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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    Oh, I definitely believe that contract was ill-advised. I'd probably offer Dozier something along the lines of a 3/$60m contract but would hesitate to go longer than that unless he took less per season.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    The point is that everyone is a lot better in Coors, which makes the number misleading. If you adjust for park in any way, Blackmon's numbers are a lot closer to Dozier. Past three seasons: Dozier oWAR: 3.2, 6.0, 4.9 Blackmon oWAR: 3.2, 4.8, 6.5 Dozier OPS+: 104, 134, 126 Blackmon OPS+: 102, 130, 141 Those players don't look terribly different from one another, do they? Everyone here understands the Coors Field effect, right? Surely you don't all look at a +.450 OPS home/road split and say to yourselves "yeah, that's legit".
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    This is why you never use basic rate stats for players who play in Colorado. Blackmon career home OPS: .972 Blackmon career road OPS: .750 Dozier career home OPS: .802 Dozier career road OPS: .765 Blackmon 2017 home OPS: 1.239 Blackmon 2017 road OPS: .784 Dozier 2017 home OPS: .916 Dozier 2017 road OPS: .800 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ueZ6tvqhk8U
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, I think this contract has "mini Jacoby Ellsbury" written all over it. And I actually laughed out loud at that contract when it was given.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    I see this being said on the forums somewhat regularly but what on earth makes people think this would have been the case? When Dozier was just emerging as a star player, he turned down a lot of guaranteed money by refusing to sign off even one of his free agent seasons (probably $15m-ish a season for one or two seasons). And now people believe that after he established himself and came closer to huge guaranteed money in free agency, he was suddenly willing to sell off just two of his free agent seasons? It doesn't make sense at all. Sure, if the Twins approached Dozier two years ago and offered him $15-18m per season for four seasons of free agency, he probably signs at the dotted line... but that deal isn't much different than what he'll ask for this offseason so there isn't anything to be gained.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah... they're close to the same player (Dozier has ~600 more PAs, about 5 more fWAR). Oh, except Dozier is a year younger. Honestly, I don't get the Rockies making this deal but that's not unusual; I don't understand loads of things the Rockies do.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    If anyone out there actually believed Lynn was a 1 or 2... *blank stare*
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    I've been saying this for awhile now (which I why I sold) but I think we're in for a bumpy ride. Trump isn't helping things with his persistent trade war talk but I think stocks, tech stocks in particular, are primed to retract in a big way the first time we see a flat quarter or two (which is inevitable after the ~8 years of growth we've seen). Way too many stocks out there are obscenely over-leveraged.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    Hughes may have control issues but his biggest problem is the loss of 2mph from his fastball after the injury (a drop from consistently 92mph to consistently 89-90mph). It's not really surprising if you see control issues after that point, as you have to pitch around almost every hitter you face and any hitter in MLB has no issues hitting a 90mph fastball. Lynn has sat 91-93mph every season of his career and that's where he sat yesterday as well. Given the guy's abbreviated spring and pitching in quite cold weather yesterday, it's too early to even suggest there's anything different about the guy that indicates he won't pitch somewhere near his career norms.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    Lynn has mentioned he likes the cold but that doesn’t mean he wasn’t having grip problems out there yesterday. Overall, a disappointing start in a really boring game but I’m not too worried about it yet.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    Nope... the one thing that really confused me this offseason was pretty much everything about the Rule 5 draft.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    Just a friendly reminder the Pirates have all of four hits in this game and none in this inning.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    I’m convinced that Duke guy is a sleeper agent.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    Or that he just calls a full 25% of his teammates “caballo”.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    He’s awesome. You should look up videos of the guy. He’s a clown.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    MORE THINGS ARE HAPPENING
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    SOMETHING HAPPENED
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm pretty sure this game is a prime example of why some people hate baseball. What a yawner. Big lead in the first on sloppy pitching, then... *crickets*
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    Lynn doesn't want to attack the strike zone but he is interested in scaring it a little bit. More of a startle, really.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    I can't help but look at Odorizzi and think of Scott Baker, the much lamented and unfairly treated starter... When Scott was rolling with his high fastball and solid strikeout rate, he was an extremely good pitcher. Naturally, he earned the nickname "moonshot" because when things went badly, they really turned south for the guy. But had Baker stayed healthy, I'm fully convinced he would have been a very good pitcher. And modern baseball thinking is kind of going that way with the high fastball that induces mostly quiet contact (and quite a few misses) with the occasional loud contact.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    Watched The Disaster Artist the other night. If you’ve watched The Room, it’s a must-see film. So much fun to watch and Franco is an amazing Wiseau.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    One thing to consider is that the Twins have as much or more leverage in seven months than they do today. Thanks, qualifying offer. And they get to minimize risk of Dozier collapsing during the 2018 season and being on the hook for four more years of his service. Like I've said a bunch of times, I just don't see the reason to discuss an extension today. There are multiple pieces in play and the front office will have a much better idea of how to proceed in November.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    It's certainly a risk but given how many big money teams used this offseason to reset their luxury tax threshold, I doubt next offseason will resemble this offseason. Also, Brian Dozier is both younger and a much better player than Todd Frazier. Dozier's 2017 fWAR value is nearly the equal of Frazier's 2016-2017 fWAR value.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, that was kind of my point. He's preoccupied with framing on almost every pitch, which diminishes his ability to react to things like balls in the dirt or baserunners.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    Castro has mentioned that when he's framing, it's first and foremost in his mind, sometimes to the detriment of other things. I wonder if this is an ugly side effect of his framing.
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