn't make that decision before it needs to make that decision. If you're the Yankees, sure, you just throw him $60m and call it a day... but the Twins can't do that for every good player they have on the roster. They need to make smart decisions with their money. -
I don't disagree but I said Dozier would be insane to accept less than four years today. Come next season, I see him easily getting 3-4 years at a good AAV. He may have to settle for three seasons at a higher per year rate given his age but he'll almost certainly start the bidding at 4-5 years. Dozier has shown in the past that he's willing to bet on himself in a big way (he could have easily made $10-12m more in that contract with one free agency season buy out). He didn't do that, he demanded the ability to become a free agent. I don't see why he'd alter his mindset now that he's been very good for three consecutive seasons.
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Youre assuming that the most bizarre offseason of the past two decades is the new standard going forward. That’s a huge assumption.
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How is it a self fulfilling prophecy to wait until the next time you can trade players to evaluate and decide whether to trade players?
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I think that's pretty common when projecting young teams with high ceilings. Because at some point, if a young team is going to truly turn the corner, they're going to blow a projection wide open because the data points just don't exist for those players to improve by leaps and bounds simultaneously. On the other hand, live people can adjust expectations somewhat irrationally (but not necessarily incorrectly).
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Interesting. See, I have the Twins at 88 wins (and felt a little dicey on that prediction after the Polanco suspension). I have the Indians around 95 games. I can see how people would land differently, though. Before the Polanco suspension, I would have put the Twins at 89 games and would have considered putting them at 90 if I was feeling optimistic. From there, it's not much of a jump to see them line up against Cleveland if, say, Kluber goes down.
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I think Cleveland has a solid 6-8 game advantage right now. Injuries can certainly whittle that away but they'll have to be significant injuries and there will probably have to be more than one of them.
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- corey kluber
- mike moustakas
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Beat me to it.
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While I'm not against this idea, I'm not quite ready to jump in with both feet yet, either. It really depends on a few things. How does the rest of the AL look in July? Are the Twins vying for the division (more likely to trade pieces for a run) or the Wild Card (less likely)? The Twins still have a lot of control over their major pieces and they still have some interesting pieces in the upper minors. I'm not ready to start moving some of those pieces until I see what the team looks like mid-season.
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This is likely Dozier's one and only shot at big money free agency. What makes you think he'll take a short extension? Back when he signed his current contract, he wouldn't allow the Twins to buy out even a single year of free agency. Frankly, Dozier would have to be kinda insane to accept anything less than a four year extension right now.
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Only three of them are starting regulars. Only two of them are above average. Only one of them is very good. Every team has players coming off the books every season. The Twins don't have some plethora of remarkable talent on expiring contracts, they have a few good players, most of which are eminently replaceable.
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Yeah... this. But the front office has given the team a legitimate shot to actually win through the playoffs, which is about all we could ask for this offseason. It's not a great shot, but it's a shot.
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It took me six clicks to get from this page to that article on the Strib. #WinningUX
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You’re comparing Morrison’s altered approach that paid dividends over a full MLB season to Lamarre, who had ~50 really good plate appearances against rusty opponents, many of whom will either be waived or sent to the minors. Not really the same thing. And I’m not against taking a flyer on Lamarre, but I’m dead set against swapping him for Grossman, a guy who has shown he is a capable MLB player in games that matter.
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Whoa whoa WHOA. Grossman had a .770 OPS in the minors. Over his last three partial seasons, he had an OPS of: .914 .703 .823 Ryan Lamarre, on the other hand. He had an OPS of .814 in 2016. That's swell. His career MiLB OPS? .719. His highest OPS outside 2016? Well, he had a .767 in rookie ball in 2010.
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Getting on base is the new (but somehow now old) black. Seriously, if you don't appreciate a professional backup with a .360+ OBP, I don't really know what to say.
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I know the answer to this: No one cares. Really, that's the answer. It doesn't matter how much service time Granite does or does not have. At his peak, he's pretty much Ben Revere.
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Given these weather forecasts, no. Jesus, we've had like one day at 50 degrees or better this year and nothing that high is forecast in the next 15 days.
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Article: No Suspension For Miguel Sano
Brock Beauchamp replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
As someone who knows Betsy both as a person and as a friend of Twins Daily, I really appreciate all of you who have participated in this thread and shown empathy for her situation without judgment. This is a difficult situation and I'm proud of how most of the posters on this site have talked about this delicate subject. Maybe it's time to move on. Maybe MLB didn't find evidence to suspend Sano (but let's not conflate lack of evidence with innocence). As an individual, I do not know what happened that night but I know Betsy and I trust her statements. That doesn't mean I want to vilify Miguel Sano or run him off on rails; but it does mean I earnestly feel for Betsy and the hurt she obviously feels over this entire ordeal and I think that's something everyone should keep in mind while posting in this thread, and most of you have. Again, I thank all of you for showing restraint, consideration, and a little understanding before you post about this topic.
